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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 10 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
BREXIT BY THE NUMBERS
- Days left: 22
- Days since referendum: 986
- Estimated number of treaties we will lose: 1,000+
- Estimated number of "critical" treaties: 161
- Treaties rolled over to date: 43
- Share of UK trade covered by EU membership + free trade deals: 60.
- Estimated long term value to UK of new EU-Japan trade deal: £3 billion/year
- Total days EU-Japan trade deal will have applied to the UK: 57 (1 Feb to 29 Mar 2019)
- Taxpayer money spent on Brexit: £4.2 billion
- Number of civil servants working purely on Brexit: 10,000+
- Number of army reserves on standby for Brexit-related duties: 3,500.
- Number of England/Wales police seconded to NI in event of no deal Brexit: 1,000
- Number of international haulage permits available: less than 2,000
- Number of international haulage permits needed: 50,000+
- Number of petrol stations distributing rationed fuel in NI after a no deal Brexit: 75
- Cost of Chris Grayling's ferryless ferry company disaster: £34,600,000.
- Amount of assets leaving the City for EU27 destinations: over £800 billion (10% of the UK financial market)
- Number of steps to import/export goods to the EU now: 1
- Number of steps to import/export goods to the EU after Brexit: 10
- Number of workable Brexit plans: 0
- Number of votes Theresa May's deal was defeated by: 230 (highest in history)
- HMRC estimate of Brexit red tape costs to UK businesses: £6.5 billion/year
- Estimated cost of tariffs to the UK food sector after a no deal Brexit: £9 billion/year
- Economic damage due to Brexit: estimated £40 billion, and rising
- Cost of "divorce bill": £39 billion
- Tory+DUP Parliamentary majority: 0
- New customs officials in Belgium, France & Netherlands: 1,000+
- Number of fridges Matt Hancock claimed to have bought to stockpile medicine: 5,000
- Number of fridges Matt Hancock actually bought: 0 (he rented some chilled warehouse space)
- Probability we leave the EU without a deal on 29 March, unless something happens to change our current situation: 100% (it's the default)
- Number of Brexit Secretaries: 3
- Number of Tory resignations since 2017 GE: 31 (full list at link below)
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_r…
- Number of possible Brexit outcomes: 3 (some kind of deal, no deal crash out, revoke Article 50 and stay in)
- Number of times the mainstream news has mentioned revoking Article 50 as a viable alternative to no deal calamity in the last few months: 0 (approx)
Much more in this PDF...
drive.google.com/file/d/14g9mdE…
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
So where are we now? It is now official UK policy to ask for an Article 50 extension. But control of how long for, and for what purpose, remains with Theresa May. And in a few hours, we'll be down to the final fortnight of normal-time Brexit.
Meanwhile, Parliament has demonstrated a bottomless capacity to vote down everything, and an equal-and-opposite resolve not to actually determine what might command a majority. Perhaps it's time we called a psychic to read the HOC Brexit tea leaves?
Returning to the A50 extension, not only do we not know what TM will request, we don't know if the EU will grant it. They may reject it out of hand (e.g. because they figure she'll fritter it away on time-wasting) or they may only offer a different length A50 extension.
Read 5 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
This next amendment is interesting, because it effectively forces the Government to cede control over business in the HOC for a limited time on 20 March for indicative votes. But it establishes an intriguing new precedent by changing Parliamentary procedure.
If this amendment and/or the next one pass, it's possible to imagine the Government changing their whipping instructions and trying to sabotage their own motion for a second evening in a row.
Amendment defeated by 312 votes to 314. MV3 and eternal despair come that little bit closer.
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Chris Bryant rises to support his amendment, which is designed to kill off MV3, MV4, MV5 etc. by blocking attempts to keep bringing back the same motion. Begins by quoting the lyrics of "Windmills of Your Mind". Passionate speech, listing historic precedents for blocking repeats.
You can see the effect of his amendment (if it passes) in my summary PDF at the link below...
CB: "Conservatives should be a bit more conservative about the traditions of this house, and stop this ludicrous gyratory motion." Cracking speech, start to finish.
Read 3 tweets

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#Brexit #NoDeal #LetsGoWTO #Leave #EU
@astro_trader
After 50 years of voting for the Conservative Party, I will, unless Brexit is delivered fully, resign my membership & cast my vote in favour of his new Brexit Party…
If only to keep any “heat” on European Council’s charming President, Donald Tusk!

-Telegraph Letters
#Brexit #EU
Surprised Sir Oliver Letwin says he didn't believe in his party’s 2017 manifesto “No Deal is better than a Bad Deal"
Sir Oliver should remember whole of Dorset, not just his constituency, backed Leaving #EU & prefers No Deal to May’s wishy-washy plan.
Rethink, Sir Oliver!
#Brexit
Don’t remember anyone talking about “Deal” or “No Deal” when EU referendum was held.
Options were Leave or Remain & Leave won!
Had we left immediately after referendum, it would all be settled now.
Mrs May should tell the #EU we voted to Leave & that’s what we are doing!
#Brexit
Read 8 tweets
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ooj
@SkidRowRadio_YT
THREAD: When the shit wants to get off the pot.

The centrists waking nightmare is currently the thought of actually having to endorse JC in important votes in the next few weeks, if his thus far winning strategy does result in May failing again. 1/
They don't want to vote w/ JC on any none PV resolution to #Brexit. 2 things can happen now as we get to the wire
1) May adopts JCs proposal, Labour backs the brexit deal, we're done. Brexit is solved & we can get on with a split & preparing left candidates to run against them 2/
2) May refuses to adopt JCs proposal and her same shit deal gets rejected again. Then a VoNC holds huge weight. The sabateurs skin crawls at the thought of voting for an election to happen that they'll be deselected in before it even begins. Lovely jubbly. 3/
Read 15 tweets
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Ed Conway
@EdConwaySky
You're bored of Brexit, right? Yeah so am I so is everyone. So you won't like this but I have bad news. We will still be talking about Brexit for many more years, maybe a decade - WHATEVER happens. However the events of the next few weeks play out. Think about it (thread): 1/
You think you'll get closure of a sort if TM gets a deal thru Parliament? No. That's JUST THE WITHDRAWAL. Once we're out we need to decide our future relationship. That debate (Norway vs Canada all over again) will take YEARS and may be even more divisive than today's debate 2/
Perhaps u reckon no deal Brexit will be the "cleanest" way out? One quick rip & the plaster's off, right? Wrong. Having left the UK would then spend the following yrs building/rebuilding the institutions, regulations & agreements that allow us to function in the global economy 3/
Read 8 tweets
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Gavan Reilly
@gavreilly
#Brexit thread:

So. Tomorrow the House of Commons will vote on a series of possible amendments to Theresa May's 'Plan B' - or rather the 'plan of action to achieve a Plan B' - which itself officially reads as follows:
The amendment most likely to pass – and therefore the one on which most attention has been paid – is this one from Conservative party chairman Sir Graham Brady. It's effectively an instruction to go back and seek *some unstated other way* to avoid a hard border in Ireland:
Tonight, Theresa May has asked her backbenchers to vote in favour of this amendment. She is basically asking them to tie her hands, so that Brussels will clearly know what it would take to win the Commons' backing for any deal.
Read 9 tweets
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The Leave Alliance
@LeaveHQ
1. Time for a #Brexit history lesson. Us old school leavers bumped into the remain canard that "three million jobs" depend on the EU time and again over many years. So well worn were the arguments that Remain scarcely dare deploy that line during the referendum.
2. It was was easily countered by wa of saying that those jobs depended on trade with the EU, not membership of a political union. So there was always the historic inference that we wanted the maximum trade cooperation possible.
3. If asked if we would support a Brexit that would necessarily result in new barriers to trade, pretty much ecvery leaver would have said no. The infernence is that we would look to safeguard those three million jobs.
Read 21 tweets
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Paul Chaplin #FBPE 🇪🇺
@CottlestonPie
I'm currently at this #Brexit conference in Copenhagen, where the British ambassador and several #DExEU officials will be on panels with representatives of Danish trade and security. It'll be very interesting to see what's said, especially in light of May's recent Munich speech.
And now that I'm not desperately trying to keep up with livetweeting it, I shall turn my mess of self-retweets into a proper thread. #Brexit #BrexitDK
acknowledges #Brexit will have challenges; emphasises no naïveté regarding "land of milk and honey". Refreshing sense of pragmatism; we'll see how #DExEU and DK reps present it.

#BrexitDK
Read 55 tweets

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