SKY VIEWS: Strap yourselves in for the most unpredictable & important election since 2WW. 2 of the last 3 GEs produced hung parliaments (as did the last Dec poll in 1923 when Baldwin won the most seats but lost power) It’s make or break for BJ & Brexit too news.sky.com/story/sky-view…
Fitting this most tumultuous year ends in a once-in-century event, a Dec elex. In 1923 one Baldwin won most seats but lost power after MacDonald formed Lab govt with support from Libs. A cautionary tale that cld become PM’s reality in 6 weeks' time? This election a huge gamble 2/
Unpredictable because it could be the election in which Brexit identities trump party ones in a country that already has highest voter volatility of modern times. 49% of voters switched btwn parties in last 3 elex. You can see why LDs/SNP/Brexit Party wanted pre-Brexit poll 3/
For Tories, big opportunity if Remain vote splits & PM comes thru middle. Croydon C: Lab majority 5.6k, LDs in 3rd on 1k. Chunk of Remain vote flips to LDs and Tories win the seat back. Big risk is if Brexit Party splits the Tory/Brexit vote in Labour leave targets 4/
And this election is the most important of modern times because what happens in the next 6 weeks could reshape our country for decades to come. The result could strengthen or weaken our Union and determine whether the UK stays or leaves the EU. 5/
