, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
SA faces a monumental and unprecedented financial and governance crisis. And here's why:
We are stuck in what I call a "Consultation Governance Trap (CGT)" devised and managed by the ANC Tripartite Alliance partners. We also have a President who is more
committed and focused on achieving Alliance unity than devoting energy to improving and lifting our development index and reducing unemployment, poverty and inequality. Here's the evidence:
1. Eskom debt poses biggest risk to our fiscus and investment
grading. Yet the turnaround strategy plan promised in Feb 2018 is still outstanding. Why?? Because the President's leadership style is hesitant, indecisive and lacks courage (a vital leadership trait) 2. Regression in the SOEs and municipalities is
deepening rapidly. Jarana resigned from SAA because of govemnt indecisiveness about agressively executing on the strategy and preconditions they committed to in Nov 2017. Read my presentation to Parly in April 2018. 3. Tax revenues are projected to be below
target for 2019/20. And our tax base is declining 4. Economic growth projections have been lowered by SARB and the IMF. No prospects of new factories to employ the masses of the unemployed who are also uneducated. 5. Political stability risk factor
has just shot up substantially by the self-destruction currently unfolding within the ANC and its partners. This becomes a most important consideration and factor for investment grading given the context outlined above.Job losses are everywhere and increasing
You Must be very worried indeed. We are in deep deep trouble. The evolving situation may triggered a cap in hand approach to the IMF for relief. This will be painful. But it may usher the decisiveness we need to do what must be done to achieve a capable state
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