Underestimating Cuba and Russia in Venezuela and the failure of Neo-Appeasement
cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 1/21
cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 1/21
5 years ago, the then Secretary of State John Kerry before heading to Venezuela on Aug 14, 2015 in an interview with @oppenheimera stated that "the United States & Cuba are talking about ways to solve the Venezuelan crisis." cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 2/21
The situation in Venezuela continued to worsen, and the presence of the Castro regime only served to aggravate the situation in the South American country. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 3/21
Six months after Secretary Kerry announced that the Castro regime and the Obama Administration were seeking to solve the crisis in Venezuela opposition lawmakers declared a food emergency in February 2015. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 4/21
Despite the thaw with Castro and efforts to engage the Maduro regime, the Obama Admin was accused by the Venezuelan dictator of being responsible for the country's instability. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 5/21
In July 2016 reports emerged of food riots were the police were shooting into hungry crowds. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 6/21
10 yrs ago the Obama Admin, together with other countries in the region, ignoring the Democratic clause of the Organization of American States welcomed the Castro regime back into the democratic regional body in June 2009. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 7/21
Raul Castro was not interested because the dictator preferred to strongly back, what he called, "the legitimate government of President Nicolas Maduro," and denounced the OAS. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 8/21
This was part of an overall foreign policy by the Obama Admin that Dr. José Azel in an April 24, 2015 article in El Nuevo Herald titled "The Resurrection of Neville Chamberlain" outlined & identified the policy's architect. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 9/21
The Obama Doctrine was first addressed by Charles A. Kupchan in 2001, and fully fleshed out in his 2010 book, How Enemies Become Friends: The Sources of Stable Peace. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 10/21
Charles A. Kupchan, currently a professor at Georgetown University, served as special assistant to President Obama for national security affairs from 2014 to 2017. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 11/21
Dr.Azel summarized Dr. Kupchan's approach into four phases: cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 12/21
It must begin, according to Kupchan, by making concessions to our enemies in an act of “unilateral accommodation.” These concessions must be “unusual and costly” to signal benign intent. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 13/21
[...] The second phase entails the practice of “reciprocal restraint” where the adversary nations walk away from rivalry, peace breaks out, and geopolitical competition gives way to cooperation.[...] cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement 14/21
“Social integration” and “the generation of new narratives and identities” are the third and fourth phases of Kupchan’s sequence towards stable peace. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 15/21
This approach was a failure in Russia, Cuba and Iran. The abandonment of deterrence and sanctions for a policy of neo-appeasement led the world to greater instability, the humanitarian and political crisis in Venezuela and the deaths of Americans. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… 16/21
Today the current Secretary of State Mike Pompeo understands that Cuba is part of the problem, and not a partner to talk with about solving the Venezuelan crisis. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 17/21
On Jan 2, 2020 the Secretary of State announced that the US had sanctioned "Cuba regime official Leopoldo Cintra Frias for his involvement in gross violations of human rights & use of violence to prop up the former Maduro regime in Venezuela." cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba 18/21
Special Rep for Venezuela Elliott Abrams on Jan 6, 2020 stated: cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 19/21
"We underestimated the importance of the Cuban & Russian support for the regime which has proved I think to be the 2 most important pillars of support for the regime & w/o which it wouldn’t be there, it wouldn’t be in power." cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela 20/21
Thankfully, the team at the State Department today understands the role played by Cuba, and Russia in Venezuela and have returned to an approach that uses sanctions and deterrence. cubanexilequarter.blogspot.com/2020/01/undere… #Cuba #Russia #Venezuela #NeoAppeasement #appeasement 21/21
