Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 24 35 tweets 22 min read
Thread: 24 May 2022: Day 90 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
We will be dragged inexorably to breaking the #Russian naval blockade of #Ukraine, but we will insist that it be via the most tortuous route
All the prep work to transform #Ukraine into a #NATO Army will be done by the end of this
Incredible music video from #Ukraine's soldiers with the song about the Turkish-made Bayraktar drone
At the Davos WEF, Henry #Kissinger called for "a return to the status quo ante. Pursuing the war beyond that point [into #Ukrainian Donbas and Crimea] would not be about the freedom of Ukraine, but a new war against #Russia itself". telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
Kissinger insisted that #Ukraine's role was not to act in its own interests as an independent state, but to form a "buffer" between #Europe and #Russia.
Henry Kissinger is often attacked by the Left as a crusading Cold Warrior; he was nothing of the kind. The architect of détente, Kissinger spent his time in power explaining why Soviet and Chinese aggression across the world was not really aggression, and should be given-in to.
Zelensky spoke to the Davos set as well, essentially as the anti-Kissinger - in favour of sovereignty and Western interests, rather than finding a way for Russia to have what it wants without the costs
Hideous findings in Kherson of #Ukrainian babies raped and murdered by #Russian soldiers
The #Czechs - often stereotyped as pro-#Russian - have really come through in #Ukraine
#pt: When Austria-Hungary called for mobilisation against Russia in 1914, the monarchy expected mass-refusal, if not mutiny, from the Czechs, but they all showed up, and, like the rest of Vienna's forces, fought on to the end, despite the army being shattered within two months.
#Finland and #Sweden sending delegations to #Turkey to discuss the issues around #NATO accession
#Russia has lost 28,000 soldiers in #Ukraine in the last three months, according to one of #France's intelligence agents.
Satellite pictures "dated May 19 and 21, show the [#Russian] ships – the Matros Pozynich and the Matros Koshka – docked next to what appear to be [#Ukrainian] grain silos [in Crimea] with grain pouring off of a belt into an open hold." cnn.com/2022/05/23/pol…
It has been known for a while #Russia is stealing #Ukrainian grain and shipping it out for sale via Sevastopol, but this looks like a significant increase in the scale.
#Estonia military analyst sees little movement from the #Russian attacks in the southern Donbas and Izyum, while the progress around Severodonetsk, the largest #Ukrainian-held city in the Luhansk Oblast, has come at high cost, attriting the Russian army
#Pakistan is allied to #China - and thus to #Russia - in a way that is meaningful and undisguised. Why the #US/West persist in pretending this is not the case is the mystery.
#Lithuania threw the #Russian ambassador out on 4 April and will withdraw its ambassador from Moscow on 1 June; a replacement will not be sent. usnews.com/news/world/art…
#Britain's intel report says #Russia is trying to encircle Severodonetsk, Lysychansk, and Rubizhne. If Severodonetsk falls, Russia has control of the whole Luhansk Oblast. The concentration of artillery is working, but that can't extend far beyond this.
Trump and people around "the Koch political network, Cato Institute, ... American Moment, and the American Conservative magazine" are trying to get Republicans elected in November who want to abandon Ukraine and other US security commitments axios.com/2022/05/23/rep…
#China and #Russia jointly menacing #Japan. Again, the Sino-Russian threat is a single one.
Grim: #Russia broadcasting its propaganda from conquered #Mariupol
It's ridiculous that there are still delays: everything should have been thrown into #Ukraine a long while ago; the only "danger" is a #Russian defeat, which we should be working for anyway.
Important point: #Russia's Donbas advances in the last few days are, in a relative sense, more than they have managed against #Ukraine in a while, but the advances are small and at a high cost

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More from @KyleWOrton

May 26
Mark Lane, who wrote the first of the Kennedy assassination conspiracy theory books, was in contact with the KGB, through an officer at the UN delegation, Boris Orekhov. The CIA was told of this by an informant (SHAMROCK) in the KGB itself. eu.usatoday.com/story/news/pol…
This occurred in a context where the CIA counterintelligence chief James Angleton thought, encouraged in this belief by Anatoly Golitsyn, that a lot of the Soviet defectors and sources were dangles, including SHAMROCK and (most (in)famously) Yuri Nosenko.
The Nosenko case remains very interesting. The CIA came to believe he was a genuine defector - and Angleton's "mishandling" of him was the proximate cause of his downfall at the Agency - and the KGB files are suggestive along the same lines. BUT ...
Read 7 tweets
May 25
Thread: 25 May 2022: Day 91 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Head of RT, Margarita Simonyan, says "Either this [war in #Ukraine] ends badly for all humanity, or we win. There's no third option." #Russians to celebrate this "brave new world" where their children can't study in the West: "you ought to be rejoicing".
Difficult to feel sorry for Yevgeny Primakov, but heading up a "Russian soft power" organisation is a tough gig right now
Read 42 tweets
May 24
BBC reports on some of the "Xinjiang Police Files", hacked police records in #China handed to @adrianzenz, recording the detention of thousands of Uyghurs in "re-education" camps. The effort by Peking is clearly to erase the cultural and Islamic identity. bbc.co.uk/news/extra/85q…
#China directly describes its intent in consigning Uyghur Muslims to their GULAG as being to "break their roots, break their lineage, break their connections, break their origins."
#China arrests Uyghur Muslims for signs of religiosity: growing a long beard, for example. The records for individual counties show an incarceration rate of about 10-12%, suggesting a total GULAG population of over a million people.
Read 5 tweets
May 23
Thread: 23 May 2022: Day 89 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Britain's intel: #Russia has lost more men in three months in #Ukraine than the Soviets did in nine years in Afghanistan b/c of "poor low-level tactics, limited air cover ... and a command approach ... [that] reinforce[s] failure and repeat[s] mistakes"
#Russian soldier ranting about the war on #Ukraine being for the "future of the white nation ... We are all that's left". The West, he says, is lost to Arabs, blacks, Asians, and homosexuals (he uses different words).

[Video via @sternenko, English subs added by @ZeroZhvk]
Read 24 tweets
May 16
Leaked documents show that in one county of a quarter-million people, Konasheher, in southern Xinjiang, nearly 5% of the Uyghur Muslim population has been imprisoned by #CCP for "terrorism" and "extremism" charges. The rate is 30 times the norm in #China. abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireS…
#pt: Pure notably Stalinism: China sets "arrest quotas for local police [in the Muslim areas], in some cases resulting in the men from entire villages being rounded up and whole families uprooted ... [C]amp detainees were forced to confess their 'crimes' in group sham trials"
#pt: "Although China makes legal records easily accessible otherwise, almost 90% of criminal records in Xinjiang are not public."
Read 6 tweets
May 16
Thread: 16 May 2022: Day 82 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Israel denies the reports that it had agreed to send Blue Spear anti-ship missiles to #Ukraine via Estonia jpost.com/international/…
#France's President Macron has ideas about how to approach #Russia that were self-evidently dangerous to European security half-a-decade ago.
Read 63 tweets

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