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So it appear there are to be two statements - a joint one and a unilateral UK one setting out the conditions on which the UK would consider the backstop should come to an end.
I guess Q is how many that would reassure beyong @SteveBakerHW and core ERG rump of 20? /1
I guess Q is how many that would reassure beyong @SteveBakerHW and core ERG rump of 20? /1
@SteveBakerHW Per @Mij_Europe tweet maybe this is about shaving down the numbers; isolating the diehards, not total victory...but... /2
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe Doesn't change the fundamental issue, which is the UK parliament cannot reach a stable majority on the future relationship - which is critical as to whether the backstop is ever used.
In short, the customs union nettle has not been grasped, which is the root of all this. /3
In short, the customs union nettle has not been grasped, which is the root of all this. /3
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe All May's attempts to scare this deal over the line, or to hoodwink clean-break Brexiteers into voting for it have failed.
And will contine to fail until we go back to the drawing board and ask what relationship we need to square the demands of Brexit with the demands GFA /4
And will contine to fail until we go back to the drawing board and ask what relationship we need to square the demands of Brexit with the demands GFA /4
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe May's deal arguable does this - delviering free movement curbs and host of other freedoms while keeping trade links as needed to deliver on the border.
The ERG has made it axiomatic that #Brexit means leaving the customs union.
But why? This is a minority view. /5
The ERG has made it axiomatic that #Brexit means leaving the customs union.
But why? This is a minority view. /5
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe The economic case for doing so is pitifully weak, and holding entire process to ransom.
I'm not going to rehearse arguments in full. See here /6
I'm not going to rehearse arguments in full. See here /6
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe May original sin in this entire negotiation was not to confront these issues.
To create space for all sides to make arguments for and against.
#Brexit was voted on by the entire country, and in my view that vote should be respected /7
To create space for all sides to make arguments for and against.
#Brexit was voted on by the entire country, and in my view that vote should be respected /7
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe But it cannot happen until there is a stable political environment and everyone stops lying/pretending.
If the deal falls becuase of the ERG blocking minority, then lets have another deal; or a pause for a General Election to let someone else have a go. /8
If the deal falls becuase of the ERG blocking minority, then lets have another deal; or a pause for a General Election to let someone else have a go. /8
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe This is why the EU are sitting on their hands.
They don't see the UK going for a 'no deal' or Mrs May's deal passing in current form.
And if it did, then we'll be having same fight in a few months when trade talks begin. /9
They don't see the UK going for a 'no deal' or Mrs May's deal passing in current form.
And if it did, then we'll be having same fight in a few months when trade talks begin. /9
@SteveBakerHW @Mij_Europe The only hope is that this week is the start of a confrontation with reality.
I'm not holding my breath. 10/Ends
I'm not holding my breath. 10/Ends
