As Ethiopians vote today in their first open contested election here below we can see the rainstorm forming in the morning.

Today's #NorthAfrica, #HornOfAfrica and #MiddleEast rainfall forecasts follow.
In the big picture today we can see storms over Europe top left and monsoon storms over South East Asia bottom left, as well as yet another day of #ArabianStorms beginning on the Red Sea.

The monsoon storms over SEA provide the moisture which powers the rains over Ethiopia.
In this satellite image from this morning we can see visible traces of the water arriving across the Indian Ocean.
As for Ethiopia itself here is today's @Nasa Modis imagery which provides a split view, which is perhaps appropriate as the country votes, with the futures of 114 million people riding on the result helping to bring the nation together.
Today's North Africa 10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 21st.
48-Hour North Africa/Sahara rainfall forecasts from the same four models.
And it seems we now have access (thanks @weathermodels_ to the 16-day GFS forecast as well as the 12-day KMA forecast, providing a longer view forward.

The models are now mostly in agreement about significant levels of rainfall in Northern Mali in coming fortnight.
These three images also @NASA Modis show cross sections, east to west over the Indian Ocean where the trade-winds are carrying moisture to fuel not just the HoA monsoon, which runs to September, but the entire West Africa Monsoon.
10-Day rainfall (+1 12-day) forecasts for June 21st, Election day/Solstice for the #HornOfAfrica including, #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan

These are the #Abbay rains which will fill the #GERD.
48 hour forecasts for June 21st (today and tomorrow) for the #HornOfAfrica. Including #Somalia, #Somaliland, #Djibouti, #Ethiopia and parts of #Sudan and #SouthSudan.

#GERD
This gif shows the beginning of today's #ArabianStorms up to 2pm today local time.
And here we see a wider view showing the water leaving India, moving across the Arabian Sea and arriving in Yemen and the Horn.
10-Day June Solstice, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, ECMWF, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour Solstice (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
And finally, June 21st, Solstice, 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East.

Rainfall on the Arabian Peninsula looks set to continue.

[Note: three of the four models now show rainfall on the Southern Yemen Coast.]

الله أعلم

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More from @althecat

22 Jun
Rain storms rising in the Ethiopian highlands this afternoon via @zoom_earth.

Today's #NorthAfrica #MiddleEast and #HornOfAfrica rainfall forecasts follow.
The big picture for today shows a broad swathe of the North Western Hemisphere. Here in Europe we have rainclouds over most of Western Europe now. And more wet weather heading in from the West.

In the East the monsoon is still strengthening and we have #ArabianStorms yet again. Image
This morning we had a lovely clear view of the #HornOfAfrica from space courtesy of @NASA. The big cloud mass bottom right is mostly over Kenya. Image
Read 18 tweets
22 Jun
This story helps fill some of the gaps in our understanding about Govt. Media policy. Thank you @NewsroomNZ

Govt seeks no condition on TV3 local news in Discovery buy-out newsroom.co.nz/govt-offers-no…
And Discovery's plans for TV3, from Mark Jennings. newsroom.co.nz/discoverys-pla…
This story also from @jmjenningsnz from October 2019 completes the overview picture of MediaWorks second near death experience in the past decade.

newsroom.co.nz/three-go-publi…
Read 17 tweets
20 Jun
Tomorrow Ethiopia will go to the polls. #GERD, the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, a project announced back in 2011 is a key election issue. The dam filling is about to begin.

This image shows Lake Tana, where the #Abbay river begins.

Today's rainfall forecasts follow.
Zooming out to show North Ethiopia this morning we can now see Tigray, where a horrific war began in November 2020, another key issue in this election.
Zooming out still further we can now see all of the ancient nation of Ethiopia. At the top right (the triangle bordered by cloud, we can see the northern end of the great rift where the Indian and African tectonic plates are slowly pulling away from each other.
Read 22 tweets
19 Jun
Not yet a week and @IsraeliPM @naftalibennett’s premiership is not going well. On Wed, Thurs & Friday he bombed Gaza. Later on Friday he offered Palestinians 1 million vaccines only to have them refused because they are near their expiry date.
This statement released Friday in Hebrew in his Telegram Channel explained his decision to provide vaccines to Palestinians, something that international observers have been calling on Israel to do for months.
It’s never a good idea in politics to read the twitter replies, and doubly so in Israeli politics it seems.
Read 5 tweets
19 Jun
See four satellite images taken today of major water transport events from @NASA Modis below.
1. Monsoon winds leaving India
2. Monsoon winds arriving Africa
3. Closeup of the #HornOfAfrica
4. The latest WMA plume.

Today's #Africa and #Middle East rainfall forecasts follow.
Two views of today's heavy rainfall in the Nile Basin and along the Red Sea Coast.
A big picture view from the Atlantic to the Bay of Bengal. It is extraordinary how long the Leviathan storm has been stationary in the middle of the picture near the Black Sea. It started in late May!
Read 21 tweets
19 Jun
There are some seriously silly statements in this @WashingtonPost, but its still an interesting round-up of the events of the past five days. The Balloons vs Bombs story.

#GazaUnderAttack

washingtonpost.com/world/middle_e…
This bit in particular deserves a commendation for use of irony.

U.S. Media has been working hard to downplay the seriousness of the ongoing security issues over Gaza in recent days.
Here is the @nytimes version of the same story published earlier. nytimes.com/2021/06/16/wor…
Read 5 tweets

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