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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
1/3 It was once argued that several of Europe's democracies -Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Britain & also Spain were immune to populism, variously because of their legacy of fascism, historic liberalism, strong institutions & fact their extremist populists were "beyond the pale"
2/3 These countries are no longer exceptions. Now seen successful populists. The general consensus among academics is this id due to combination of significant public 'demand' for their policies & changes in party 'supply' (parties like UKIP, AfD, FvD less toxic, more competent)
3/3 This new, interesting (academic) paper adds to this debate, looks mainly at Spain & Vox. Suggests that what matters is the increased importance of immigration to voters & ability of Vox to avoid badge of 'extremism' partly by focusing on other issues

bit.ly/2UKAu75
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Financial crisis = national populism? Not so, says new (academic) paper. People who lost income amid crisis became more likely to vote radical LEFT, not right. Fits with wider evidence we discuss in our book economic hardship helps left more than right

bit.ly/2ZG1H9Y
"we find no clear evidence that individuals whose economic circumstances deteriorated became more supportive of radical right parties"
Why does this matter? As we discuss in our book many (esp. on left) routinely wheel out "economic scarcity = populism" narrative. This is comfortable bc it fits older Marxist takes & reluctance of many today to even think about let alone accept (more important) cultural drivers
Read 4 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Wowzer. New poll on Britain's #EP2019 next month

-more than half of Leave support now going to Brexit Party
-'hard' Eurosceptic Brexit Party + UKIP on a combined 34% of vote

Brexit Party 27%
Labour 22%
Conservative 15%
Lib Dem 9%
UKIP 7%
Change UK 6%
SNP 4%

YouGov Apr 16
Well, Brexit has been handled so well that it appears to have brought Nigel Farage back to life. Back in 2014, we estimated that the ceiling for the populist right in Britain was approx. 30%. An open question is whether the Brexit fiasco has now raised that ceiling.
Looking at numbers, Brexit Party appears to be hoovering up disillusioned Conservatives, Leavers, bit more popular among men, 50 years +, stronger among working-class (though significant middle-class support) & more than two-fold support in Midlands/non-London south than London
Read 5 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Memo to Conservative Party:

Since March 29th you've averaged just 32.6%
This is Michael Howard 2005 territory
You've lost 9 pts in a year
You're losing Leavers; support down 12 points in 5 months
UKIP+Brexit Party have doubled in 3 months to 11%

These numbers = PM Jeremy Corbyn
I did warn about all of this happening in the @spectator in July 2018; that Prime Minister May's handling of Brexit and misinterpretation of how Leavers see Brexit was going to put populists back on steroids spectator.co.uk/2018/07/ukip-i…
Would also recommend @Telegraph piece by @whatukthinks: "Winning back lost Leave voters would be crucial ... However, now that many have lost their faith in ability of Conservatives to deliver, stirring words about a ‘hard’ Brexit may no longer be enough" bit.ly/2KESs6B
Read 3 tweets

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↙↙↙ Ꮶ₳🆁ᙢ🅐🏴🏴 ĀÉQUITĀS VERITĀS
@ofccadjust
1.
Info dump. Fash accounts. #Fascism #Trolls #NeoNazi #WhiteSupremacy #Twitter

All with bios, account IDs, etc..

@/mikepfanaccount => 1060400718505525248
@/branbeast_ => 1245477500
@/prichardington => 1013818520889683969
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Info dump. Fash accounts. #Fascism #Trolls #NeoNazi #WhiteSupremacy #Twitter

Mike Enoch Peinovich Followers (following him)

pastebin.com/KifeYgDf
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Info dump. Fash accounts. #Fascism #Trolls #NeoNazi #WhiteSupremacy #Twitter

Mike Enoch Peinovich Following (following them)

pastebin.com/Z1W6gX5R
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Nasty1.
@Nasty_1_
1/ This thread will be the start on my thread on the Holy Roman Empire.

Yes, The Holy Roman Empire Still exists. Their Symbolism is everywhere.
Since the days of Charlemagne 25th December 800 AD, to the present day, the Nobility of the Holy Roman Empire are still in charge.
#HRE
2/ Their Need For Symbolism Will Be Their Downfall .
#HRE
3/ This thread will include All the Nobility, their Family names , their titles, Countries & Free Imperial City States of the Holy Roman Empire including the Members of the Holy See & The Imperial Ecclesiastical Nobility !
#HRE #Vatican #HolySee
Read 72 tweets
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Black Archaeology
@blackarcheology
How Europe Raped Africa

The Berlin conference of 1884 is where European colonising nations basically carved up Africa. Historians refer to it as “the scramble for Africa”.

#Africa #Europe #WhiteSupremacy
The countries represented at the time included Austria-Hungary, Belgium, Denmark, #France, #Germany, Great Britain, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, #Russia, #Spain, Sweden-Norway (unified from 1814-1905), #Turkey, and the United States of #America.
The Conference of 1884–85, also known as the Congo Conference, regulated European colonization and trade in #Africa during the New Imperialism period and coincided with Germany's sudden emergence as an imperial power.
Read 34 tweets
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Josh Russell
@josh_emerson
There are only about 10 accounts I can 99% say were operated by the internet research agency.

And about 40 that I am suspect of.

RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA REMAINS ON REDDIT
wired.com/story/reddit-r…
Wired and CNN hit the 5 we knew about already.

/u/Maineylops
/u/King_Andersons
/u/Maxwel_Terry
/u/Kevin_Milner
/u/Peter_Hurst

money.cnn.com/2018/03/08/tec…
mostly found because they were spamming links to: /blackmattersus.com /donotshoot.us
Read 51 tweets
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Anonymous (ATGM)
@YourAnonCentral
The multipolar spin: how fascists operationalize left-wing resentment. Read what the @splcenter & @MaxBlumenthal don't want you to read here: web.archive.org/web/2018030922…
And download it here:
"​During his recent tour of Europe, disgraced former Trump strategist Steve Bannon declared “Italy is in the lead.” /1 #antifa #Fascism
Amid the historic resurgence of the Italian far right that returned right-wing populist Silvio Berlusconi to prominence, Bannon fantasized about “the ultimate dream” of unifying the anti-establishment Five Star Movement with the far-right League (formerly the Northern League)- /2
Read 92 tweets
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Jeff Seldin
@jseldin
#Europe "an increasingly complex & competitive security environment," SACEUR/@US_EUCOM Commander Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti tells #SASC in opening statement
"Our adaptation to the environment has made significant progress...particularly under the European Deterrence Initiative" per Gen Scaparrotti, calling it "the largest reinforcement of Euro-Atlantic Defense in a generation"
Gen Scaparrotti also says @NATO alliance "is strong" and that "European allies & #Canada have turned a corner on defense spending with increases in each of the past 3 years" adding $46 billion to defense spending
Read 44 tweets

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