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17 Nov, 14 tweets, 4 min read
BREAKING: Retail Participation in markets is topping out!

Well not really breaking news but i barely ever get to use that, so :D

First some charts (that confirmed my theory), then i'll explain to ya how i came by the info: Image
So, one of the YT channels i follow is Meet Kevin (to keep up to date with stimulus and real estate). And i was watching this video, when i heard something interesting:

Specifically, about his sponsor, WeBull.
He's had that sponsor for a long time, so i can chart the behavior of that sponsor VS market conditions at the time.

During that peak in the search trend, WeBull was offering 2 free stocks - an offer that was about to expire and extended on the deadline (AKA FOMO scarcity).
After extension of 2 free stocks, later they began offering 3 free stocks, no time frame.

Now one event does not a pattern make so that could be from increased competition.

However at the start of that video, WeBull just upped the offer to 4(!) free stocks!
Not to advertise for them stay the FUCK away from CFD traders. Get a proper broker and buy shares. You Americans have *no idea* how restricted you are financially compared to the rest of the world.

Anyway. It peaked my interest. No company gives things away for free.
If i recall correctly the "possible value" of the stocks went up from $1200 to $1600 too.

There's always an angle. In this case it's obvious - drive more traffic.

But WHY would they NEED to drive more traffic?

The market went nowhere for months so i understand the 3 stocks.
But the Dow Jones is up 3800 points in 2 weeks!

(yes - that actually shocked me a bit too when i looked that up)

Point is, if FOMO was going to return it should've been back now. It may not have been *as sharp* as in March, but the move is equal in points to march 23rd-26th. Image
But FOMO isn't here.

In Google Trends, even if WeBull showed an uptick before it shows a projected downtick that matches RobinHood.

The overall trendline of both platforms is also exactly the same, peaking in popularity at the end of June and showing a crescent moon downwards.
Their own behavior confirms this. No company gives things away for free. They're upping their "free" offer because they *need* to.

Because competition in the space is fierce and they're all competing for the same scarce resource: NEW users.

Which now seems to be in short supply
In Short;

If there *isn't* going to be stimulus before the holiday season, the market will likely crash.

Retail is losing interest, there's tax reasons to take profits and they'll want money for Christmas.

The problem is i don't know if stimulus will actually bring retail back
Because again conditions have changed.

The previous stimulus was AHEAD of months of forbearance. If anything 2020 shoulda taught us is that people are horrible at planning (far) ahead.

But Forbearance and Deferrals end start of January. MANY people are behind on alot of bills.
That's a little bit too close for comfort.

And i veeeeery much doubt the 2021 Tax season will be delayed again. The US government needs revenue more than anybody right now. Biden wanted to raise taxes, remember?

Which in itself is another drain on the markets.
You're not going to invest if the Capital Gains tax is going to double.

Well, you MIGHT, But not with the Dow Jones AT 30k. Because you *need* to make more money to overcome the tax burden to gain an equal amount of capital as before.

Fancy words or no every person feels this.

It may be hidden beneath the surface.

But IMO these are some first signs of the market top coming in.

I'll leave ya with a picture i made; "Anatomy of a bubble" only then improved for a historical event :D

And as i read the google trends - We're about to hit Reality. Image

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More from @DesoGames

20 Nov

I think found the source.

I was partially looking in the wrong direction. I suspected Bitfinex due to them owning Tether. But i didn't suspect collusion.

Think it was Kraken all along.

FULL, DETAILED explanation below!!!!

#Bitcoin $BTC #Fintwit Image
To catch everybody up to speed on the scam:…

SKIP THE BITCOIN PART! I'm not gonna have the value discussion here. We can all agree that there have been plenty of scams in history involving value. If you love bitcoin you'd want it to be scam free.
First off; Tether printed another 71,500,000 tether last night. Nice round number. Very organic. They printed 96,399,401 yesterday, what's that all about then?

Printed ~$500 million last 7 days, annualized $25,6 billion, down from $35B. Guess the rising price attention helps. Image
Read 33 tweets
19 Nov
I needed a distraction after i hit that pile of bad memories and had a little panic attack; So i decided to make another crypto chart ^_^

Maybe this shows better *why* i don't trust Bitcoin volume as measured in trades instead of dollars.

It doesn't line up with the price spike Image
Peter Lynch in his 1994 speech said "Stocks aren't lottery tickets.... Coca Cola is earning 30 times what it did 30 years ago, its price has gone up 30 times. Bethlehem steel earns half as much as it did 30 years ago, the share price is half."

Well Crypto runs on Pure Demand.
IOTA is more reliable in price action because it's a private network with no ability to print more money AND it's an alt coin with a smaller market cap. Meaning it's out of the public eye, including Tether's eye.

And while Bitcoin might not be able to print more, Tether sure is.
Read 9 tweets
18 Nov
#Shadowcontracts #gold #silver #PLATINUM update!!!

ALERT! 🚨🚨🚨

You guys remember me writing in my article (I HAVE A WEBSITE goddammit) that i had 1 screenshot of the same happening in Platinum futures?

Here's that screenshot. Compared to today.

Somebody's gained weight. ImageImage
As you can see, since June 30th, 335,584.068 total #platinum ounces have been added to the #Comex. Current value; $312,948,922.61.

Broken into categories, Registered has grown from 177,615.278 ounces to 481,153.049 ounces; a flat increase of 303,537.771 - +170.89%.
During that same timeframe, Eligible has increased from 108,551.903 ounces to 140,598.200; a flat increase of 32,046.297 ounces - +29.52%.


Read 8 tweets
17 Nov


+$144,011,660,857 INSTANTLY (2x GM+1x Ford)

+82,598,801 supply, nothing printed yesterday. Tiny weekend prints might be indicative of larger issues.

#fintwit #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto $ETH $BTC $USDT #Ethereum #ALERT
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov

Think we're getting close to the end boys.

And that's why you take screenshots.

#tether #BTC #fintwit #link #Ethereum #bitcoin #FRAUD
Ahhhh there we go it's back.

Nevertheless, that's yet another glitch to add to the pattern.

Keep in mind that they've been playing with underlying data now! Otherwise stuff like this won't happen!
I'm just gonna go ahead and say that's a pretty major thing to happen to the number 3(!) crypto currency.

At that point, and *certainly* with a market cap of nearly $18 billion, your automated systems are *on point* or something's up.

And since i dunno how long it will stay up:
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov
#tether watch!

This time, captured it LIVE! (just happened to realize i was checking at the right time).

Top numbers took longer to update, so added em myself. +33 mil tonight, interesting.

Think that's cause it's a Saturday. Markets are quiet. Image
In order to buy bitcoin for tethers somebody's still gotta trade the #bitcoin for tethers.

Currently they're fine that as #Tether's become the medium of exchange between #crypto.

Point is, with less market participants, less people willing to sell their crypto for Tethers.
BTW i'm also suspecting them of generating much of the bitcoin and tether volume in dollar terms themselves. If they'd move #crypto between accounts the they own on the exchange, it'd show up in the charts as volume. Since trade volume is low, they'd be pretty big block trades.
Read 8 tweets

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