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, 5 tweets, 1 min read
This sounds familiar... theguardian.com/politics/live/…
Remember this?

politico.eu/article/full-b…
You could be optimistic and view this as further evidence that the Johnson premiership is just a speeded up version of May’s. With his plan as a sort of Northern Ireland only Chequers, with the new customs partnership replaced by Max Fac. (Plus a DUP veto.)
In that case, you might hope, he may eventually get to a solution that actually works.
There is one big difference though that makes me less optimistic. May was a real Unionist and seems to have genuinely cared about both Scotland and Northern Ireland. I am not convinced that Johnson’s concerns extend quite this widely.
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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
Whatever the final decision of the House of Commons huge congratulations are due to negotiators on both sides. The EU’s red lines regarding the border have been maintained while allowing for continued E-W links & a consent mechanism that no nationalist could reasonably object to
And to those tempted to vote against the deal because of the political declaration: there is a clear link there between the depth of the relationship and level playing field conditions, and an acknowledgment that the depth of the relationship could evolve in the future.
So everything remains possible, depending on what UK political opinion wants. There will be an internal UN debate about this going forward and things can change over time. If you want a deeper relationship then don’t vote Tory at the next general election.
Read 4 tweets
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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
I wonder whether Irish commentators, focussed naturally enough on the possibility of a deal, and the backstop, have not been neglecting the implications for Ireland of Johnson's stated aims for Brexit.
(Johnson's aims matter since there is every likelihood that he will win the next general election and be around for a while.)
Even if a deal goes through, so we avoid an imminent no deal, Johnson's desire to avoid level playing field commitments must surely make it quite unlikely that there will be a free trade deal with the EU any time soon.
Read 10 tweets
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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
This point needs to be made more often inside the UK since it is crucial. The deadline for a deal is not October 17, it is well before that, since a legally binding treaty is needed by October 17, not some vague aspirational language.
The EU Council will presumably discuss Brexit, but this will be the 27 remaining members meeting as they have done before behind closed doors -- they certainly won't be negotiating with Johnson at the Council since it is Barnier who does that.
And what will the 27 be doing behind closed doors? Presumably deciding whether or not to approve any amended deal that has been agreed between HMG and Barnier *before* the Council. And they may also be discussing a common position to be adopted in the event of a no-Deal Brexit.
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