Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #eurusd

Most recents (24)

Es geht weiter in unserer Twitter - Tradingschule mit der Marktstruktur. Bearish, mit dem Trend etc. pp....viele Wörter die dieselbe Sache beschreiben.

Warum ihr noch nicht profitabel seid, weil ihr sie nicht respektiert und wie ihr sie nutzen könnt, erfahrt ihr hier... 🧵👇
Der Markt befindet sich im Grunde genommen in nur 2 Zuständen:

- In einem Trend
- In einer Konsolidierung

In diesen zwei Zuständen unterscheiden wir folgendermaßen:

Der Trend kann bullish oder bearish sein. Die Konsolidierung kann eine Akkumulation oder Distribution sein. TrendSchema
In einem Trend kommt es immer wieder zu Rücksetzern, den sogenannten "Retracements", bevor die nächste "Expansion" folgt.

Diese Bewegungen werden auch als Impulse bezeichnet. Das Retracement ist dabei eine Bewegung GEGEN den Trend, die Expansion eine BEWEGUNG mit dem Trend. Expansion vs Retracement
Read 14 tweets
...primo tentativo SOW Image
...secondo tentativo SOW Image
Read 9 tweets
Tóm tắt siêu gọn cho ae lười đọc về FOMC đêm qua: Fed nhấn mạnh thị trường lao động vẫn quá tốt và đồng ý rằng việc tăng lãi suất như vậy là "hơi nhanh", phát đi tín hiệu rằng ls đã có đỉnh + theo dữ liệu cpi mà xem xét khi nào cần tái nới lỏng 💸💵💰
Ae nào long #dxy thì chốt dần đi là vừa. Rất có thể sắp có đáy dài hạn cho #EurUsd 💶
đáy của tài sản rủi ro đã có hay chưa thì ko thể khẳng định, việc Fed tăng thêm ls sẽ khó xảy ra, điều quan trọng đó là mức ls này sẽ đc duy trì trong bao lâu. Dữ liệu kinh tế tệ hại của Mỹ đang khiến dòng tiền ko ngừng chảy từ dollar vào tài sản an toàn
Read 4 tweets
#MarketReport 2023/04

1) In this thread, I'll cover comparative performance of

📌 #Stock Indices
📌 #Exchange Rates
📌 Treasury #Bills and Government #Bonds

both for April and since pandemic. Image
2) #StockMarkets

MoM returns in April, at their own currency:

➡️ #SPX #IXIC #DJI #DAX #NI225 #XU100 Image
3) #StockMarkets

MoM returns in April, based on USD:

➡️ #SPX #IXIC #DJI #DAX #NI225 #XU100 Image
Read 10 tweets
#ChartStorm: 1/17
🗓️ March Performance of ...

🇺🇸 #SPX #IXIC #DJI 🇯🇵 #NI225 🇩🇪 #DAX 🇹🇷 #XU100


#TreasuryBills #GovernmentBonds #Yields
2) Here I'll cover 6 stock market indices in 4 countries:

In order to compare the relative performances, I've chosen a pre-pandemic basis, which is 31/12/2019 closing values.

As Nasdaq, S&P500 and DJI are denominated in US dollars, but the others not, returns are misleading.
3) I have adjusted the data, and now all are denominated in US dollars.

#BIST returns are still amazing with its 30.4%, but not striking as above. Besides it is positive only after Sep'22. #Nasdaq is leading with 36.2% return. #Nikkei225 is the only index below pandemic level.
Read 17 tweets
Dolar 15 TL’ye düşürülürse; döviz mevduatlarındaki $250 Milyar(5 Trilyon TL) $3,75 Trilyona düşer ve 8,2 Trilyon TL($410 Milyar) bankacılık kredi büyüklüğü $550 Milyara çıkar birde bunun KKM’si var... #usdtry #bist #usdcny #btctry #btcusd #eurusd
Read 10 tweets

Net positions of commercials is ranging, while open interest rises, which indicates they predominantly open positions compared to closing contracts. Also, opened long and short contracts are equal, in terms of amount.

1/9 Image
We observe huge drop in open interest, during consolidation market, as the net positions of commercial were increasing. This is cleary seen in the blue box.

Huge drop (15% or more) in open interest during consolidation market is the big indication of where smart money reset themselves, in terms of hedging programs. SMT inbetween them robustly supports this idea. Meaning that FX is verye likely bullish, till the next quarter

Read 9 tweets
#DXY #USD #EURUSD #trading
I removed 33% of my longs on the EURUSD @ 1.0666-1.0693.
USD net long 67%
I removed another 15% of my longs on the EURUSD @ 1.0702.
USD net long 50%

My tweet on Mar 10 "USD net long 67%" should read as follows "USD net long 33%".
I removed another 15% of my longs on the EURUSD @ 1.0725. USD net long 65%.
Read 4 tweets
Here's a Step-by-Step guide on how I trade High Probability CHoCH 💯

Once you master it, your trading will improve by 67% (guaranteed)

A short thread 🧵 🪡

🖤 & RT for others
In the next 3 minutes (or more),

I'll show you how exactly to trade the highest probability CHoCH with high R:R

But before we begin, do me a favour:

Kindly Retweet the first tweet for other to see.

Done? You're my comrade 👊

Now let's dive 👇
First things first, it's important I establish this two basic points:

1. Trends does not last forever.

A Bullish Trend will at some point switch to Bearish, and vise versa.

Example 👇
Read 32 tweets
How I made 23R trading forex in 2 days risking only 1R per trade?

Sharing my 2 forex setups & exemples from today 🔥

Setup 1
- htf fu (liquidity sweep), m5 bos, ltf fu into bb / of (breaker block / order flow), m5 or m1 bos, bos / fvg / ob entry, 2R


Model 2
- htf fu, ltf fu right away, m5 or m1 bos, bos / fvg / ob entry, 2R

These 2 model setups combined with a 2R fixed TP are lethal 🎯

(I do sometimes target higher RR when I identify clear LRLR - low risk liquidity runs and / or MMXM)

Here are some exemples

🧵 2/…
From today’s trades that I SHARED HERE ON TWITTER IN REAL TIME as they were happening and I was entering them - NOT IN HINDSIGHT

(You can check all of my tweets from these past weeks to verify my claim - no 🧢)

Exemple 1:

#EURUSD : htf fu, bos, ltf fu into bb…

🧵 3/… Image
Read 11 tweets
🚀Degen Strategy🚀

💰How I turned $2048 into $100,000 in 1 month, and NOT losing it all back.

👉 No bullshit, at the end of the thread, there is a link for you guys to verify trade record on @Myfxbook

#forex #crypto Image
1⃣ A High Conviction View.
$DXY (USD Index) was trading around 105, a hard support, which if it holds, I have high conviction it will bounce to 110 in a short time, aka, bullish continuation bias.

With that view, I chose to short #EURUSD and Long #USDJPY Image
2⃣ Money Management (MM) is 🔑

I deposited $2048 on 08.08.2022, with that fund, I can trade up to 100 lot #EURUSD. But my trade size is only 0.1 to 0.5 lot.

First trade was a loss, neverminded, I tried again the next day and started making some small wins. Image
Read 8 tweets
Tv 'de izliyorum Japon yeni dolar'a karşı güçleniyor deniyor. Geçen aylarda nasıldı ? Japonya ne yaparsa yapsın değer kaybını önleyemiyor.
Severiz japonları Image
Algı işleri hep.. #DXY Ekimden beri düşüyor. Image
Read 9 tweets
EURUSD High Probability Trades - A Thread 🧵

We are going to have a look at how we can identify:

1. The correct days to look for a trade
2. The direction we should trade in
3. Where to look for entries on a set and forget basis
4. Where to look for the high r/r trades

#eurusd Image
We start on the daily chart, we are looking here for local liquidity and also the correct days to look for a trade.

You shall see that we are in an overall uptrend.
When in an uptrend we only want to look for the long entry. We do this as price is always seeking liquidity.... Image
In this example the liquidity is to the upside so these are the areas we mark
What we want to see is down days followed by a single up day
This shows us momentum has shifted and we are on the hunt for that liquidity
We look to trade on day 4
(Image show the days we look to trade) Image
Read 17 tweets
#EURUSD fvg delievered as expected

TP 1 hit (4R)
50% off and would move SL to BE if i was in

but unluckily for me and my Account i need to practice Patience and discipline

So no trade for me after my win in the morning
Read 4 tweets
Daily Currency 🧵- Nov 11th, 2022


Huge moves happening, some that require attention. Starting with the dollar, we saw this blow through momo yesterday and continue to fall this morning. To get a solid trend shift, we're going to need to see some components shift too! Image
A trend shift in the dollar will add more confirmation to the Risk-On regime, which has been brewing under the surface for over a month now. Market Illiquidity improving is supporting the narrative of a possible shift. This really comes down to how the major components trade... Image
$EUR (largest $DXY component)

The EUR was able to blow through parity and get a good squeeze going in the last two days. We still have some distance to momo, a failure to break there will give very low confidence of a DXY trend shift sticking.

Read 5 tweets
Daily Currency 🧵- Nov 10th, 2022


The dollar is holding a bid ahead of the CPI print today. Remember, it's bullish trend until it isn't. Lower VAMP AND momo MUST hold for the trend to remain intact. Image
$EUR (largest $DXY component)

EUR is back under parity this morning ahead of US CPI. For the time, we're still holding above mid-VAMP, but parity has been the key for quite some time now. If we can't hold it post-print, watch for lower VAMP.

$JPY (2nd largest $DXY component)

Despite the Yen edging off its lows, we're still under the BoJ initial intervention level. Can we get back above and squeeze some shorts or will this shit the bed post CPI? Trend remains🐻

Read 4 tweets
Daily Currency 🧵- Nov 9th, 2022


The dollar seems to continue to hold above momo and lower VAMP. These levels would need to break before we can talk about a confirmed dollar top / "peak dollar". Image
$EUR (largest $DXY component)

The EUR is still stuck around parity as bulls and bears fight for dominance. We are at upper VAMP so some significant momentum is going to need to appear quickly as this has almost 300bps of short-term downside risk.

$JPY (2nd largest $DXY component)

Similarly to the EUR, this is still unable to get above and run from its resistance level, with this one being the BoJ wall. Lower VAMP has yet to really lift off lows...

Read 4 tweets
DISCLAIMER : This is for educational purpose and not financial advise.

Monthly market analysis Oct 31, 2022

#StockMarket #DowJones best month since 1976

Let's look at more closely 🧵👇
1. After technical oversold and very negative sentiment in Sep month, #StockMarket was finally able to reverse direction this month. $DJIA had the best month since 1976 (+14%). $NDX was underperformed (5%) compared to $SPX (8.8%), $RUT(11%).

2. Let's look at US 10Y #Bond Yield price action. It was very volatile and tested 4.3% Jun'08 high before reversing -9.8% to the end of the month. This month it finished up 5.7%. RSI did not make new high at Oct 21 when it reached peak 4.33% (bearish reversal)
#StockMarket Image
Read 53 tweets
DISCLAIMER : This is for educational purpose and not financial advise.

Monthly market analysis Sep 30, 2022

#StockMarket Worst week, worst month, and worst quarter of the year since Financial crisis and dot-com bubble. Why it happened?

Let's look at more closely 🧵👇
1. After making reversal at H/S neckline in early Aug, US 10Y Yield #bond broke out from Feb'11 high 3.73% and have held up strongly for about a week. This month, yield has gone up +20%, bad for risk and long duration assets

#StockMarket Image
2. US 02Y Yield #bond broke out resistance 3.7% and past 4% strongly after Fed Reserve hawkish announcement and never look back. This month yield has gone up more than +22%

#StockMarket Image
Read 49 tweets
1/6 Busy day today in the markets,

Since I'm the type of trader who guides himself by the Price Action mainly, I prefer the phrase "show me the charts and I'll tell you the news" by Bernand Baruch.

Some thoughts below about #EURUSD #DXY .

CC: @JLinWins @deerpointmacro
2/6 Pre-Powell speech we had some headlines from #ECB officials signaling a potential 75bps rate hike due to #inflation and problems in the #EURO zone.
This caused $EURUSD to tap the supply area and perform a beautiful liquidity grab before resuming the current trend. Image
3/6 After losing the 1.00 / parity area, $EURUSD buyers must defend the $0.995 level. If we see that level taken out on a daily closing basis the target for this "bearish flag" pattern is $0.96 area, a -3.46% give or take.
Read 7 tweets
#analysis #10YRUS #DXY #crypto #SP500 #EURUSD #Bitcoin #ETH #EGLD

1/16 Good evening everyone,

All eyes where on the CPI, Core CPI and PPI reports this week. The slowdown in inflation is actually a confirmation that FED's demand destruction program starts to be felt by markets.
2/16 The 10YUS bonds are retesting now the "Neckline" of the daily Head&Shoulders. If buyers manage to push the price beyond 2.9% and close above it on a weekly closing basis, it means that the breakout was a fakeout and that might put a break to the RiskOn assets rally.
4/16 Continuing my idea from the last analysis, DXY looks toppy on monthly and it confirmed my fakeout theory. I still want to see more confirmation, meaning a clear weekly close under 105, but for now RiskOn assets are happy with this weaker DXY.

Read 17 tweets
#EURUSD 4hr Update


GA on FOMC day!

Watch for blue TL break. As long as PA is above this we can squeeze/spike higher b4 sell off resumes. We need a 4hr candle close below this TL b4 sellers come back in.

New fib ext drawn below. If we spike higher I will simple redraw

with new TL. New fib ext drawn as we had 2 green candle retracement during Asia WITHOUT completing 2 red candle closes below the previous swing lows at 0130. Complete candlestick structure requires 2 red candle closes below the swing low. If this doesn't occur and retraces

as we did during Asia with 2 green candles then we redraw the fib ext as above. If you aren't in a swing from above as I am and you are day trading... then good luck. If in swing positions shorts are still looking good and have not been invalidated.
GL and don't get chopped
Read 3 tweets
Ehi there #Crypto and #macro Twitter

Time for #market analysis #Number12!

"Quiet, before the storm"

I will explain here what happened since last week, and cover the broader #economy as it breaks

I will start from #onchain #BTC, going into #Technical Analysis + #macro🧵
First of all, if you want to have a deeper insight in what happened the week before, you should check my last #weekly #analysis

I'll put the link here for you:

But let's start digging into this week, should we?
Last week we experienced a rally in #crypto with #Eth leading the way with a speculative date on the merge happening on September 19th.

BTC managed to rally breaking the trendline at resistance and the realized price, but failed to maintain those as support ImageImageImage
Read 23 tweets

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