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Alastair Thompson

4 May, 11 tweets, 17 min read

@NASA

A @NASA WorldView Modis satellite image from this morning of the #Sudan #Ethiopia Border with a closeup of the #GERD Dam.

Today's rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia #HornOfAfrica and the #MiddleEast follow.

CMC (Canada) and KMA (Korean) weather model forecasts of 10-day accumulated rainfall in North Africa. These two models have been forecasting a stronger than normal West African Monsoon.

And to complete the set of three negotiating parties looking for an agreement on the filling and operation of the #GERD, here's an image, also from this morning ,of the Nile Delta in Egypt, showing also the Sinai, Gaza, and Southern Israel.

@ECMWF

May 4th, 10-day accumulated rain forecasts, for Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa from the @ECMWF, GFS and KMA weather models.
#Sudan #SouthSudan #Ethiopia #GERD #Africa #HornOfAfrica #DesertRain

The busiest sector of the Arabian Peninsula when it came to #ArabianStorms was once again the North East corner where Oman and the UAE once again saw storms, hail and torrential rainfall.

@Arab_Storms

May 4th, 10-day accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from GFS, ECMWF, CMC, & KMA weather models.

@Arab_Storms

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Levant #Jordan #Sudan #UAE #Iraq #Iran #Syria #Kuwait #GERD #NileBasin #HornOfAfrica #DesertRain

الله أعلم

@Arab_Storms

@Arab_Storms has been out again shooting footage of the impact in the UAE.

Here we see spillover runoff to some valleys in the eastern region #الامارات right Now!

https://twitter.com/Arab_Storms/status/1389571696168996864?s=20

https://twitter.com/Arab_Storms/status/1389571696168996864?s=20

And a picture of a valley in the mountains in flood.

https://twitter.com/Arab_Storms/status/1389571696168996864?s=20

@Arab_Storms

Here are today's May 4th, 3 day accumulated rain forecasts (to Friday at Midnight), for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.

@Arab_Storms

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم

@Arab_Storms

And in this Video @Arab_Storms shows a bit more from the UAE Mountains, this time of the mountains themselves and cascades of fresh rainwater.

https://twitter.com/Arab_Storms/status/1389560936130912260?s=20

And finally, three May 4th, ultra long-range, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, GEFS (16-day) and KMA (12 day) models.

#ArabianStorms #Ramadan

الله أعلم

/ENDS

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@NASA

The Horn of Africa this morning @NASA worldview, got a great view and more pictures will be included in today's rainfall forecast thread for #Ethiopia #HoA and the #MiddleEast.

Today's forecasts follow.

Here's the first. A view mostly of #Sudan, capturing both the #WhiteNile and #BlueNile as well as part of the Nile below Sudan on its way to Egypt. On the right hand side Lake Tana can be seen through the clouds.

If you look very carefully you may be able to see #GERD.

This view which captures the area below that in the previous image has borders on it to make it easier to see where the abundant green in the firsy image in this thread is located. The rains of the past few weeks appear to be doing God's work in the region.

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Reading what is going on with these #AfricanWaterPlumes and their impact on Europe is getting a lot more difficult now. Here's a bunch of informed guesses. Informed by the animation that follows.

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