You don't know how it will affect overall asset distribution.
You don't know how it will affect validator weight distribution.
- Initial coin distribution matters (a lot)
- Crypto systems are dynamic and emergent -- tech and behavior will evolve over time
- Staking has cost/risk your morons: CAPEX, OPEX, opportunity costs, tech risk, price risk
- MOST IMPORTANTLY: crypto economies are not closed system!
I don't know how many times this last point needs to be repeated.
There other opportunities for earning a PoS crypto asset outside of its system.
I could take my capital and invest it in a business or in any other market and then use the capital I earn to re-buy the staking asset. This could outperform staking overall or on a risk-adjusted basis.
Establishing a staking position and holding it means maintaining conviction for years or decades.
There is a reason that early stakers will and should be compensated for risk.