Thread by @BentFlyvbjerg

#Floods and #wildfires are both subject to regression to the tail. The same holds for #droughts, #hurricanes, #landslides, #icemelt, #sealevelchange, and other phenomena closely related to the climate crisis.

This tells us that understanding regression to the tail and how to mitigate its specific manifestations for climate will be key to mitigating the climate crisis.

Here it is worth remembering that regression to the tail for the climate crisis will be just as indifferent to human ignorance and folly as regression to the tail is for covid-19.

We either cut the tail and practice the precautionary principle for the climate crisis, or we die in large numbers and destroy our economic and social fabric, like we are presently doing for covid-19, just worse

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#RegressionToTheTail #covid19 #covidー19 #pandemic #climatecrisis#climate #climateemergency #biodiversity #climatechange #buildbackbetter#cities #infrastructure #megaprojects #risk #riskmanagement#riskmitigation #fattails @OxfordSaid @Oxford_Answers @SBSInsights @oxsocsci