This is part of a series of threads of a possible war Trump wants to start with Iran. Iran does not want this war. It was pushed by Pompeo since he became Secy of State & had been pushed by Bolton ever since that vile thing infested his upper lip
I have already written a thread about war overall with Iran, and about the unique weapon of killer drones, that both USA and Iran have, which USA has never faced before with any adversary. This thread is about nuke war. Can that happen in this war?
The US has the second largest nuclear weapons arsenal by megatonnage (Russia's is bigger) but the largest by count of warheads. Yes, the USA can destroy every country on the planet if it so desired.
Iran does not have an operational nuclear weapon
Donald Trump has repeatedly stated he WANTS to use a nuclear weapon. He wanted to 'nuke ISIS' and he wanted to 'nuke a hurricane' (he did't mean some weapon like the British fighter plane, Trump did mean yes, to nuke a rain storm). He is that nuts
If you do not know what is the damage of a nuclear warhead over populated city, please read Wikipedia page. Summary:
Circle of one mile = ionized = vanished
Circle of 3 miles = destroyed & burning
Most inside 5 miles will die
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_o…
If Trump dropped ONE mid-sized nuclear warhead over Tehran Iran (population 8 million) about 2 million will die near instantly, another 1 million die in next 20 years due to radiation poisoning. If Trump dropped FIVE nukes, 90% of Tehran is dead
If there is a war between USA & Iran, I do not expect there EVER to be a nuke used. If Trump were to drop a nuclear warhead on Iran, I do NOT expect it to be a 'mass murder 2M civilians' use. I cannot imagine American officers accepting that order
But if there IS a war between USA & Iran (started by Trump, Iran doesn't want this war) - there is a risk, that eventually, if Trump is STILL President, he will drop a nuke - on a MILITARY target. Not because that is smart, but because he WANTS to
So you understand. It is VERY VERY unlikely that Trump could ever 'burn 2 million Iranians' by a nuclear strike. I cannot see any American offers agreeing to such horror. I CAN imagine Trump, dropping a nuke on a MILITARY target
A target that Trump MIGHT use, for a nuclear weapon could be the nuclear weapon development labs of Iran.
Or he could target Iran's rocket facility. Or target Iran's military leadership (their 'Pentagon') or their political leadership
Any nuclear weapon fired at a military target will be detonated ON the target or below it (in ground) not 'above ground' to kill maximum civilians. Thus a MILITARY targeted nuke, would not kill millions of civilians, but probably many thousands
I've explained before, in my thread of Iran War overall that this would be America's longest & bloodiest war, nothing like the short Iraq war. More like Vietnam, Korea and Afganistan, combined. & then doubled. Read more here
To explain the stupidity. A nuclear weapon can destroy an conventional bunker and any conventional weapon system on the ground (tank, warship, etc). But modern bunkers DO exist, that are protected against direct nuclear hit. Dug deep into bedrock
If Trump 'wanted' to destroy any military target that the USA can see on a spy satellite - tank, radar site, missile battery - you don't need a NUCLEAR weapon to do it. Like squeezing a thumb tack into a pinboard striking it with a sledgehammer
And if IRAN has a 'secret' or 'valuable asset' it wants to keep safe, there ARE bunkers that are nuclear bomb proof. So nukes are pretty IMPRACTICAL in war against Iran. Still, Trump WANTS to go down in history as having fired one anyway, at someone
Now lets switch sides. Iran does not HAVE nuclear weapons, but Iran WAS developing them. It was 4 DECADES of patient diplomacy, and the brilliance of Obama, that got RUSSIA and CHINA to agree, to force Iran to sign the treaty.
Trump destroyed that
Please put yourself in Iran's shoes. They were PROMISED peace & prosperity, if they just stopped developing nukes. They signed the treaty. Then Trump said - neener-neener! and ripped up the deal - and SLAPPED NEW SANCTIONS.
Now Trump threatens WAR
All US allies, and US own inspectors said Iran WAS COMPLYING with the deal. Trump ripped it apart anyway. And now Trump threatens war.
You would have to be an idiot NOT to relaunch development of nukes after what Trump just did. Iran are not idiots
As I said in my Iran War thread, if Trump launches a war with Iran, it will be a long one, and USA cannot win that war. So if the war lasts ten years or 30, Iran WILL finish its nuke, probably inside a few years from now. All thanks to Trump
If USA were to fire a nuclear weapon against a country that ALSO has a nuclear weapon, that other country WILL RETALIATE. Do not kid yourself. If the other side has nukes, they WILL USE them - in retaliation
So in 3-5 years, Iran WOULD be nuclear
What about NOW? Before Iran has COMPLETED its nuke development? Here is where Iran is THE WORST enemy Trump could pick out of his 4 candidates (N Korea, Venezuela, Cuba). Iran has an operational killer drone system.
THAT changes EVERYTHING
I explained the use of remotely piloted combat drone aircraft in this thread. PLEASE read it.
Iran is THE worst enemy Trump could find, and a WAR with Iran means that USA HOMELAND is bombed, relentlessly, by drones.
Please PLEASE understand what is a killer drone. It is like USA's Predator drone. USA has launched over 1,000 strikes from drones. Drones are (currently) UNSTOPPABLE and many - not all - drones are INVISIBLE to ANY DETECTION
You might think that the USA leads in drone tech. It DOESN'T. The USA uses ISRAELI tech. Israel invented the modern drone with the Tadiran Mastiff in 1973. And USA was not the first to weaponize the drone. The Predator drone first flew in 1995.
An UNSTOPPABLE and even UNDETECTABLE weapon of war - the killer drone - is the PREFERRED way for USA to wage war. 90% of ALL air strikes in the past decade, were done from KILLER DRONES, not from manned airplanes. This is the FUTURE of warfare.
As I explained in my thread about drone warfare, the FIRST country to ARM a drone, and use it in war - a whole DECADE before the USA did it - is Iran. One of a handful of nations that BUILDS its OWN drones, and the smart weapons for it.
We saw the devastating effect of IRANIAN killer drones a few months ago, when they attacked the Saudi oil refinery. THAT is what I mean. These are UNSTOPPABLE weapons, that no country can DETECT and cannot shoot down (reliably).
Even Israel, the nation that INVENTED the modern drone, and has tried to develop a defense, and who has the BEST air defense on the planet ('Iron Dome') - cannot stop, or even DETECT small killer drones like the ones Iran uses. Some day they will
I explained in my thread about drone war, how Iranian drones can be smuggled into the USA (probably already are there) and can attack ANY target without ANY defense or even detection. Like say destroying the Hoover dam or setting Galveston on fire.
Now the nuclear retaliation angle. No country is that stupid, to attack the USA FIRST by nukes. Of any kind. But if YOUR country was attacked by nukes, you WOULD retaliate somehow. And Iran is the first nation that can retaliate - by drone
If Iran makes it clear, they will not do a first strike, but any bombings of Iran, they will retaliate - and do so often on US mainland by drone - and THEN Trump drops one nuke to a MILITARY target, like say Iranian rocket launch facility...
So if Trump fires a US nuclear weapon at the Iranian rocket launch site - a remote location, maybe 5,000 Iranian civilians die due to blast & radiation - it would still be a nuke strike. How could Iran retaliate with drone?
A nuke powerplant...
If Trump destroyed the relatively modest Iranian rocket facility - with a nuke, and poisoned it by radiation for 100 years - Iran could retaliate by drone. Striking the Florida St Lucie nuke powerplant - 100 miles from Cape Canaveral
The death toll by Iran's retaliation would be similar (under the suitable wind conditions) but would render Cape Canaveral radioactive for 100 years. AND MOST OF FLORIDA. The whole coastline would be evacuated - for at least 100 years
America has 95 nuclear power plants. Iran does NOT NEED a nuclear weapon, to retaliate against Trump firing a nuke at Iran. Because Iran has killer drones. Invisible, unstoppable. And Iran has the smart missiles to destroy for example a nuke plant
Iran does not want the war. Iran would never strike first. No country would. But if Trump was so stupid to drop a nuke on Iran, Iran WOULD retaliate. It has 95 nuclear targets top pick from, in red states such as Arizona, Texas, Georgia, etc..
Sweet dreams