Thread by @jseldin

NEW: 3 possible reasons for #Russia's inability to pack a punch in #cyber during war in #Ukraine, per @WhiteHouse Deputy Nat'l Security Adviser for #Cyber Anne Neuberger

"Option 1 is defense" per NSC's Neuberger "#Ukraine learned a lesson of the 2014-2015 conflict when #Russia invaded..."

#Kyiv cut itself off from #Russia's power grid, for example, making it a harder target

#2 - "The #Russia|ns expected it to be a very quick conflict" per NSC's Neuberger

"As such, they wanted the infrastructure in the country to be preserved..."

#3 - "President Biden did communicate...that any disruptive attack would be met w/a string response" per NSC's Neuberger

Says that message to #Putin served as deterrence

"We really do blv the #Russia|ns have an effective offensive #cyber program" per Neuberger at @scsp_ai #CarterExchange2023

"It's fundamentally more challenging to execute persistent long-term operations" like what would be needed to deal blow to #Ukraine

US has provided #Ukraine w/$85 million in #cyber assistance since 2014, @StateCDP Amb Nathaniel Nathaniel Fick tells @scsp_ai #CarterExchange2023

Lesson #China is learning from #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine is "deterrence works" per @CISAJen at @scsp_ai #CarterExchange2023

"Both deterrence by punishment & deterrence by denial"

So... should #China try to take #Taiwan by force, "I think, they are not going to make the same mistake the #Russia|ns have" per @CISAJen

"They're not going to be deterred in the same way..."

"In the event of a conflict w/the US, we will almost certainly see #China use aggressive #cyber operations against our critical infrastructure & almost certainly be able to disrupt critical infrastructure..." per @CISAJen

"...to include rail, to include oil & natural gas pipelines, essentially to deter military deployments & to induce societal panic" per @CISAJen re: #China's use of #cyber in a potential conflict w/the US

"#AI will do incredible, incredible things" per @CISAJen "It will make our lives easier. It will make out lives better"

"But it will also make lives easier & better for our adversaries & our enemies large & small who will use these capabilities to do significant harm"

Here's what @CISAJen had to say about #AI / #ArtificialIntelligence last week:

https://twitter.com/jseldin/status/1654495833461596161?s=20