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We think @BorisJohnson will pursue a strategy some aides describe as “being dragged, kicking and screaming” into an extension, so Leave voters know he is doing it against his will. This is why he still promises “no delay” even though he knows prospects of a deal are remote 1/4
He may play for time on 19 Oct, so the Benn Act is tested in courts. But politically, outright refusal to obey the law is a non-starter; it could provoke several resignations including those of Geoffrey Cox & @RobertBuckland. Sooner or later, BJ will send letter required by Act
It will likely describe the proposed delay as “Parliament’s extension”, not one sought by Govt. Initially, Boris allies were nervous about impact of an extension. But during last week’s Tory conference they have clearly become more confident - cheered by opinion poll & focus 3/4
group findings that PM would not be blamed for latest delay to Brexit. As one aide said: “The public see him as Mr. Brexit and the only one who can deliver it. They know who is responsible for delay and we will keep reminding them of it.”
