, 9 tweets, 3 min read
Had lots of questions regarding proposal I set out. Have been, and will be, largely staying quiet because I believe negotiations at a critical stage & should all be cautious about our interventions. But have tried to answer some questions in the thread below (all views my own) /1
Q: Isn’t it same as NI only backstop?
A: Two crucial differences.
1. Entire Protocol subject to broad consent in NI & as such cannot keep NI locked in indefinitely if consent isn’t there
2. Customs approach allows NI to be in UK’s customs territory & take part in any UK FTAs /2
Q: Isn’t it same as current deal?
A: Crucial changes to the backstop. Deals with two key concerns - that the UK would be trapped indefinitely in a customs union against its will & that a UK wide customs union is starting point for future negotiations. /3
Q: Why would those who rejected NCP support this?
A: Rejection of NCP was due to concern it wouldn't work on UK wide basis & EU wouldn't accept it. Applying it NI only is entirely different. EU may be more flexible as risk to single market & customs union lower /4
Q: Why would the DUP support it?
A: It is consistent with aim of para 50 of Joint Report, due to consent proposals. Ensures NI cannot be ‘trapped’ in EU SM & CU against its will. Ensures UK leaves EU with NI part of its customs territory & that NI can be part of UK FTAs /5
Q: Won’t Scotland want same deal?
A: Both sides always acknowledged unique circumstances in NI. Entire point of this debate is: much you can do at a sea border but not at a land border, hence plan of having checks at entry points to island of Ireland. Cannot work for Scotland /6
Q: Does it lead to a worse economic outcome for the UK?
A: @ChrisGiles_ set this out. It does leave entire future negotiations up for grabs, some see this as a plus others a minus. But shouldn’t forget that current backstop is very minimal customs union, still lots of NTBs /7
Q: Could imports pay two tariffs, one in GB and one in NI?
A: @jillongovt raised this. It is a risk, but are potential ways round it. For example, use of transit for a good arriving in GB but destined for NI, tariff will be paid at entry to final destination i.e. NI ... /8
Furthermore, goods moving north/south will not be subject to any checks as NI fully aligned with EU, part of EU customs territory & any inputs would have paid right tariff on entry to NI. Regulatory checks done on market as in current backstop /9 ENDS
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