, 4 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
India has pledged to reduce its emission intensity by 33-35% from 2005 levels by 2030. Given the growth in GDP, this means emissions will rise ~5% per year to 2030.

According to #IPCC #SR15, global CO₂ needs to go down 45% from 2010 levels by 2030.


According to the Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontr India's pledge is compatible with 2°C. This is because India has low per capita and historical responsibility.

But, the less India does, the more other countries have to do (CO₂ is cumulative)


The US, who has a completely inadequate pledge, would be compatible with 2°C if emissions were cut >50% by 2020-2030.

For India to be compatible with 2°C, the US has to do the impossible!


Basically, there is no fair pathway to 1.5°C that does not require countries doing the impossible, or offsetting with large-scale CO₂ removal.

We have to move beyond "fairness", to all countries have to do whatever they feasibly can, or say goodbye to any chance of 1.5°C!

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