MRP likely Conservative losses. Esher and Walton high up. Higher than Hastings and Rye, with tiny Conservative maj. 
But some very low probabilities of Labour keeping some seats which have been red (albeit some getting this paler) for a very long time.
If MRP is right and Labour gain only two seats in this election it would be an historically poor performance for an opposition, which usually wins at least some new ground, even in bad years (they could still be down net). Eg In 1983 Labour gained 4 and in 2001 Hague’s Tories 9.
According to MRP had the election taken place three weeks ago, Boris Johnson would have been looking at something akin to Margaret Thatcher’s 1987 landslide.
Now it’d be closer to John Major’s 1992 much narrower victory.
Does it slip lower? Trend is marked.
Now it’d be closer to John Major’s 1992 much narrower victory.
Does it slip lower? Trend is marked.
