Thread by @soychicka

Iranian Revolutionary Guard admits to shooting down PS752/AUI752, because it turned towards a 'sensitive center' of the IRGC.

Nearest air base = Naja. Two more closer to Iraq border.
irna.ir/news/83628809/…

Please fill in the blanks if you know more about it than I do.

But from this clip, near as I can tell, the aircraft banked from 289° to 312° , then *seems* to slow slightly at the point where ADS-B is lost - but continues until it reaches the point of impact from the video.

flightradar24.com/2020-01-08/02:…

IMO, this might signal either that the primary impact was at the point where ADS-B was lost, or that the pilots noticed incoming fire on radar, and attempted to take evasive action?

The former seems more plausible to me, as there is no visible illumination on the aircraft as it approaches the point of impact - and because the man filming the impact had been filming because another noise had attracted his attention.

but maybe commercial pilots are trained to cut all visible signal if a potential collision is a risk?

That seems less probable to me, though, unless onboard radar alerts the incoming missile type is dumb enough to be tricked by turning off the lights. 🤷‍♀️

Or maybe that's when it started climbing to 26000ft, dropping apparent speed as the vertical speed increases..

Or whatever. Not enough information.

Plenty of other people seem motivated to figure this one out... I'll go back to the other stuff :)