1.The former Islamist allies of the PH who are now a third pole.(Green)
2.The Rural-ish states of Johor and Perak. (Red)
3.Opposition stronghold of Selangor (Blue)
4.The big unknown of Sabah. (light Blue)
/8
20% chance of Confident BN Majority
30% chance of flimsy BN Majority
20% chance of Hung, BN Advantage
20% chance of Hung, PH Advantage
10% chance of PH Majority
Remember 538 gave Trump 30% chance on November 8th… /15
cnn.com/2018/05/06/asi…
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
bbc.com/news/world-asi…
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