Thread by @Javanmardi75

How the 🇮🇱Israeli defense deals with the threat of #Hezbollah's precision missiles.
PART 2 — (24 tweets)

#Iranians in #Syria: Three key issues were at stake: the establishment of the Iranians and their emissaries on Syrian soil, the indoctrination of the Syrian people through Shiite clerics who had been flown from Iran, and the takeover of the Syrian arms industry. 1

#Syria has a well-developed arms industry, the result of #Russian knowledge and years of local development in favor of the Syrian army arming itself in preparation for a future war against Israel. 2

#Suleimani's idea was simple: to produce the #missiles on #Syrian soil, thus eliminating the need for shipments from Iran and preventing the attacks. Iran will fund, Syria will produce, and from there the missiles will be transferred to #Lebanon. 3

#Assad had no ability to oppose this idea; He owes his life to Iran & #Hezbollah, also owes them about $80 billion for the equipment, aid loans he received. Beyond that, working for the Syrian factories, means earning a living for thousands of people, was blessed in his eyes. 4

#Israel recognized the process and began systematically attacking the facilities and production infrastructure on #Syrian soil. According to overt publications, many dozens of such attacks have been carried out, of factories and storage sites. 5

#Israel's determination to attack has run into #Iranian determination to produce. If production on Iranian soil failed, and production on Syrian soil failed, the next step was to move beyond production in #Lebanon. 6

This time it is not a complete production of a missile from the ground up; In order to produce a missile, you need to know how to create an accurate metal shell that can withstand the pressures, and then pour a liquid explosive into it, in a process that is risky. 7

Engine production is also a complex process, and building a warhead is a process that requires experience in casting and assembly, certainly speaking of large quantity and high quality and reliability. 8

#Hezbollah does not have such a capability, which requires a developed military industry with dozens of scientists and large manufacturing sites. 9

Instead, choose a name in the process of conversion: take an "stupid" rocket of the old type, previously smuggled from #Iran and #Syria, and make it accurate using GPS and wings, which together with a small computer can maneuver it to the target. 10

The computer, the size of a laptop, is inserted into a cylindrical shell worn in the middle of the rocket. The destination is entered into it, and navigation is performed using the GPS. 11

During the flight, which lasts several minutes, the computer performs trajectory calculations, and if necessary, moves the wings to make corrections in the trajectory. 12

All the exact equipment can be purchased online, but #Hezbollah gets it from #Iran. The computer itself is based on an algorithm with fairly simple aerodynamic equations; The conversion process is also not complicated, and takes several days. 13

At the end of the process adjustment and calibration are required, as well as testing for the wings, to make sure they are moving in the right direction. 14

According to various publications, the conversion process is capable of bringing the rocket to an accuracy level of 30-20 meters. Good for hitting a power plant or building, but not enough to put a missile in a specific window or to kill someone. 15

This already requires accuracy on another level, as well as real-time #intelligence, which only military powers have. 16

Seemingly any rocket can be accurate. But such a project on hundreds of thousands of rockets is an expensive and unnecessary process, and in order to hit Kiryat Shmona or Haifa, #Hezbollah will be satisfied with statistical weapons. 17

In other words the statistical weapon is intended to threaten the population & the precise weapon, the quality targets. The small size of the elements needed for conversion & especially computer, show how complex the challenge the @IDF faces & how great its achievement is. 18

The missile becomes accurate. Given the quality of intelligence required in real time, and the level of risk and accuracy of the Air Force, this is an impressive operation on any scale. 19

During the 2ed Lebanon War, #Hezbollah fired about 200 rockets into Israeli territory every day. In the next war it plans to launch thousands. #Israel doesn’t have the ability to intercept all of them, or even most of them, so the damage to the Galilee will probably be great. 20

On the other hand, the potential damage of each rocket individually is relatively limited, and the protected areas (MMADs and shelters) are supposed to provide protection against the rockets. 21

As part of the war on the precision project, #Israel operates not only through net military means, but also in other ways - from diplomacy and international pressures, through an economic campaign, to conscious and explanatory moves. 22

Twice in recent years, #Hezbollah missile sites in #Lebanon have been publicly exposed by Prime Minister @netanyahu Netanyahu. 23

Israel's decision to purchase new armaments for the Air Force & other interceptors for air defense systems (along with fighter jets, assault helicopters and refueling planes) was mainly due to looking north. 24

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