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Trump’s 2016 path to the White House, which was the political equivalent of getting dealt a Royal Flush in poker, is probably not replicable in 2020 with an agitated Democratic electorate.
Find out why Dems are poised to win the Electoral College
cnu.edu/wasoncenter/20…
Find out why Dems are poised to win the Electoral College
cnu.edu/wasoncenter/20…
Here's how well my model performed at the district/state level in 2018
Free of polls and relying on fixed factors like partisanship, college education, and diversity, my model can give a huge lead time. Here is what my model said about some of the most competitive House races in July when 1st released
Which is why I knew that Orange County, California was going to be ground 0 of the Blue Wave months before Election Day
1 more thing: Many of you have requested a non-twitter way of staying apprised of what I am up to. I am happy to say there is now an app for that. Please sign up! Yes, this will be used for the surveys but also for newsletters and others analyses. I need to get the wording fixed
