Profile picture
Jon Worth @jonworth
, 12 tweets, 6 min read Read on Twitter
In my most recent blog post I argue that when a political crisis hits in 🇬🇧, 🇪🇺 is going to have to contemplate extending the #Article50 period.

Blog post is here:…

This thread examines some of the aspects of extending Article 50 (or not)

First some background - I have an older blog post here about why extending the Article 50 period would be a good idea:…

And the relevant part of Article 50 is shown here - unanimous agreement of EU-27 needed to extend

Extending the Article 50 period is not something either side really wants.

BUT No Deal #Brexit is the thing both sides should absolutely fear, especially 🇬🇧 but even the 🇪🇺, whose Member States (especially 🇮🇪) would take a major GDP hit.

So if Brexit talks hit a deadlock, break down in some way, the Tories hold a leadership election, or the 🇬🇧 holds a General Election, extending Article 50 has to be contemplated.

Even a negotiation delay is dangerous just now - the Brexit timetable is already so tight.

Yet talking about this issue ends up with all sorts of questions being raised. I will address each.

Q1: You need unanimity to extend Art 50 - would you get that?

A: The EU-27 does not want a No Deal Brexit. If that were the alternative you would.

Q2: Enough of this messing around. We want the 🇬🇧 out now! Why can they not just go?

A: Do you want No Deal Brexit and a hard border in Ireland? Do not forget here that no hard border in 🇮🇪 is 🇪🇺's number 1 priority.

Q3: But a Brexit delay means having to organise a European Parliament election in 🇬🇧. And UK would get a Commissioner. Why should we do that?

A: In comparison to a No Deal Brexit this is a pretty low price to pay. The MEPs and Commissioner would leave when 🇬🇧 leaves.

Q4: But it would be a strange election in the UK, and they would elect a load of populists!

A: Have you seen who the UK has elected until now? And the EP has a say on Brexit, so why should UK citizens not have a say on it?

Q5: Who in the UK would even want to stand in such an election if they would not know how long they might have a seat?

A: There are plenty of Brexiters and Remain people who would be only too ready to stand - 🇪🇺 politics matters like never before in 🇬🇧.

Q6: But 🇪🇺 wants to be done with all of this. Isn't a transition period for 🇬🇧 better?

A: The proposed transition period just postpones the problems, and denies 🇬🇧 citizens a voice in 🇪🇺, potentially for an indefinite period. That is a democratic scandal.

So - in conclusion - extending #Article50 is not a panacea. Both sides are right to not want it. But one of the alternatives - a No Deal Brexit - is considerably worse for all concerned. So faced with that, extension does not look too bad.

I'd welcome the views of @fbrantner @FabianZuleeg @alemannoEU @FHenriques @JulienHoez @davidallengreen @robfordmancs on this - comments from all of you about this topic motivated me to write this thread.

Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Jon Worth
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!