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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
.@jeremycorbyn wants election as soon as possible but after his conference speech calls for Johnson to resign, Labour sources make clear there will be no early vote of no confidence in Boris Govt. Only precondition before going for election is to ensure A50 extension happens 1/3
Not “locked in” yet. All opposition parties agree. Corbyn held talks by phone with other party leaders today. He is still insisting on being caretaker PM. But no sign of agreement with other parties on that 2/3
One option to prevent no deal and have election is to delay the election date ie November 3/3
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More from @Mij_Europe see all

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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
So is deal possible? My view remains possible but unlikely. A lot can happen over next 3 weeks - & EU side only really expected progress after Tory conference. What are new data points? Clearly some softening forces in Cabinet. "Get Brexit Done" slogan at Tory conference 1/4
.@BorisJohnson reportedly saying Spartans won't get everything they want. Also growing speculation the DUP could go further - & live with a time-limited backstop, something we've long argued could be landing zone between two sides (& which many MS support) 2/4
However, not much expected from @DavidGHFrost & @SteveBarclay in Bxl today. Window is now very small. EU side needs real texts, not just ideas at this point. Plus very unclear to EU whether softening forces are in any way ascendant & whether, as reality of deal starts to bite 3/4
Read 4 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
.@BorisJohnson tells ITV News: “we will respect the law and we will come out on October 31.” Renewed chatter in Westminster & Whitehall that PM could send two letters - one asking for extension (to comply with Benn Act) & another undermining it 1/3
eg threatening to disrupt EU business (in hope EU denies request). Problem of course is that the EU might not play his game. They are following events in a London closely and won't risk being duped. However, as one senior EU official notes 2/3
"A50 refers to the constitutional procedures of the member state, which means that it is up to the UK Supreme Court to tell us which one is valid." Baroness Hale may yet have another decisive intervention to make 3/3
Read 3 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
.@BorisJohnson paints remarkably upbeat picture of EU negotiations in Commons statement on Supreme Court ruling. It will not be recognised in Brussels. He was told EU would never discuss new deal and non-permanent solutions or reopen WA, but is now doing so, he claimed 1/3
Boris devoting statement to attack on Labour & @jeremycorbyn. Challenged Labour & other parties to table no confidence motion tomorrow. They won’t. “What are they scared of?” 2/3
Surprisingly only a passing reference to court ruling. “It is no disrespect to the court to say I think it was wrong.” No sign of contrition demanded by Tory MPs who lost the whip. Unapologetic. Boris doubling down; Dominic Cummings still in control 3/3
Read 3 tweets

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John Bruno
@JohnFBruno
Early tomorrow 🌅Ill b tweeting @ the soon-to-b-released IPCC Ocean & Cryosphere report 🐟Also happy to answer questions etc from journos 2day/tmw via email or DM @ClimateComms @Revkin @kate_sheppard @drvox @yayitsrob @KHayhoe @Tessa_M_Hill @unccollege @ClimateCentral
@ClimateComms @Revkin @kate_sheppard @drvox @yayitsrob @KHayhoe @Tessa_M_Hill @unccollege @ClimateCentral PS, Im a Prof @unc & a marine ecologist who works on the impacts of ocean heating on marine ecosystems. Im not an author of this report, so will be commenting / explaining / providing context as an outside expert. I was an author of the recent US National Climate Assessment.
@ClimateComms @Revkin @kate_sheppard @drvox @yayitsrob @KHayhoe @Tessa_M_Hill @unccollege @ClimateCentral @UNC Morning friends☕️Waiting on the @IPCC_CH to release the SROCCC

Some background: The 104 authors (31 female, 73 male) include some big names in the field of ocean science eg Drs Lisa Levin, Hans-Otto Pörtner, William Cheung

archive.ipcc.ch/report/authors…
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George Peretz QC🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿BL🇮🇪
@GeorgePeretzQC
This is an important point, which the debate on what Johnson would have to do after a vote of no confidence under the Fixed Term Parliament Act hasn’t picked up.
The key point to hold onto is that the effect of s.2(3) and (4) FTPA (legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2011/14/…) is that the only confidence motion *that starts the ball rolling for a general election* is one worded in accordance with s.2(4): “That this House has no confidence in HM Government”.
But, critically, there is no prohibition on no confidence motions worded differently: they just don’t trigger a general election.
Read 13 tweets
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Ragnorakishere
@ragnorakishere
Recently Ellie Reeves #Labour MP was reportedly facing a vote of "No Confidence" and "Deselection" @elliereeves received a lot of support from Jess Phillips, Tom Watson etc. No motion was tabled with her CLP so the furore over a pregnant Labour MP being deselected was nonsense.
So let us move on about 1 week from this bogus story to the equally spurious #PanoramaHatchetJob about #Labour and #Antisemitism The usual suspects showed their sham horror of the apparent problems in Labour. #TomWatson #jessphillips
Tom Watson belittled, harangued, bullied and called into question the reliability and fitness of @JennieGenSec to act as General Secretary. Some might question my point on reliability etc. But the image I have attached which Watson and Phillips promote does exactly that.
Read 15 tweets
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Joseph Stalin
@StalinIsBack
1/8 My favorite #quote by #JosephStalin, which explains the scientific, #DialecticalMaterialist explanation of true freedom in material reality, not just as an abstract ideal. #StalinIsBack #StalinLives #JVStalin #Stalin #StalinQuote #StalinQuotes #Truth #MELS #MarxismLeninism
2/8 Having an #objective, #rational, #ScientificSocialist, #Dialectical, & #Materialist viewpoint allows us to accurately see & evaluate & analyze #Truth & #Reality as they truly materially exist in this universe.
3/8 An idealistic, dogmatic viewpoint, which capitalists have, however, makes one irrational enough to 'see' freedom where freedom stays trapped on a piece of paper while people are oppressed in their actual lived lives.
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KidTempo
@KidTempo
#ABTVtoStopBrexit isn't about affecting the balance of power or forcing a General Election. #ABTV is about sending a message to the Tories, and *especially* to Labour that people don't support *any* #Brexit. Not a #HardBrexit, #SoftBrexit, #NoDealBrexit, #Lexit, or *any* Brexit.
The Tory's control more than half of councils, nearly double Labour. Losing control of even half of them is unrealistic, and even if it happened under fixed term government I can all but guarantee it won't result in a General Election.
A Prime Minister calls a GE under two circumstances:
1) They are miles ahead in the polls and think they can increase their majority (as in 2017)
2) They have suffered a humiliating defeat or scandal.
Read 24 tweets
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🕊CrémantCommunarde #NHSLove❤️
@0Calamity
Thread: One of the biggest myths ever perpetrated, not just by the Tories but by those in Labour who wanted to get rid of Corbyn as leader in 2015, is that he didn't campaign for Remain because he was secretly a Leaver.
Virtually a soon as he was elected as leader there were plots to oust him. First of all it was going to be when we lost Oldham West by-election on 02.12.15. Unluckily for the disgruntled MPs labour won with a resounding majority
manchestereveningnews.co.uk/incoming/oldha…
Next was the local council elections in May 2016. Predictions were that Labour would lose hundreds of council seats, which would make Corbyn's position untenable. Luckily it wasn't the armageddon the doubters were predicting: independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
Read 22 tweets

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