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Adam Payne @adampayne26
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Back in the UK and catching up on Barnier’s remarks from earlier today. He said literally nothing new. A Brexit deal unprecedented in scope has always been the offer — *but* within the EU’s red lines. Some of the market takes are absolutely wild.
Barnier on EU concessions in Brexit talks: "It can not be built to the detriment of who we are... We have to preserve and protect what makes us." Nothing has changed. deutschlandfunk.de/brexit-chefunt…
A Brexit deal unprecedented in scope and within EU redlines could be EEA + customs union (very soft exit) or Canada-style FTA + add ons in areas like security (hard exit). But that’s always been the case. Barnier/Macron haven’t contradicted or evolved that position.
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More from @adampayne26 see all

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Former universities minister Sam Gyimah speaking about Brexit in central London: “Make no mistake, Britain is on the brink... We face the greatest constitutional and political crisis in peacetime. And the tragedy is we have done this to ourselves.”
People’s Vote supporter Gyimah says he didn’t want to resign as a minister but for MPs to continue enabling Brexit is a “dereliction of our duty as public servants”
Ex-Tory MP & party grandee Lord Patten of Barnes opens his speech with a studs up attack on Liam Fox. He says Fox’s recent remarks about anti-Brexit campaigners are “impertinent and offensive” and adds: “It’s a sad fact that disillusion and mendacity got us into this position.”
Read 6 tweets
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For those of you who enjoyed today’s poll, I’m led to believe that another is coming this weekend. A huge one, 25,000 sample size. On Brexit.
Expect to see a massive opinion poll on Brexit in one of the Sunday papers. "It's one you're going to want to look out for," I've been told.
New YouGov poll of 25,000 people: Labour would suffer a worse election defeat than it did under Michael Foot if it enables Brexit. Labour support would plummet to 26% if Jeremy Corbyn tells his MPs to back Theresa May’s Brexit deal, the poll says.
Read 6 tweets
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Discussed Brexit/no deal with half a dozen pharmaceutical/medical industry leaders this morning. Here are some concerns/causes for panic they raised...
1) Capacity: warehouses can stockpile *some* goods but others have short shelf lives; need personalised conditions, temperature control. Currently "there isn’t capacity in the system” to deliver such a big, complex array of stockpiling methods, life sciences industry leader said
2) Uncertainty: UK gov is identifying stockpiling sites in UK & EU but still hasn’t said exactly how much capacity is needed to stockpile necessary medical/pharma goods. “There isn’t much info coming out. The honest answer is we don’t know,” life sciences industry head admitted
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis
2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain’s therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.
3/ The promise of Brexit was that it would make Britain feel big again. “Britain is special,” the Brexiteers assured British voters, who cast their ballots accordingly. But Brexit has proven that for the first time in modern history, Britain is small.
Read 22 tweets
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Again, at such a key moment in UK and at such high political levels, evidence of deep misunderstanding of EU: The PM is under pressure in some quarters to delay #Brexit vote to allow her first to “improve” deal in Brussels BUT EU is determined not to budge at this stage
2) All EU leaders watching tomorrow’s vote. Of course they want to avoid a no deal #Brexit BUT they feel the deal - so painfully negotiated between EU and UK - is too fresh to re-open. Clarifications, yes but fundamental renegotiations, no.
3) The EU’s international reputation as a tough deal-maker is at stake here too. If Brussels now suddenly “gives in” to U.K. on EU red lines (eg backstop) then that would weaken the EU’s reputation in future trade negotiations with other non EU countries
Read 6 tweets
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EU diplomats shrug at what they view as U.K. hysteria over Canada+ or Chequers #Brexit debate. The EU says the choice was never the UK’s alone 1
EU viewsChequers as a U.K. government position. Not an end in itself. Brussels aim: to navigate between Chequers and EU red lines.. 2
Accusation I often hear in Brussels is that U.K. Brexit negotiators are fine wordsmiths but that there’s often little meaning behind the words 3
Read 19 tweets
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UK is heading for #Brexit In Name Only. And maybe the slow, spasmodic death of British nationalism. Thread.
I’ve never believed UK & EU would agree terms on a new - indefinite - relationship. There’s a chasm between EU’s position & UK rhetoric 2/
Conservative Party backed EU for 50 years. Most grandees, funders and MPs still believe UK would do very badly if it left SM. Financial Times & Treasury agree 3/
Read 31 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets
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A quick trip to Brussels leaves me worried by big gap between EU27 and UK for phase 2 (short thread)
In particular, no appetite for May’s three buckets/baskets of regulations, or for IFG/IPPR versions of the concept of regulatory divergence. All seen as cherry-picking. Brussels sticking to line that single market indivisible, you cannot have benefits without all the obligations
Macron’s supposed offer of something between Canada and Norway not seen as meaning what UK press claimed. In Brussels they think he and others just repeating familiar mantra on what models the UK can have according to willingness to sacrifice sovereignty
Read 13 tweets

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