Thread by @MohalJoshi

Thread (Update 31 March)
1 Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected" case growth for USA & India based on data for the past few days.

2
USA: 189,785 actual vs 189,137 (my projected no) [~0.3% delta]
INDIA: 1,619 actual vs 1,524 (my projected no) [~6.2% delta]

3 USA: As per the adjusted modelling over the next 7 days total cases could be at ~476,000+
"Future projected" values are in black color/white font.

4 India: As per the adjusted modelling over the next 7 days total cases could be ~5,300+
Note: "Future projected" values are in black color/white font.

5 In USA the % increase in new cases has been less than 20% over the past 4 days. Whether this trend continues long term is yet to be seen in the coming days.

6 India saw another massive (+272) increase in new cases i.e. two days of 200+ new cases. This presents a new challenge for authorities as in the coming days more people will be identified from these "hotspot" clusters all across the nation.

7 Next few days will be crucial as all the infected people from these clusters needed to be identified & isolated quickly to prevent India case number from exploding even more.