Some comments on Ms May’s speech.
A THREAD
A THREAD
1/ this would have been a « normal » speech one year ago, when triggering art 50 procedure. At this late stage, It looks like showing dangerous irrealism!
2/some precisions are welcome, for instance the acceptance of State aid and competition rules. The aggressive so called « Singapore model », which was never credible, is abandoned.
3/clarity on the choices: no single market SM, no custom union CU : they would also be welcome IF their unavoidable consequences were recognised and communicated honestly to the public.
4/but this is not the case. Illusions continue that U.K. might have rights and benefits without accepting duties and costs. And this on the two major problems: the Irish border and the access to EU SM , without being a member of EU or EEA
5/ Irish border: the choice against both SM and CU, neither for the whole U.K. nor for NI , means that there is no solution which would permit no hard border. Ms May did not propose any. She is asking for help! But the U.K. is deciding alone Brexit +no SM+no CU, nobody else!
6/thus the responsibility to find a solution to a problem which was well known before the referendum is a British responsability. So, what solution? When?
7/on access to SM, still illusions. Ms May increased the number of EU policies, parts of SM, EURATOM, even Agencies which arenot open to third countries (Chemicals, medicines) that U.K. would like to REMAIN in...Shows that U.K. has interest to be as close as possible to EU and SM
8/but EU not ready to sacrifice its IM integrity/credibility to make a favour to U.K. (and why not others?). HMG has not yet understood the huge gap between classic international law and EU law, which is the very reason why the SM is a success
9/alignment of rules and standards is not enough. SM demands single legislation , the four freedoms, a single interpretation by EUCJ, primacy over national laws. Application controlled and sanctioned. All this sine qua non conditions.
10/That UK is still hoping, at this late hour, that the three baskets and a bilateral tribunal will do the trick and would allow a pick and choose of the most precious cherries is a huge mistake. U.K. continues to lose precious time with irrealist requests.
11/Realism should be for the U.K. to communicate honestly what everybody knows by now: that without SM and CU negotiations shall lead to an FTA ( Canadian model), and to work on it to get best results as possible in order to reduce the negative effects of Brexit on U.K. economy
12/this is a political choice made by the U.K., not by the EU, which doors are still open.
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