Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #TacticalVoting

Most recents (24)

@Andrew_Adonis 1/
With Labour politicians gaslighting the public like this I don't think the Labour party deserves to exist anymore.
You are all too politically tribal, including you.

Labour have deliberately given us a far right government and a very damaging Brexit.

@Andrew_Adonis 2/
The main issue was a Labour policy of a GE before a referendum.

Keir Starmer lost the referendum before GE argument in the shadow cabinet meeting.

The LibDems should not have gone for a GE either and didn't vote for it in the end.

theguardian.com/politics/2019/
@Andrew_Adonis 3/
You Gaslight us on the issue being the LibDems with a GNU.

The issues was the independent Tory MPs and support for Corbyn.

Greive thought that he had the numbers for Margaret Beckett or John Bercow.

This gaslighting by you and others is why Labour deserve to die now.
Read 5 tweets
So the meaning of life, the universe and... #tacticalvoting sites is:
6

possibly:
2

but probably:
1

... but perhaps a dozen or so "saved"

Read on to find out what I mean!
This evening I set out to assess how well my tactical recommendations had done in the 187 constituencies I had made recommendations for #GE2019

I got 9 wrong, but none that mattered - as I explain here
But that's not the really interesting point

The interesting one is where did the sites differ in their recommendations, and did *that* matter

I added constituencies that I'd not assessed, coming to a total of 227 constituencies for this thread
Read 20 tweets
Just checking how well my #tacticalvoting recommendations did when compared to reality

In the end I recommended explicitly in 187 constituencies

I was wrong in just
Eddisbury (rec Lib Dem, should have been Labour)

Isle of Wight (rec Green, should have been Labour)
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath (couldn't recommend SNP due to candidate suspended for anti-semitism, recommended Labour, and the ex-SNP candidate won)

Maidstone and The Weald (rec Lib Dem, should have been Labour)
New Forest East (rec Lib Dem, should have been Labour)

New Forest West (rec Labour, should have been Lib Dem)

North East Somerset (rec Lib Dem, should have been Labour)
Read 16 tweets
Today is the most important election I can ever remember. Here is a recap of why I think it’s important to keep Boris Johnson’s Conservative party away from any more power over our lives #StopBorisJohnson #VoteNotTory #ThursdayMotivation

/Thread
They have lied!
They have treated EU27 citizens like dirt! #xenophobia
They have treated Brits in the EU like dirt!
They have treated our public services like dirt!
They have treated the most unfortunate like dirt!
They have even treated business like dirt! #fuckbusiness
Here is the outcome I desire -
A minority Labour government working with the other parties on a policy by policy basis. Only a cross party approach can bring us back to a balanced and cohesive body politic! #TacticalVoting
Read 8 tweets
Thread
Maximise your #TacticalVote

A 𝟏% 𝐬𝐰𝐒𝐧𝐠 to the party in bold stops a Tory majority in 19 seats

Stockton South π‹πšπ›
Bolton NE π‹πšπ›
Bedford π‹πšπ›
Delyn π‹πšπ›
Vale of Clwyd π‹πšπ›
Wolverhampton SW π‹πšπ›
Sedgefield π‹πšπ›
Great Grimsby π‹πšπ›

1/7
Aberconwy π‹πšπ›
Wrexham π‹πšπ›
Dagenham & Rainham π‹πšπ›
Hendon π‹πšπ›
Ochil & S Perthshire 𝐒𝐍𝐏
Moray 𝐒𝐍𝐏
Aberdeen South 𝐒𝐍𝐏
Lanark &Hamilton West 𝐒𝐍𝐏
Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock 𝐒𝐍𝐏
Winchester π‹π’π›πƒπžπ¦
Esher & Walton π‹π’π›πƒπžπ¦

2/7
A πŸ“% 𝐬𝐰𝐒𝐧𝐠 to the party in bold would stop a Tory MP in these 33 seats

Banff & Buchan 𝐒𝐍𝐏
West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine 𝐒𝐍𝐏
Blackpool S π‹πšπ›
Bishop Auckland π‹πšπ›
Darlington π‹πšπ›
Keighley π‹πšπ›
Shipley π‹πšπ›
Bury South π‹πšπ›
Colne Valley π‹πšπ›

3/7
Read 7 tweets
2017

May calls an early election, based on Labour's perceived weakness and wanting to strengthen her own position
2017

The Conservatives run a mediocre campaign punctuated by gaffes and May seeking to avoid scrutiny
2017

The more the campaign goes on the more the Tories see their party leader as a liability, but having put her front and centre there is no way out
Read 24 tweets
Tactical voting #CitiesofLondonAndWestminster

Polls & sites seem to suggest vote for Lib, not Lab - data shows there will be a Tory win without strong Lab movement to LibDems now.

In our strong Remain constituency, make your Remain vote count - however hard to cross that box.
A serious threat: Cities of London & Westminster will end up without an MP that reflects strong Remain constituency, by a split vote.

Most #tacticalvoting polls now advise LibDem @ChukaUmunna.

Get closer to another ref & deprive Johnson of a majority. Strong switching needed.
Whatever your usual voting habits, tactical voting really matters now.

It can stop a heavy Johnson majority - or unseat him/Raab.

This isn’t only about Brexit, but the country we become, as Johnson cracks down on the institutions that hold him to account. We can stop that.
Read 5 tweets
THREAD: YOUGOV MRP SHOWS TACTICAL VOTING IS WORKING

Analysing the most recent YouGov MRP data it’s clear #TacticalVoting has caused WIDESPREAD shifts of 2-3% towards parties best placed to challenge the Tories.

16 extra seats can now easily be won & they’re listed below.
On a very quick analysis of the data I’ve chosen some key constituencies where tactical voting is having a HUGE impact on unseating a Tory and other seats where just another small push can lead to preventing a Tory MP.
16 SEATS THE TORIES WILL EASILY LOSE WITH ANOTHER 3% #TacticalVote SWING - Vote for:

- Bolton North East @DavidCrausby
- Cheltenham @mpmwilko
- Chingford and Woodford Green @faizashaheen
- Dagenham and Rainham @JonCruddas_1
- Delyn @DavidHansonMP
- Leigh @JoPlattMP
Read 18 tweets
Right then, people of:
Kensington
and:
Cities of London and Westminster

NEW #TacticalVoting advice. And this is serious. #GE2019
A large majority of you voted Remain - 69% in Kensington and 72% in Cities of London and Westminster, according to @chrishanretty's estimates

But there is a very real chance you will all be waking up on Friday morning to...

2
TORY
MPs

2
PRO-BREXIT
TORIES
I presume you don't want that
Read 7 tweets
Right, as @UBFriccardo correctly says, if no one knows what's actually going on, make a clear recommendation and stick to it.

So here you go:

Kensington: LABOUR (switching that)

Cities of London and W: LIB DEM (sticking with it)

#tacticalvoting
Why?

Recent Deltapoll Constituency Polls in both

Cities of London and Westminster


Kensington


And for the latter the voting sites now also agree: Labour
Also Kensington has a solid Labour incumbent, and Cities of London and Westminster elected a Tory last time.

That is IT. These recommendations for these two seats will now NOT change from me.
Read 6 tweets
Boris Johnson et al are responsible for having wasted the last three years on the massive folly of brexit. Would a child be on the floor if the country’s energy and money had been put into solving problems instead? /start
#GeneralElection19

bbc.co.uk/news/election-…
They told you they would have more money for the NHS. They lied then, they are lying now. We will continue haemorrhaging money on stupid brexit unicorns, negotiating them, duplicating what we already have, chasing a fantasy and losing our standing in the world! #stopbrexit
At the same time we will lose trade and growth and we will lose people, lots of people, expert people, smart people, caring people, interesting people, and be left with uncaring self interested power hungry brexit politico bots in power. #VoteNotTory #Braindrain
Read 6 tweets
#Scotland #Scexit & #GE19 Polling update #Thread
Tories continue 2 strengthen their support 2 their highest level yet, with Labour support building again. The SNP has dropped below 40%, this bodes well for Unionist #TacticalVoting & should minimize any claimed SNP seat growth 1/7
The UK national picture shows Tories leading the pack, still outpacing the Labour recovery. Clearly the LibDems & the rest are falling by the wayside. At 43.5% the Tories best month is December & peaking at the critical time. 2/7
In Scotland, we've had the latest #Scexit poll, which shows support for #Scexit still woefully short of nationalists aspirations, with a clear majority of support for our Union & with undecideds falling away, great for the Union. 3/7
Read 12 tweets
You want to know how to vote tactically at #GE2019?

To stop the Tories, stop #Brexit, or both?

And you want the Twitter thread of all Twitter threads about #TacticalVoting?

Here you go!

186 constituencies. 186 recommendations. 186 candidates, with Twitter handles. 186 videos!
This is a summary of my tactical voting mini site:
tacticalvoting.jonworth.eu

And my tactical voting guide:
tacticalvoting.jonworth.eu/the-original-g…

The FAQs might be helpful too:
tacticalvoting.jonworth.eu/faq/
I am *neutral* between any Remain or Remain-ish parties - whoever stands best chance of beating Tories is recommended

I am independent here - I am not affiliated to any party or any tactical voting site

This thread might take a while to come through - videos slow to upload!
Read 193 tweets
UPDATED #TacticalVoting THREAD: 55 ESSENTIAL TACTICAL VOTING CONSTITUENCIES

Hard Fact: Being tribal and not tactical WILL deliver #Brexit.

How to avoid a Brexit Friday 13th? #TacticalVote or @SwapmyVote [1/21]
This is an update to my last tactical vote thread, viewed over 100,000 times, based on the most recent figures from the YouGov MRP, DeltaPollUK, Survation and the Datapraxis MRP. [2/21]
If stopping a Tory majority and #Brexit is the goal then I’ve selected 55 key seats which REQUIRE #tacticalvoting.

I have also included in brackets how the party which stands no chance of winning the seat is polling at, according to the polls. [3/21]
Read 21 tweets
A Labour victory is now inconceivable.

But a Tory victory would be unbearable.

A hung parliament, oddly, would be the best possible outcome to the most important election in my lifetime.

Here's some thoughts

1/
I'm a lifelong Labour voter who thinks Corbyn is NOT dangerous, but is crap. The "dangerous" stuff just seems ludicrous to my ears, but I totally understand why 3/4 of voters think he's not up to it.

(Don't @ me, I'm not 3/4 of voters, and this is not my fault)

2/
The Tories, meanwhile, are abject. A callous, lying, far-right, 10-year fiasco which will lead - bet your life - to No Deal Brexit in December 2020, and an absolute calamity for the entire nation. No Deal will be 3x worse than any recession you remember, and last 15 years.

3/
Read 12 tweets
This tweet provides objective voting advice for Kensington #Remain - bookmark this tweet for updates.
The thread will change with any new data.
#Kensington
#TacticalVoting
#TacticalVote
#tacticalvotekensington
#kenstingtontactical
#kensingtonremain
#kensingtonvote
#FBPE #ABTV
Who are you?

Remain account with contributions from multiple Remain-supporting, cross-party groups locally in Kensington.

We came together because no-one understands this dilemma better than we do locally, or faces the horrible difficulty of our choice.
Why should I take advice from an anonymous handle?

You should never take advice without checking.
This account is anonymous to protect contributors who may advise against party view.

Tweet or message followers of this account for authenticity, and check our reference sources!
Read 6 tweets
I want to share a new paper. Its relevant to #GE2019. The findings are quite exemplary of the misguidedness of much of economic & social policy under the #ConservativeParty. It should be a harbinger to wary voters: there is more of the same under the Tories & with #Brexit. 1/..
The short summary: the reform to housing benefit from 2011 onwards was intended to save the public purse hundreds of millions. But quite the reverse happened: not only did it create huge amounts of misery and agony, it also ended up not saving the public much money at all. 2/..
What happened? From April 2011 onwards, local housing allowance was massively cut from covering up to the median level of rents, to only cover up to the 30th percentile of market rents. Here is a map of how this affected households in terms of expected losses per week. 3/..
Read 17 tweets
Planning on voting for Johnson next week?

Then please don't ever lecture anyone ever again about honesty, probity, integrity or morality.

And don't bother moaning, either, when you realise Brexit will rumble on for years to come. You really, totally, absolutely were warned...
Good, when a tweet brings out a load of Tory & Brexit ranters - nice and easy to block. Interesting, among the nutters screeching "bloody leftie, EU traitor, pity your students" = number who denounce my membership of / support for Labour. Neither of which exists. #TacticalVoting
Best of all? Those who think Johnson will get us out of EU then it's done and dusted... Sorry, but if that happens, campaign to rejoin starts immediately. And it will happen. So your wee Brexit is just a temporary waste of time, money and energy: please pause over that thought...
Read 3 tweets
And the final 4 #TacticalVoting videos for today are up...

How to vote tactically in:
Uxbridge & South Ruislip

Recommendation:
Labour

Candidate:
Ali Milani

Put πŸ”ˆ on!
How to vote tactically in:
Filton and Bradley Stoke

Recommendation:
Labour

Candidate:
Mhairi Threlfall

Put πŸ”ˆ on!
How to vote tactically in:
Torbay

Recommendation:
Liberal Democrat

Candidate:
Lee Howgate

Put πŸ”ˆ on!
Read 4 tweets
Something really big is about to happen. I can feel it. I think the British public is going to cause an earthquake on the 12th December, and, when everything is pulled down, we will finally be able to rebuild our country - this time with many more decent MPs.

#tacticalvoting
They are not more powerful than us, mes Sabs. They may have power temporarily, but they are not more powerful than us, and we are going to defeat them, and it will be sooner rather than later.

Too many lives depend on our remaining in the EU. We have to win.

#TacticalVoting
Be optimistic! Look how far it gets us! Look at every march. Look at Steve Bray, out there every day, refusing to let them get away with it. Look at Hugh Grant WHO IS VERY DELICATE, and doesn't do cold and frost. He is out there for you. The least we can do is cheer them on!
Read 5 tweets
🌹How #TacticalVoting for @UKLabour can cost the Tories 54 (!) seats based on @YouGov MRP Poll.

All seats below have the nearest People’s Vote parties at least 23% below Labour (except 4 highlighted below).

Labour votes could prevent a Tory majority and a Tory Brexit/No Deal
I’ll list these constituencies & the Labour MP standing in each of them & in brackets show the current vote % compared to the Tories, and how that would change if the pro PV voters voted Labour. As @OwenJones84 has highlighted, splitting the vote here could lead to a Tory MP.
Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +6 seats:

Bassetlaw @MorrisonKeir (-6 to +1) βœ…
Bedford @YasinForBedford (-1 to +14) βœ…
Blackpool S @GordonMarsden (-6 to +2) βœ…
Bolsover Dennis Skinner (-4 to +3) βœ…
Bury N @JamesFrith (0 to +7) βœ…
Bury South @Lucy4BurySouth (-3 to +7) βœ…
Read 16 tweets
Right. About to start the next filming marathon...

#TacticalVoting #GE2019

These are the seats and recommendations that will be in the new series! The videos here are from requests - not all of these are super marginal!
Tactically vote Labour to un-seat a Conservative

Bournemouth East
Bournemouth West
Bridgwater and West Somerset
Clwyd West
New Forest West
South West Devon
The Wrekin
Tactically vote Labour to make sure Labour still wins the seat

Battersea
Bradford South
Dewsbury
Newport East
Newport West
Stoke-on-Trent North
Read 9 tweets
So @chunkymark asked me to make a monster Twitter thread of all my #GE2019 #TacticalVoting recommendations

All of these summary videos are on my tactical voting micro site:
tacticalvoting.jonworth.eu

But, as requested, here they are in a thread, alphabetically!
How to vote tactically in:
Aberconwy

Recommendation:
Labour

Candidate:
Emily Owen

Video explainer:
tacticalvoting.jonworth.eu/aberconwy
How to vote tactically in:
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine

Recommendation:
SNP

Candidate:
Fergus Mutch

Video explainer:
tacticalvoting.jonworth.eu/aberdeenshire-…
Read 177 tweets

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