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1) Now that the ‘Deal of the Century’ (yuck, will be referred to as the plan) is upon us a note to everyone. The CONTEXT is more important than the CONTENT. Tomorrow the Knesset votes on the process of Bibi immunity (which he will lose). Tomorrow is also release day.
2) Tomorrow the impeachment of President Trump will continue. Tomorrow is release day. Bibi is fighting to change the narrative from immunity, after failing to form government twice, to opportunity under him.
3) Gantz, Bibi's rival, is trapped between a popular President (in Israel) and changing the narrative. He tried to navigate it but already Trump has made it clear Bibi is his guy and Gantz is just a side show.
4) The past three years have been an exercise in humiliating the Palestinians and shaming them so that even if the CONTENT of the plan was something surprising, there is no way they could ever engage. Trump said he has taken Jslem, refugees and settlements off the table.
5) The aim from day one of members of the peace team was to provoke a Palestinian no so that a green light of annexation could be given to Bibi. Each move against the Palestinians was designed for maximum outrage.
6) Going back to the CONTEXT, reportedly Trump is giving the sides six weeks to respond or else. What else is in six weeks... Israeli election day. So Abbas is expected to negotiate while no idea who is the Prime Minister during election season. It's designed for a Pal rejection.
7) The right in Israel does not even want a pretend Palestinian state, and it appears that a pretend one is in the CONTENT. While the right lost the battle on getting rid of two states, they won the war on CONTEXT knowing that Palestinians will have to say no = no 2SS.
8) Important to note that the 2SS apparently on offer has no connection to the traditional pillars that were laid out since 2000. No US official outside of security folks have spoken to Palestinian side for two years. Release is about interference in Israeli election. CONTEXT.
9) So as analysis is given on CONTENT remember, the CONTENT is the side show, the CONTEXT is what the past three years has been building towards. A Palestinian no to grant greater land of Israel with maximum land and minimal Arabs with no need to negotiate.
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