The big picture for today shows a broad swathe of the North Western Hemisphere. Here in Europe we have rainclouds over most of Western Europe now. And more wet weather heading in from the West.
In the East the monsoon is still strengthening and we have #ArabianStorms yet again.
This morning we had a lovely clear view of the #HornOfAfrica from space courtesy of @NASA. The big cloud mass bottom right is mostly over Kenya.
This zoomed in version shows Ethiopia reunited following its 1st ever free and fair elections, which appear to have gone extremely well.
As nightfall approaches we can see here that it was another big day for Arabian Storms. And the more ambitious forecasts for rain there from the CMC model are continuing to prove to be the most reliable.
And here zooming out a bit we can see that it was a strong day for the monsoon across Africa. Forecasts show rains continuing to push north over the 15 degrees north line into the Sahara Desert in coming days.
Today's North Africa 10-Day rainfall forecasts for June 22nd. While the 21st is true solstice the day lengths will remain roughly the same for another six days.
48-Hour North Africa/Sahara rainfall forecasts from the same four models.
And finally a16-day GFS forecast as well as the 12-day KMA forecast, providing a longer view forward (including for Ethiopia).
The models are now mostly in agreement about significant #DesertRain in Northern Mali in the coming fortnight.
Here are some more visuals showing the source of the airborn moisture which arrives in Eastern Africa over the Arabian Sea. Here we see the Indian Monsoon having a spectacular day.
This image is from immediately south of the image above and shows storms forming over the eastern coastlines and seas west of South East Asia, specifically Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia.
And finally here we can see those rain-bearing winds coming ashore on the Horn of Africa here we see Kenya and Somalia.
It is impossible to tell how strong the West African Monsoon will get but this image shows you how much water there is over the full weather system. Water is flowing in a clockwise direction starting in India and then moving up and across the Atlantic and then through Europe.
This image is from 18.15hours this evening as night is falling and shows the clouds over the #EthiopiaHighlands, #ArabianStorms along the Red Sea, as well as rain clouds over the west of Sudan.
We also had some clouds over Israel today. While Israel has had a very dry June so far over the past week there has been a little rain in Jerusalem. As you can see here the average rainfall in Jerusalem in June, as in Mecca, is zero. [Src: 02ws.co.il/station.php?se…]
48 Hour June 22nd (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & KMA weather models.
Today's big picture shows a Western Sahara plume in the process of creating more significant storms in central Europe. Bottom left you can see today's #ArabianStorms.
These three images show the winds which are bringing the rains to Africa across the Indian Ocean. The first shows the view as of this morning, the 2nd a forecast for the 7th day and the last one the forecast for the 16th day.
In the big picture today we can see storms over Europe top left and monsoon storms over South East Asia bottom left, as well as yet another day of #ArabianStorms beginning on the Red Sea.
The monsoon storms over SEA provide the moisture which powers the rains over Ethiopia.
In this satellite image from this morning we can see visible traces of the water arriving across the Indian Ocean.
Tomorrow Ethiopia will go to the polls. #GERD, the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, a project announced back in 2011 is a key election issue. The dam filling is about to begin.
This image shows Lake Tana, where the #Abbay river begins.
Today's rainfall forecasts follow.
Zooming out to show North Ethiopia this morning we can now see Tigray, where a horrific war began in November 2020, another key issue in this election.
Zooming out still further we can now see all of the ancient nation of Ethiopia. At the top right (the triangle bordered by cloud, we can see the northern end of the great rift where the Indian and African tectonic plates are slowly pulling away from each other.
Not yet a week and @IsraeliPM@naftalibennett’s premiership is not going well. On Wed, Thurs & Friday he bombed Gaza. Later on Friday he offered Palestinians 1 million vaccines only to have them refused because they are near their expiry date.
This statement released Friday in Hebrew in his Telegram Channel explained his decision to provide vaccines to Palestinians, something that international observers have been calling on Israel to do for months.
It’s never a good idea in politics to read the twitter replies, and doubly so in Israeli politics it seems.
See four satellite images taken today of major water transport events from @NASA Modis below. 1. Monsoon winds leaving India 2. Monsoon winds arriving Africa 3. Closeup of the #HornOfAfrica 4. The latest WMA plume.
Today's #Africa and #Middle East rainfall forecasts follow.
Two views of today's heavy rainfall in the Nile Basin and along the Red Sea Coast.
A big picture view from the Atlantic to the Bay of Bengal. It is extraordinary how long the Leviathan storm has been stationary in the middle of the picture near the Black Sea. It started in late May!