And here we go with the latest (possibly weekly definitely subjective and utterly unscientific) Brexit outcome probability chart. In which I disagree with Liam Fox, again, this time in suggesting the chances of no-deal have actually fallen 
One Brexit paradox is that the more attention any option gets, the less likely it becomes. And so I judge the focus on no-deal in fact makes it less likely. Meanwhile the PM's letter doubles down on her red lines, and so EEA becomes less likely.
What then becomes more likely is the UK wide backstop, even if actually expressed as two backstops, or some other fancy negotiating wheeze. The only solution that does not in fact breach anyone's red lines (as claimed to be 'temporary').
(Note: Does not necessarily reflect what I would like to happen)
(Note 2: Please don't point out again that it doesn't actually make sense. Even a statistically inaccurate picture can paint a thousand words)
(Note 2: Please don't point out again that it doesn't actually make sense. Even a statistically inaccurate picture can paint a thousand words)
