Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #eurusd

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¿Tienes un plan para tu capital cuándo el ciclo alcista crypto no sea tan fuerte?

Si la respuesta es no este hilo te interesa Image
Como muchos sabéis soy trader desde hace más de 6 años y lo que mas sigo operando son los CFD's

Estos mercados te permiten apalancarte, ajustar un lotaje de riesgo y lo más importante comprar y vender cualquier activo
Los CFD's son contratos por diferencia, os dejo el link a la primera parte del curso que estoy terminando

Introducción al Trading de CFD's…

Esto significa que pueden graficar cualquier mercado y tú puedes beneficiarte de sus subidas y bajadas
Read 16 tweets
Forex Live 1/5: FX #options expiries for 14 Apr 10am NY cut
There are some sizable ones layered for #EURUSD closer towards 1.1900 but also near current levels, even for tomorrow, so that might attract price action with key resist seen closer towards 1.1990-00 region at the moment
Forex Live 2/5: That said, the dollar looks vulnerable across the board with 10-year #Treasury yields also sitting on the cusp of a soft bottom closer to 1.60%, so there's that to consider.

Going over to #USDJPY, that has seen the pair fall below 109.00 - where there are some
Forex Live 3/5: modest and chunky expiries seen this week.
Technically speaking, the break below 109.00 also sees the pair likely to push lower to test the 23 March low @ 108.40 so this just adds to the conviction.

All of that ties together with general dollar sentiment and how
Read 5 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/5: Today’s highlights
#EURUSD has surged higher to our recovery target of 1.1950/92 – the 38.2% retracement of the Q1 fall, mid-March highs and 55-day average and our bias remains to look for the rebound to ideally end here.
Credit Suisse 2/5: #USDJPY has broken support from the 23.6% retracement of the Q1 rally at 108.99, which is seen exposing more important support at 108.55/33. Failure to hold this latter area would see a top complete.
Credit Suisse 3/5: #EURGBP not maintains a base above .8643/65 as well as a bullish “reversal week” and we look for a deeper recovery to .8732 initially, then .8851/61.

#GBPUSD above 1.3783 would see a minor base complete to suggest the trend is shifting sideways.
Read 5 tweets
Danske Bank 1/4: Tactical FX Views.
#EURUSD - Has bounced back slightly in line with equities. We remain short, as per our 2021 top trade.

#EURNOK - as a strategic trade we like to sell NOK vs an equal weighted basket of #EUR and USD.
Danske Bank 2/4: #EURSEK - The krona firmly defied last week's substantial dividend payouts, in line with our expectation. Focus shifts to this week's inflation data. We expect #EURSEK to re-establish the 10.10-10.20 range for now.
Danske Bank 3/4: #EURGBP: We would like to go short $EURGBP again if increases continue. Keep an eye on Northern Ireland riots and Scottish Parliament election on 6 May

#USDJPY - spot starting to be priced as it was pre-corona as US yields and oil now move spot.
Read 4 tweets
ING Bank 1/4: #Eurozone: Waiting for the European phoenix
1Q21 will not be remembered as the finest hours of European politics. The glacial roll-out of vaccination programmes and the ‘crown jewel’ of the EU’s fiscal stimulus – the EU’s €750bn Recovery Fund –
ING Bank 2/4: is gathering dust in a Karlsruhe courtroom stand in stark contrast to the achievements in the US. Yet all is not lost. European manufacturing is holding up well and there are signs of life in the EU vaccine roll-out.
ING Bank 3/4: Our #EURUSD profile is slightly dimmed, but we still expect the #EUR to arise from the ashes of European policy. It should be in a position to challenge 1.25 – though probably not now until the third quarter.
Read 4 tweets
Danske Bank 1/4: #EURUSD finished last week slightly below 1.19, having rallied since Easter. This week, focus will likely turn to US inflation, which is set to accelerate towards 2.5% as well as a number of #Fed speeches.
#forex #forextrade #forextrading #fxstreet #trading
Danske Bank 2/4: Naturally, market will also focus if dollar weakness can be sustained further. With inflation set to rise and the theme of repricing yields having stalled, there may be scope for Fed to push the dollar lower here.
Danske Bank 3/4: In our base case, though, we see levels above 1.19 as good for selling #EURUSD.
#EURGBP continues to trade below 0.87 amid AstraZeneca issues, lower vaccine deliveries, Northern Ireland riots and the upcoming Scottish Parliament election on 6 May.
Read 4 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/5: #EURUSD remains unable to clear its 200d avge & strength stays seen as corrective #EURUSD remains unable to clear its 200d avge, now at 1.1896 & our bias remains to view recent strength as just a corrective recovery following the fall to our 1.1695 first core Image
Credit Suisse 2/5: downside target. Supp for a setback remains seen at 1.1867/60 initially, below which can see a small top complete to ease the immediate upside bias for a fall back to 1.1823/22, which we look to hold initially. Below 1.1795/87 though is needed to confirm a more
Credit Suisse 3/5: decisive rejection of the 200-day average has been seen, clearing the way for a move back to 1.1737, then a retest of 1.1703/1.1695.
A sustained move above 1.1896 can see strength extend to the 38.2% retracement of the entire 2021 fall at 1.1948/50,
Read 5 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/5: Today’s #Forex highlights
#EURGBP not only maintains a base above .8643/65 but the close above .8574 on Friday has also seen a bullish “reversal week” established to reinforce the likelihood for a deeper recovery to .8732 initially, then .8851/61.
Credit Suisse 2/5: #GBPUSD maintains a bearish “reversal day” to keep the risk lower in its range with supp seen at 1.3641, then 1.3514.

#EURCHF continues to weigh heavily on the bottom of its recent range at 1.1004/1.0994, below which would confirm a top & a correction lower.
Credit Suisse 3/5: #EURUSD continues to struggle to clear its 200-day average at 1.1896 and the current strength stays seen as a temporary and corrective move higher.
Read 5 tweets
KBC Bank 1/4: The economic calendar contains US CPI today. Consensus lies at 1.5% y/y for both headline and core measures. Inflation is gradually becoming a topic in markets thinking with US market-based inflation expectations reaching ever higher levels.
KBC Bank 2/4: For today however, the reading probably won’t have a dramatic impact. We more look forward to US 10-yr bond sale later today. Will the recent rise in long rates suffice to offset the increased inflation (and perhaps sovereign credit) risks markets see to the fiscal
KBC Bank 3/4: and monetary abundancy? A smooth auction would probably ease such fears. This could solidify the 1.2% (10-yr) and 2% (30-yr) technical resistance areas, but only for the short term. It could keep the USD in a less beneficial position as well,
Read 4 tweets
KBC Bank 1/4: The big reflation trade took a moment to catch its breath yesterday. Circumstances were ideal with no important data scheduled to trigger abrupt market moves. Equities finished broadly unchanged after erasing earlier losses, both in the EMU and the US.
KBC Bank 2/4: Core bond yields traded choppy and below recent (recovery) highs. The US kicked off its bond sales with 3yr tenor. The auction went smoothly but didn’t impact markets. US Treasuries edged higher at the long end of the curve, sending rates marginally lower driven by
KBC 3/4: the real yield component. German yields ended a volatile trading day flat. Peripheral yield spreads widened just 1 bps. #USD traded on the back foot even as risk sentiment was fragile. #EURUSD took out intermediate resist around 1.208 to finish session north of 1.21again
Read 4 tweets
UOB Group 1/4: #EURUSD: Further sideway-trading would not be surprising even though the slightly firmed underlying tone suggests a higher range of 1.2030/1.2085.

#GBPUSD: underlying tone still appears to be positive & there is chance for GBP to edge above 1.3760. That said, next
UOB 2/4: resist at 1.3800 is not expected to come into the picture. On downside,1.3680 low is acting as a solid support and is unlikely to come under threat (1.3710 is already quite a strong level).

#AUDUSD: Upward momentum is beginning to improve and AUD could edge above 0.7730
UOB 3/4: For today, next resist at 0.7765 is likely out of reach. Supp is at 0.7685 followed by 0.7660.

#NZDUSD: Upward momentum has improved & risk is for NZD to move higher. 0.7250 is a solid resist & NZD may not be able to maintain a foothold above this level. Supp is at 0.72
Read 4 tweets
Danske Bank 1/4: Tactical #FX Views:
#EURUSD - s/t risk is symmetric after the correction in spot. We remain short via 6M seagull, as per our 2021 top trade.

#EURNOK - We remain short but turn increasingly wary of signs of peak potential.
Danske Bank 2/4: Watch broad USD, oil prices, USD real rates and the global reflation theme as indicators for when sentiment could turn.

#EURSEK - remains close to our 1M target of 10.10 as the #Riksbank constitutes a non-event
Danske Bank 3/4: #EURGBP - we remain short $EURGBP but it may take a breather near-term

#USDJPY - $USDJPY took starting to be priced like it was pre-corona as US yields and oil now move spot. Strength of downtrend is fading in line with #USDCNH momentum.
Read 4 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/5: #EURUSD: A bullish “reversal day” from our 1.1945/14 target leaves the immediate risk higher #EURUSD continues to push higher following the bullish “reversal day” from our target at 1.1945/14- the 23.6% retracement of the entire 2020/2021 uptrend
Credit Suisse 2/5: and first “measured top objective” – and whilst we think there is scope for this recovery to further yet, our bias for now remains to treat this as a temporary bounce.
Resistance moves to 1.2088 initially, then 38.2% retracement of the Jan/Feb fall at 1.2104.
Credit Suisse 3/5: We would look for this to then ideally cap for a fresh move lower. Beyond 1.2104 though would suggest we may be seeing near-term range shift sideways with resist then seen next in 1.2156/90 zone, but with this then expected to cap to define the top of a range.
Read 5 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/4: Today’s #Forex highlights:
#GBPUSD has pushed to a new high for the year and above trend resistance at 1.3788, which should reinforce the existing major base for a move to 1.4000, ahead of 1.4302/77 and eventually our core objective at 1.49/1.51.
Credit Suisse 2/4: #EURGBP maintains a bearish “outside day” to reinforce its existing large bearish “head & shoulders” top and we stay bearish for .8609.

#USDJPY has seen a decisive rejection as expected from our first objective of the 200-day average at 105.57 and we see scope
Credit Suisse 3/4: for a deeper setback to the near-term uptrend at 104.20.

#EURUSD maintains its recovery after the bullish “reversal day” from our 1.1945/14 target – the 23.6% retracement of entire 2020/2021 rally – & we continue to look for a recovery from here to test 1.2104
Read 4 tweets
OCBC Bank 1/5: #EURUSD Downside risks averted? Choppy action left the $EURUSD still anchored on either side of the 1.2050 level. Buoyant early Tue, but the 1.2080/90 resistance still intact. Despite negative lead from
fundamentals (German lockdowns etc),
OCBC Bank 2/5: the technical picture may turn positive if the 1.2000 level is not breached again soon.

#USDJPY Upside momentum eased. $USDJPY pull-back extended towards 105.00 overnight after an initial attempt to move towards 105.80. The stalling of the 10y UST yield at 1.20%
OCBC Bank 3/5: may have contributed to the implicit heaviness. The risk-on environment should provide some, albeit limited, supported. Will not turn negative on this pair unless 104.80/00 is breached.

#AUDUSD Bearish bias erased. Riskon and firm commodity complex spurred $AUDUSD
Read 5 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/5: $EURUSD: A bullish “reversal day” from our 1.1945/14 tget, but we are reluctant to chase strength far.
#EURUSD weakness has not only essentially extended to our tget at 1.1945/14 - 23.6% retracement of entire 2020/2021 uptrend and first “measured top objective” Image
Credit Suisse 2/5: – but the completion of a bullish “reversal day” from here suggests this should remain a floor for now as expected, clearing the way for a temporary recovery. Resistance moves to 1.2051/55 initially, then the near-term downtrend and price resistance at 1.2088,
CS 3/5: with 38.2% retracement of Jan/Feb fall seen at 1.2104. We would look for this 1.2088/1.2104 zone to then ideally cap for a fresh move lower. Beyond 1.2104 though can see a push into 1.2156/90 price resist zone, but with this then expected to cap to define top of a range.
Read 5 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/5: Today’s #Forex highlights:
#USDJPY remains capped as expected at our first objective of 200-day average and November high at 105.59/75 and a pause is looked for here. Big picture,with a bullish “wedge” & “reversal month” in place we continue to look for a break
Credit Suisse 2/5: in due course, with the “wedge objective” at 106.95/107.05.

#AUDUSD reverted sharply higher from the 55-day average, posting a bullish “reversal day” and is now pressuring against the “neckline” to its top at .7683.
CS 3/5: #EURUSD has posted a bullish “reversal day” from our 1.1945/14 tget – 23.6% retraceme of entire 2020/21 rally – & we continue to look for a near-term recovery from here.
We continue to watch #EUR in outright terms closely though as an important top may be close to forming
Read 5 tweets
1.23'deyken, fiyatın ne tarafa gideceğini biliyor musun?

Etrafındaki goygoyculara kulak veriyorsun:

Kimisi "aşağı" diyor, kimisi "yukarı".

1.23'den pozisyon açmak zorunda mısın?

Belli ki sıkıldın, işleme giresin var.

O halde beni dinlemelisin.


Kafana göre bulduğun 1 noktadan işleme girme sebebin, ortalamaların artık tamamen yukarı dönmesi olabilir.

Pivotların üzerinde olabiliriz, belki de uyumsuzluklar vardır.

Ortalık yerden işleme gireceksen ve hedefin 30 pips ise, mutlaka 15 pips stop kullanmalısın.

20 pips hedefliyorsan, 10 pips stop deneyebilirsin.

Bu konuda mutlaka 1 hesabın olsun.

1:2 risk / kazanç oranı makul olabilir.

Bu konuda fiyatla inatlaşmamanı ve stratejiyi tamamen durdurmanı öneririm.

Riski katlayarak sistemi yönetmek canını sıkabilir.

Read 10 tweets
Aşağıdaki Fibo Expansion'lar fiyat geri çekildikten sonra nereyi hedeflediği konusunda size bilgi sunmayı amaçlar.

Lütfen aşağıda verdiğim görselleri inceleyin.

Anlaması zor değil.


Read 9 tweets
Bugün işleme girmeyeceğim.

Biraz ders çalışalım, ufuk açalım.

Fiyat nereye gitmek ister, nerelerde dinlenmek ister, bunu tespit etmeye çalışalım.

Hem de sadece Fibonacci ile.

Kanal falan kullanmayalım.

Hemen başlayalım.



Haftalık grafikte şu büyük Fibo'yu çekebiliriz.

Tepkileri değerlendirelim.

F236'yı hedeflemiş.

O noktayı gördükten sonra F382 hedeflemiş ve orayı da görmüş.

Noktalar gayet adrese teslim çalışmış.

Bu grafik dursun.

Günlüğe geçelim.

Haftalığın üstüne günlüğü attım.

Haftalık 38.2 düşüşünde günlük Fibo değerleri yine adrese telim çalışmış.

Durak noktaları ve bu noktalarda alınacak extra riskler gayet güzel görünüyor.

Bu Fibo'ya da dokunmayalım.

Üstüne bir küçük zamanlı Fibo daha atalım.

Read 10 tweets
@borsaninizinden Geç de olsa #DXY için notlarımı siteye yükledim.…

Pariteler hakkındaki yorumumu ise gün içinde bu başlığın altında paylaşırım.
@borsaninizinden Merhaba İbrahim Bey, sizin bu konudaki tecrübe ve birikiminiz kadar sizi izleyenlerin de katkısı olur diye pariteler hakkındaki görüşlerimi buraya eklemeyi düşündüm.

Ancak sayfanızı meşgul ederse kusura bakmayın şimdiden. Buyrun başlayalım:
@borsaninizinden 1) Benim konuya yaklaşımım farklı olduğu için belki farklı fikirler de çıkar hem.

Ancak yeni katılanlar için bu tür pozisyon paylaşımı yapmadığımı, sadece DXY ile ilgili çalışmamı tamamladığı için bunları yazdığımı baştan belirteyim. Sonra yanlış anlaşılma olmasın. 😊
Read 15 tweets
A Take on #USD as reserve currency
#USFED #dollarindex #Dollar #dollarglobal #EURUSD #EURO

The Fed has printed more money out of thin air in just the last couple of months in 2020 than it has for its entire 107-year existence.
Before February 2020 , the Western governments were in debt to an extent where it would have been impossible to repay.
What’s a bigger issue, is the debts that were accumulated before the virus and those debts now have been blown to sky-high proportions
The only way to solve that problem is to default on it outright or to default on it by virtue of an inflationary outcome.
post-2008 financial crisis, the "solution" to the problem was an extension of credit by the banking system.
Read 9 tweets
Bu twit dizisinde sana nasıl daha iyi olacağınla ilgili ipuçları sunacağım.

Bunu yaparken hatalarından bahsedeceğim.

Yaptığın hataları ben de yaptım ve defalarca kez tekrarladım.

Bazen geçmişe özlem duyarcasına yapmaya da devam ediyorum.

Başlıyorum +++

En büyük hatan sabırsız olman.

Bunu sana çok net olarak söyleyebilirim.


Beklemen gerekliliğinin neden bu kadar önemli olduğunu anlatacağım.

Ancak ondan önce hedeflerimizi ve onlara nasıl ulaşacağımızı konuşalım.

Günlük 30 pips hedefliyorsun.

Neden 30 pips ve niye 0,01 lot?

0,01 lotla hiçbir şey kazanamadığını ben de görüyorum, en az senin kadar.

Ancak buna mecbursun.

Bu senin eğitimin için gerekli, para kazanman için değil.

Altın oranımız 250 dolar bakiyede 0,01 lot.

Read 26 tweets
Credit Suisse 1/4: Last week we outlined our reasons for expecting a period of consolidation in #G10FX, having previously been mostly #USD bearish for around 3 months, keeping our key near-term forecasts unchanged (#EURUSD 1.18, #USDJPY 105, #AUDUSD 0.72).
Credit Suisse 2/4: We highlighted factors such as extreme short USD positioning, consensus greenback bearishness and a relative shift in new negative surprises on the Covid news front away from the US and towards other centres such as the EU and Australia.
Credit Suisse 3/4: The debate around US fiscal stimulus also seems to be (very slowly) moving in the right direction towards an acceptable deal, with Senate majority leader McConnell saying he’s ready to support a package despite seeing “some problems with certain parts of it”,
Read 4 tweets

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