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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
, 6 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
NEW: The EU Wants The UK To Approve The Brexit Deal This Week Or Face A Long Delay To Brexit buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Officials & diplomats preparing this week's EUCO will look at two draft options: short extension to 22 May if deal approved this week, if not, the UK faces a long 9 or 12 month extension
EU/27 are also looking at ways to enhance sincere cooperation with strict conditions given the UK’s status as a departing member state, including how the EU can terminate a "flextension" early
EU27 leaders are also expected to confirm that in the event of no-deal, EU would not enter talks with the UK without agreement on Irish border, citizen rights, & financial settlement
The content of the draft seen by @BuzzFeedNews will be discussed by ambassadors and sherpas ahead of this week’s EUCO. As always, worth keeping in mind that terms of extension is a decision for the 27 leaders and things can change tomorrow and at the summit itself
Full story: buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
A belated thought on the Spanish election: the VOX result is for obvious historical reasons significant. But looking at where the party did well, it seems to be mostly, for now at least, an important subset of PP electorate. So, different to far-right elsewhere in Europe
In other words, big parties in Spain and elsewhere, which are in effect broad coalitions, are struggling to keep their contradictions together as debates and issues become increasingly polarised and all too often binary
Finally, although there is no way to be 100% immune to these trends, it is worth noting that those leaders who have stood up and fought for more moderate/centrist views and values have often performed better than those that have instead pandered to the fringes
Read 3 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
70% of the vote counted in Spain:

PSOE 29.3% (123 seats)
PP 16.7% (65)
Cs 15.4% (57)
Podemos 11.9% (35)
Vox 10.1% (23)
ERC 3.8% (15)
Some initial thoughts:

- fragmentation continues define many EU countries' politics
- good result for PSOE. The death of social democrats seems to have been greatly exaggerated..
- terrible result for PP (copying the far-right rarely works)
- VOX result is important. The far-right party barely registered in 2016
- forming a gov't will be difficult. If C's don't shift on working with PSOE, Sánchez will need the support of regional parties.
Read 4 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
Meanwhile, in Italy: Last night at a rally, Salvini said Europe needs rescuing now or it will become an Islamic caliphate.

Today, he asked children on stage at another rally, and said he wanted these children in Italy not prepackaged migrant ones that arrive on boats.
Salvini also said that he was against "substituting populations". (a far-right trope and conspiracy theory)

His far-right Lega party is polling on nearly 35% in the run up to the European Parliamentary elections.

Links:

agi.it/politica/salvi…

ilfattoquotidiano.it/2019/04/28/can…
What's extraordinary about Salvini's popularity is that Italy's economy is doing dreadfully, its influence in Europe and the wider world is waning, and his gov't has done little that resembles serious reforms, yet his propaganda continues to work.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU leaders PM speaking to today have little expectation of a breakthrough in the cross-party talks with Jeremy Corbyn ahead of emergency #Brexit summit on Wednesday /1
EU leaders think it good idea to be in contact already now. PM doesn't have a good track record of performing 'on the night' at summits. She just spoke to Dutch PM Rutte. They'll talk again Weds morning before summit starts. Translation: No room for any more misunderstandings /2
EU leaders must come to unanimous conclusion on PM's extension request. But countries are divided. So Belgian PM has asked inner core of Most Affected Nations (affected by #Brexit ) eg Germany France, Netherlands to meet just before summit. An attempt to iron out differences /3
Read 12 tweets
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Alan Greene
@DrAlanGreene
I am now reading Policy Exchange's report on the Irish border... because my students are doing exams and they are miserable so I want to be miserable too out of solidarity with them. #Brexit
policyexchange.org.uk/publication/ge…
I suppose this GIF is me using the threat of a return to violence as a political tool. I am a disgrace. #Brexit
How many times does it have to be said? Ireland is not threatening to use its veto because Ireland doesn't have to use its veto. Ireland IS the EU; the EU is Ireland. The UK's entire #Brexit strategy seems to miss this fundamental point time and time again.
Read 19 tweets
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Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺
@nicktolhurst
1/ A small thread on why BOTH many Remainers & Leavers still havent "got" that #Brexit has already failed...
....even if it goes ahead.
& why its often "media noise" rather than "actual lies" is obscuring this & the fact that Brexit wont happen as we thought it would 2 years ago.
2/ Basic Leave idea pre #Brexit vote was that a prosperous UK with large trade deficit eager to retain many European standards wld not really offer a threat to EU was not completely implausible as many remainers assumed.
But it depended on....
3/ Basic #Brexit idea was to convince EU that with a bit of compromise & British payments UK cld leave single mkt but retain full access to it while it worked out its future. Indeed many sensible Leavers didnt want radical change overnight..however there was one small problem....
Read 16 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) Megathread - Yes, the #Brexit vote is illegitimate, and it's not elitist to say so

Simply put, a vote that is based on misconceptions and illusions but which *cannot* be reversed is an affront to democracy therefore the very concept of the referendum is illegitimate
2) So why was the #Brexit vote illegitimate? Well, broadly speaking:
1) The Brexit we "voted for" ends FoM, the ECJ & payments to EU
2) This will be severely damaging to the economy & jobs
3) If the public was asked today the same question but were told the above,Remain would win
3) Leave simply would not win if the costs of the #Brexit they promised were revealed honestly in a second referendum. The only way they could win is if these costs were obscured again

buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Read 13 tweets
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Brexitshambles #FBPE
@brexit_sham
THREAD (1) When the likes of Hannan feel the need to 'brush off' something so critical to the right-wing/neo-con #Brexit wet dream, we find digging a little deeper to be useful. After all, ground breaking 'shadow trade deals' with right-wing US think tanks is no small fish.
(2) In fact, given the growing negativity surrounding the #Brexit negotiations, compounded by the Govts' own damning economic analysis, one would have thought Hannan and Fox et al, would be shouting from the roof tops about their bespoke 'shadow US-UK trade deal.' Wouldn't you?
(3) The problem for our intrepid trade deal making duo, as almost always, is to be found in the detail; just what are, and who is, behind these neo-con US think tanks? Perhaps Daniel would enlighten us?
Read 21 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

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