Thread by @TimInHonolulu

1. The Turkish dictator is banking on US forcing the SDF to abandon their border and not deploy a sufficient US force for Trump to be able to hold in the face of another Turkish threat to attack. And so Erdogan is banking that Trump will again cut and run when Turkey threatens.

2. The only rational way the SDF can pull out is with a large enough US force to credibly resist a Turkish attack and the Turkish forces pull back equal to the distance that the SDF pulls back. Add aerial surveillance and/or positioned observers on Turkish troop movement.

3. Anyone who trusts Erdogan is a fool. He worked with ISIS and believes he is the leader of the Caliphate 2.0. He is allied with our enemies. That makes him an enemy. Don't ever trust the enemy. Move a full brigade to defend the Syrian border. @POTUS @WHNSC @CENTCOM @SOJTFOIR