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Edwin Hayward @uk_domain_names
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
After Brexit Crunch Wednesday, could we be gearing up for Brexit Biff Bang Wallop Thursday, as Brexiteers try to unseat Theresa May?

Because of course there’s nothing more helpful to the negotiation process than a leadership battle...

In fact, maybe that’s what they’re counting
on: even if they lose the leadership contest and TM remains PM, the mere act of holding it may sweep us too close to Brexit Day to deliver the agreed deal.

So in the Brexiteers’ minds, a contest means a no-deal Brexit by virtue of running the clock out.

Highly devious, if so!
Let’s play this out a little further...

If TM prevails, but the contest takes us bang up against the year end, or even into 2019, the EU will already have pulled the trigger on many of its no deal preparations. You can expect a lot of UK companies will do likewise (after all,
many already have.)

So TM might end up back in power, facing an avalanche of no-deal horror stories at home and abroad, and with no time left to get her Brexit deal enacted.

Under those constraints, would she have the guts to reach across the aisle to Labour, the SNP & the
LibDems to form a temporary “Government of National Unity” to stop Brexit, perhaps backed by a carrot in the form of an iron-clad guarantee of an early election?

And would the other parties respond, and agree to such an overture?
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This is a radio ad the Government has started running as part of its no deal Brexit preparations...

It directs people to a nice website with warm and fuzzy graphics...

And as soon as you go deeper, you're thrown into the opaque preparedness notices.
euexit.campaign.gov.uk
That's like flying a sky banner saying "Roll up. Learn the secrets of the Universe" then handing people a copy of Stephen Hawking's "A Brief History of Time".

Utterly, utterly bonkers. And as much use as a bun at a bear fight.
(If you missed the link to the "helpful" website further up this thread, here it is again...)

euexit.campaign.gov.uk
Read 3 tweets
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A few thoughts on alternatives to Brexit...
- Bring in proportional representation
- Cancel HS2 and spend the tens of £billions on improving *regional* rail and other transport links
- Turn the HOL into an entirely elected second chamber (its oversight function is useful)
- Recognise the merit of a booming economy in London and the SE. Celebrate it and nurture it. Then milk the cash cow and spread that delicious cream across the whole of the UK.
- Foster an entrepreneurial mentality that rewards a "British Dream" (parallels to the American Dream)
- End the culture of secrecy in Government, except in cases of genuine national security. Transparency and accountability at every level. Shine a bright light into the darkest corners.
- Set up a "regional sifting committee" to vet all large infrastructure projects to ensure that
Read 7 tweets
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Government is trying to foist the blame for any Brexit chaos in the adult social care sector off on local authorities and directors of adult social care facilities. This from the letter sent to them on 21 December last year... (Full letter at link below.)
gov.uk/government/pub…
More from the letter:
" Many of these issues will have either a direct or indirect impact on councils and it is also possible that they will have a financial consequence for providers."
More from the letter (doubling down on the "legal" bit):
"I encourage you to work closely with your adult social care providers, in line with your legal market shaping duties, to assure yourself that any impact on providers can be managed locally."
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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In his blog, Mr Cummings says AIQ "once built some software" for Cambridge Analytica's parent company SCL, in 2014, but suggestions the company shared data with Cambridge Analytica were "ludicrous". bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Leave . EU's co-founder Arron Banks said: "Leave . EU did not receive any data or work from Cambridge Analytica. "UKIP did give Cambridge Analytica some of its data and Cambridge Analytica did some analysis of this.
"But it was not used in the Brexit campaign. Cambridge Analytica tried to make me pay for that work but I refused. It had nothing to do with us."
Read 57 tweets
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1) "No Deal" is the "Access to the Single Market" of the #Brexit endgame

Can't believe this isn't being widely reported but "No Deal" is the greatest bait & switch since, well, the last 1

No Deal brexiters *do not believe* in no deal, at all, its an illusion, and not a good one
2) Davis talks on Question Time of the better deal we'll get from a no deal.

Dorres talks confidently of the transition period following "no deal"

Leadsom outlines managed no deal, which involves deals

Mogg talks of "side deals" with the EU

What's missing? An actual "no deal"
3) in every case brexiters pay lip service to "walking away" and then proceed to talk about actions which *all involve negotiating with the EU*

None of them believe in no deal, they just believe blackmail will work, when it has singly failed to so far, with disastrous results
Read 12 tweets
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1) 6 pointless, time wasting exercises the Tory & Labour parties want to put the country through before we can start work on #Brexit

There are only 2 options left, May’s deal or Remain. There’s no majority for no deal and no time or appetite for a new negotiation
#PeoplesVote
2) There is only 3 months left and the country is in a state of worry. Despite this, and despite the ticking clock the 2 major parties are insisting on self indulgent frippery and posturing before we can get to the real business of fixing #Brexit
3) Lets take the Tory party. Firstly, they’re about to engage in another Leadership contest. May will probably win this but even if she doesn’t it will consume weeks of time for no purpose because it won’t itself change anything in Brexit. The same issues will exist afterwards
Read 14 tweets
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1) Again and again I’m struck by the chasm in thinking between leading MP’s on #Brexit and the viewpoint of EU leaders - and remember, if you want a deal, it takes two to tango
2) There is ZERO appetite or intention in EU circles to renegotiate this withdrawal deal
3) The EU would love the U.K. to remain a member of the club but if we’re leaving - then this is the divorce deal
Read 14 tweets
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So Theresa May arrives at EU summit and, like a dream sequence, repeats that "considerable progress" has been made since Salzburg but "problems remain on Northern Ireland backstop".

So what can we say back in the real world? /1
UK Negotiators just spent nine days straight reaching about as far as they can go on #Brexit fudges.

In summary, the EU will NOT give the UK an all-UK customs backstop. But it WILL agree to an all-UK customs arrangement in the future relationship document.

This didn't fly./2
When @MichelBarnier addresses EU leaders tonight, he will have to give an honest assessment of whether more talks can really move this on - in the absence of "new facts" as @eucopresident Donald Tusk put it.

Hard to see how - at which point the ball may be back in May's court /3
Read 16 tweets
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1. New round of #Brexit talks in Brussels today & #Prexit behind us, let's take stock of what EU papers are saying in Ep 100 of 'Nothing Has Changed.' (Thread.)
2. France's @LesEchos says TM is "increasingly fragile." Notes, "Clearly, chances that outstanding Brexit issues are resolved" in this round of talks "are close to nill." lesechos.fr/monde/europe/0…
3. @LesEchos: "The increasingly fragility of TM is a subject that's preoccupying the minds of EU leaders, who prefer to negotiate with a strong leader."
Read 21 tweets

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