DK Profile picture
7 Feb, 14 tweets, 7 min read
I want to be extremely clear about it:

#crypto is in a raging bull market because of the Fed. It‘s not because #Defi or $DOGE all of a sudden have any real use. #Yieldfarming is the definition of a pyramid scheme. Just want to disillusion you

Some interesting crypto uses today:
#bitcoin is indeed becoming a highly volatile investment product that institutions are looking at due to the abundance of liquidity. It remains to be seen what is left when the Fed ends QE. Also, $BTC can act as money in unfree societies which is really cool...
...#ethereum, with all its scalability issues (if you think using a network with $150 per tx will become mainstream once the Fed stops printing buy the proverbial bridge), is showing how #crypto can replace clearing houses, how applications can run decentrally, how tokenizing...
... assets like real estate will make them liquid, how art or other rare items could become digital or at least be verified on the #blockchain and how start up financing can move past VC and tab a decentralized pool of crowdfunding which is absolutely amazing and mind blowing...
...#Chainlink is a protocol whose use I understood quite late, but enabling decentralized determination of event outcomes is crazy important in a world where it seems everything is fake news. $LINK can‘t be overstated in terms of relevance to the #blockchain world, though I do...
...wonder sometimes why it needs a token & if that is truly where the value lies.

Otherwise, there are copycats and earlier versions of the above scattered among the #crypto token, plus there are equity-like (hint: full blown securities) token that let you participate in a...
... project‘s profits - whether it is via buyback or staking doesn‘t matter. But most of these and all other #cryptos currently exist only within this world and have no use outside of it. The entire #Defi space is currently a huge pyramid scheme built on other pyramid schemes...
... and I say that without negativity - it’s not a scheme devised by some evil people, it‘s a current use case of crypto token.

You just got to realize that once token $aaCRVYFI no longer has value because the Fed starts taking liquidity out of the system, then $aCRVYFI also...
...loses its value, which makes $CRVYFI worthless, which means nobody stakes their $DAI anymore on #yearn or uses their vaults so that $YFI gets no fees... etc. These are hypothetical cashtags, but the point is: #yieldfarming works as long as what you receive has any value and...
...currently the Fed is outpacing any token inflation. But that can easily change in a few months.

There is nothing wrong with enjoying and participating in the bull market. I do it too - along all avenues including yield farming. But you have to be aware there is a risk to...
... this house of cards. Token with a real world use case (like #bitcoin, $ETH, $LINK) won‘t lose all their value nor will they disappear. But they will be impacted too, so you have to pay yourself along the way during a bull market to survive a bear market....
...For any of your #Defi holdings, ask yourself: which of them actually have a real life use when the pyramid scheme of farming token one for token two disappears and #NFT prices go to 1/10th of today. When a non-crypto friend asks you: what cryptos are there that are truly...
... being used in real life today? What business models have been built that generate revenues that I can participate in with a token (as opposed to equity in the firm offering it)?

Try to find answers to that and you’ll know...
... how dependent this entire move is NOT on „replacing the banks“, but on the Fed continuing to print. Hint: Gambling on value appreciation does not count as a real world use.

Just something to bear in mind as we take out the next #bitcoin ATH (which we will IMO; not advice).

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More from @dkcrypto13

30 Jan
ICYMI The $GME ripple effect was so strong that clearing houses (those insitutions that ensure when two sides trade, both get the asset or the cash) were unable to deliver stocks for a short period of time. That is the reason they increased margins for brokers, which is...
... the reason that #RobinHood had to restrict trading (along with other brokers) as they could no longer afford the margins at clearers. This is the only reason trading was restricted. Regulators really not doing themselves a favor by repeating "will protect small investors"...
... all the time. This was a move that was necessary to protect the entire financial market from collapsing. Not more and not less. It was not an attack on small traders nor a support of HFs. It also did not stop the bleeding. FWIW professional investors were also unable to...
Read 5 tweets
24 Jan
2/3 aller #Corona Toten kommen aus Pflegeheimen. 90% sind über 70 Jahre.

Seit Januar 2020 gibt es das Virus. Erst Januar 2021 (!) wurden FFP2 Masken und Schnelltests zur Pflicht in Pflegeheimen.

Immernoch gibt es keine Schnelltests für jedermann. Das Versagen ist enorm.
Statt Schnelltests breit anzubieten und jeden (!) durchführen zu lassen und die Menschen nicht mehr einzusperren machen wir #lockdown für alle für immer bis alle geimpft sind und wenn mutiert wird sperren wir eben #alternativlos alle wieder ein. Das ist so beschämend.
Man könnte 2/3 aller Toten (!) verhindern indem Schnelltests nur in Pflegeheimen ständig angewendet werden. Jeder kann sie durchführen, ich tue es privat seit 3 Monaten. Es ist unsagbar einfach. 100% Sicherheit gibt es nie, wir könnten ein normales leben führen. #covid #corona
Read 5 tweets
24 Jan
The biggest #bubble of our lives:
- Retail makes prices at the margin by buying OTM calls on sh1t #stonks
- #Tether prints USD backed with #bitcoin and loans & it’s fine
- “It’s a software co” EV maker is larger than almost all #software companies
- Digital images sell for >$300k
- People now make videos explaining they don’t need to work jobs because they buy stonks when they go up
- $ETH is undervalued on basis of cashflows for transactions that token holders have zero claim on
- #Ripple dumping on you is fine because they have $XRP fans in Japan
- #Restaurants & Small #businesses go bankrupt because of #lockdown and slow gov’t help but it’s fine
- $HTZ tries to do a cap increase out of chapter 11 because #robinhood
- A Company does reverse stock split and people brag about gains on per stock price basis on social media
Read 6 tweets
22 Jan
Let's hope this is what Paolo is trying to achieve... #bitcoin $BTC Image
Well done Paolo. Maybe we can be friends again 😉. #bitcoin $BTC

Not advice Image
Almost made it back to $34k resistance. Really hope we can get past and leverage & tether premia would seem to allow that, but I am just going to be not so greedy and take a bit off here. Should improve leverage premium 🙈. Not advice. #bitcoin $BTC
Read 4 tweets
11 Jan
So... #bitcoin up $800 in seconds after this. #tether doesn‘t move price, right?... but if this isn‘t the last print it sure marked the bottom nicely. Go figure
We‘re going to need a lot more though...
Simultaneously people aren‘t so high on leverage anymore it seems and #tether premium coming into printable range again 💪🏻

Now we just need to be sure Paolo won‘t let us down and send lot‘s moar!
Read 4 tweets
10 Jan
More on #tether. Just listened to the podcast with Paolo and Stuart done by Peter McCormack. I thought it was informative, but there were significant issues. I will first summarize the relevant part of Q&A (and paraphrase), then provide my interpretation.

1/ Are you shareholders in Deltec bank? A: They do not disclose investments.

2/ What is your KYC process? A: Stuart clearly read off a statement prepared by their lawyers.
3/ Why can $USDT be issued on weekends? A: Because they already have the funds but this is when the customers require/want them or receive them.
Read 14 tweets

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