Trump & Pompeo want war with Iran
Iran doesn't want war with USA
Trump fired first. One strike
Iran retaliated, attacked 2 US bases
What next?
USA attacks Iran 1x, says we are even, lets talk?
USA attacks 2x (tit for tat)
USA attacks 3x
USA attacks 52x
Or stop?
#NoWarWithlran
Iran doesn't want war with USA
Trump fired first. One strike
Iran retaliated, attacked 2 US bases
What next?
USA attacks Iran 1x, says we are even, lets talk?
USA attacks 2x (tit for tat)
USA attacks 3x
USA attacks 52x
Or stop?
#NoWarWithlran
Thread of Iran Escallation 1/24
I will extend my Tweet into thread on 'next move' escallation. When I wrote this thread, Trump had launched unprovoked military strike killing an Iranian General. It is an act of war. Illegal. Iran responded by striking 2 US bases
#NoWarWithlran
I will extend my Tweet into thread on 'next move' escallation. When I wrote this thread, Trump had launched unprovoked military strike killing an Iranian General. It is an act of war. Illegal. Iran responded by striking 2 US bases
#NoWarWithlran
Iran Escallation Thread 2/24
First. The Iranian response. It was MEASURED. It was sending a message to USA, it was designed NOT TO INFLICT large military casualties on USA (at this stage). But it is particularly notable, that they struck TWO air bases instead of just one.
First. The Iranian response. It was MEASURED. It was sending a message to USA, it was designed NOT TO INFLICT large military casualties on USA (at this stage). But it is particularly notable, that they struck TWO air bases instead of just one.
Iran Escallation Thread 3/24
Trump was told by all his military advisors that Iran will strike back. Trump KNEW this, yet he ordered the first strike. Trump is obviously mad, and does not listen to his commanders.
What will Trump do next? He (and Pompeo) wants war with Iran.
Trump was told by all his military advisors that Iran will strike back. Trump KNEW this, yet he ordered the first strike. Trump is obviously mad, and does not listen to his commanders.
What will Trump do next? He (and Pompeo) wants war with Iran.
Iran Escallation Thread 4/24
Why does Trump want war? He believes that if there is an ongoing war, when November 2020 election happens, Americans will not reject the sitting president 'because of the ongoing war'. This is a THEORY. But Trump believes it. He doesn't care WHAT war
Why does Trump want war? He believes that if there is an ongoing war, when November 2020 election happens, Americans will not reject the sitting president 'because of the ongoing war'. This is a THEORY. But Trump believes it. He doesn't care WHAT war
Iran Escallation Thread 5/24
Trump doesn't care WHERE the war is started, as long as he has a war going on in November 2020 during the election, because Trump believes this will win him the election. I know that is sad & mad. I report the truth, I am not Trump's psychiatrist :-)
Trump doesn't care WHERE the war is started, as long as he has a war going on in November 2020 during the election, because Trump believes this will win him the election. I know that is sad & mad. I report the truth, I am not Trump's psychiatrist :-)
Iran Escallation Thread 6/24
So Trump has been exploring the chance to have his war with North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba and Iran. It was his ex National Security advisor Bolton & his Secretary of State Pompeo who are pushing Iran. THEY want an IRANIAN war. Trump doesn't care where
So Trump has been exploring the chance to have his war with North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba and Iran. It was his ex National Security advisor Bolton & his Secretary of State Pompeo who are pushing Iran. THEY want an IRANIAN war. Trump doesn't care where
Iran Escallation Thread 7/24
Pompeo & Bolton are part of the same war criminals with Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, who lied to get the Iraq War going: the 'Neocons' in the Republican Party's war-wing - who have dreamed of a war with Iran for DECADES. Sec of Defense Esper agrees
Pompeo & Bolton are part of the same war criminals with Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, who lied to get the Iraq War going: the 'Neocons' in the Republican Party's war-wing - who have dreamed of a war with Iran for DECADES. Sec of Defense Esper agrees
Iran Escallation Thread 8/24
Now you understand Trump's motivation. And the GUIDANCE he is getting from Pompeo & Esper. They all want war with Iran.
What happens next? Iran has struck twice. We now await USA's (=Trump's) response. Let me take in sequence from sane to insane
Now you understand Trump's motivation. And the GUIDANCE he is getting from Pompeo & Esper. They all want war with Iran.
What happens next? Iran has struck twice. We now await USA's (=Trump's) response. Let me take in sequence from sane to insane
Iran Escallation Thread 9/24
If this was a sane administration, they would welcome an outsider to come mediate a peaceful resolution with no more attacks. Qatar would be perfect candidate for a neutral local player with good relations on both (all) sides.
Sane option: no attack
If this was a sane administration, they would welcome an outsider to come mediate a peaceful resolution with no more attacks. Qatar would be perfect candidate for a neutral local player with good relations on both (all) sides.
Sane option: no attack
Iran Escallation Thread 10/24
A cautious military attack to REDUCE escallation, is for USA to strike ONE Iranian military base only, and do so with minimal HUMAN loss (damage their equipment primarily). And say 'now both have had 2 attacks, lets stop this, and let's negotiate'
A cautious military attack to REDUCE escallation, is for USA to strike ONE Iranian military base only, and do so with minimal HUMAN loss (damage their equipment primarily). And say 'now both have had 2 attacks, lets stop this, and let's negotiate'
Iran Escallation Thread 11/24
A US attack on only 1 Iranian military target, with a clear signal, USA is willing to stop the rocket exchange - COULD get Iran to stop retaliating to that ONE attack but might invite a response from Iran, which could be 1, 2, 3 or 4 attacks.
A US attack on only 1 Iranian military target, with a clear signal, USA is willing to stop the rocket exchange - COULD get Iran to stop retaliating to that ONE attack but might invite a response from Iran, which could be 1, 2, 3 or 4 attacks.
Iran Escallation Thread 12/24
Trump is not known for his sanity. He is likely to respond to 2 attacks on 2 US military bases with AT LEAST 2 attacks in return, on Iranian military bases. If Trump now strikes 2 Iranian bases, Iran WILL respond with MORE THAN two in return
Trump is not known for his sanity. He is likely to respond to 2 attacks on 2 US military bases with AT LEAST 2 attacks in return, on Iranian military bases. If Trump now strikes 2 Iranian bases, Iran WILL respond with MORE THAN two in return
Iran Escallation Thread 13/24
Americans have never been bombed in war, at their own cities (like most in Europe, most in Asia, most in Middle East have). Iran faced YEARS of bomber attack 'exchanges' with Iraq - and then a horrific MISSILE BOMBARDMENT EXCHANGE stage with Iraq
Americans have never been bombed in war, at their own cities (like most in Europe, most in Asia, most in Middle East have). Iran faced YEARS of bomber attack 'exchanges' with Iraq - and then a horrific MISSILE BOMBARDMENT EXCHANGE stage with Iraq
Iran Escallation Thread 14/24
Iran does not WANT a war. Iran faced a DEADLY bloody war of 8 YEARS against Saddam Hussein's Iraq, with yes, nearly a year of MISSILE BOMBARDMENT of each other's cities. Iran KNOWS what this is like. They are PREPARED. (But they do not WANT war).
Iran does not WANT a war. Iran faced a DEADLY bloody war of 8 YEARS against Saddam Hussein's Iraq, with yes, nearly a year of MISSILE BOMBARDMENT of each other's cities. Iran KNOWS what this is like. They are PREPARED. (But they do not WANT war).
Iran Escallation Thread 15/24
Iran has a vast arsenal of short and medium range bombardment ballistic missiles (whose generic name is 'Scud' missiles). Like the ones just used last night. USA has over 60,000 troops in the Middle East incl Afghanistan, Saudi, Diego Garcia etc
Iran has a vast arsenal of short and medium range bombardment ballistic missiles (whose generic name is 'Scud' missiles). Like the ones just used last night. USA has over 60,000 troops in the Middle East incl Afghanistan, Saudi, Diego Garcia etc
Iran Escallation Thread 16/24
The US military equipment at those bases is expensive and vulnerable. If Iran wanted to kill American soldiers (they clearly did not last night) they can do so to a horrible degree. So INITIALLY Iran has vast capacity to strike back at US BASES
The US military equipment at those bases is expensive and vulnerable. If Iran wanted to kill American soldiers (they clearly did not last night) they can do so to a horrible degree. So INITIALLY Iran has vast capacity to strike back at US BASES
Iran Escallation Thread 17/24
Please note, Iranian missiles cannot reach USA (like Russian and Chinese missiles can). Iran can only strike at the military bases near its borders. BUT if Trump escallates to full war, Iran has drones it can smuggle to USA, & attack US cities too
Please note, Iranian missiles cannot reach USA (like Russian and Chinese missiles can). Iran can only strike at the military bases near its borders. BUT if Trump escallates to full war, Iran has drones it can smuggle to USA, & attack US cities too
Iran Escallation Thread 18/24
Escallation count. If Trump fires at 2 targets now. Iran WILL retaliate. And then will escallate, in attempt to force USA to stop. If an Iranian attack on 2 US airbases with minimal casualties doesn't deter Trump, next step WILL BE bigger. 3 or 4
Escallation count. If Trump fires at 2 targets now. Iran WILL retaliate. And then will escallate, in attempt to force USA to stop. If an Iranian attack on 2 US airbases with minimal casualties doesn't deter Trump, next step WILL BE bigger. 3 or 4
Iran Escallation Thread 19/24
But remember, Trump is insane. And he is guided by war-crazed Pompeo & Esper. So it is possible Trump now escallates. To 3 or 4 Iranian military targets.
If so, Iran strikes MORE targets by count, than USA did. So if US hits 4, Iran does 5, 6 or 8
But remember, Trump is insane. And he is guided by war-crazed Pompeo & Esper. So it is possible Trump now escallates. To 3 or 4 Iranian military targets.
If so, Iran strikes MORE targets by count, than USA did. So if US hits 4, Iran does 5, 6 or 8
Iran Escallation Thread 20/24
This is a VERY dangerous game and on the USA side it is being played by a child who is angry and afraid, trying to distract from the Impeachment Trial in the Senate. Trump who THINKS a war would be good for him (politically)
Lets do the nightmare
This is a VERY dangerous game and on the USA side it is being played by a child who is angry and afraid, trying to distract from the Impeachment Trial in the Senate. Trump who THINKS a war would be good for him (politically)
Lets do the nightmare
Iran Escallation Thread 21/24
Trump drew a red line in the sand. He was stupid to do so. He promised if Iran retaliated against any US base, Trump would destroy 52 Iranian targets.
Now Trump faces a hopeless dilemma and a mess of his own doing
Trump drew a red line in the sand. He was stupid to do so. He promised if Iran retaliated against any US base, Trump would destroy 52 Iranian targets.
Now Trump faces a hopeless dilemma and a mess of his own doing
Iran Escallation Thread 22/24
If Trump does launch a retaliation against 52 targets, it provokes Iran to attack AT LEAST 52 in return. That means massive Iranian strikes against nearly all US bases in Iraq, Saudi, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Qatar etc. That means thousands dead
If Trump does launch a retaliation against 52 targets, it provokes Iran to attack AT LEAST 52 in return. That means massive Iranian strikes against nearly all US bases in Iraq, Saudi, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Qatar etc. That means thousands dead
Iran Escallation Thread 23/24
But if Trump does NOT strike at 52 targets, the WAR-nutters of GOP will forever blame Trump for 'being soft' and 'letting Iran get away with it' - like OBAMA and his red line in sand with Syria.
His advisors are pushing him now hard. They want war
But if Trump does NOT strike at 52 targets, the WAR-nutters of GOP will forever blame Trump for 'being soft' and 'letting Iran get away with it' - like OBAMA and his red line in sand with Syria.
His advisors are pushing him now hard. They want war
Iran Escallation Thread 24/
We will see what happens. USA cannot win a war with Iran. Trump doesn't care, he wants SOME war now, in 2020, for his election. He doesn't care who die, how many die. How many COUNTRIES get stuck into that war
This is a dangerous time.
Stay tuned
We will see what happens. USA cannot win a war with Iran. Trump doesn't care, he wants SOME war now, in 2020, for his election. He doesn't care who die, how many die. How many COUNTRIES get stuck into that war
This is a dangerous time.
Stay tuned
