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Dems at risk of learning absolute wrong lesson from 2016.
The prospect of being the first female president is a general election *asset.*
The worst *liability* you can have: an image as a political insider/elite.
nytimes.com/2019/07/03/us/…
The prospect of being the first female president is a general election *asset.*
The worst *liability* you can have: an image as a political insider/elite.
nytimes.com/2019/07/03/us/…
It’s no accident Hillary Clinton failed to connect but Dem women running as political outsiders absolutely crushed it in House & other 2018 races - including in tons of states/districts Clinton lost.
“But the presidency is different!” we hear. Which is also what pundits said in ~2015 to rationalize why voters would elect flame-throwing R outsiders to Congress but never Donald Trump to the White House.
It turns out voters usually keep wanting what they want.
It turns out voters usually keep wanting what they want.
What 2018 primaries told us: Dem primary voters believe the best way to send a message to Trump is to send a woman.
Looks like that was a good reason to be skeptical of March/April polls showing 5-6 dudes combining for ~64% of the 2020 primary vote.
Looks like that was a good reason to be skeptical of March/April polls showing 5-6 dudes combining for ~64% of the 2020 primary vote.
Another hint from 2018: Dem women pretty consistently overperformed their polls in House/other primaries.
Which explains why if you asked me today whether the Dem nominee will be a woman or a man, it’s actually a pretty close call.
Which explains why if you asked me today whether the Dem nominee will be a woman or a man, it’s actually a pretty close call.
The 2020 Dem nominee vs. Trump will be a:
