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The campaign so far, Part 1

Non-Bernie people: ...Biden, I guess?

Bernie people: BERNIE BERNIE

NBP: ooh Kamala had a good zinger about busing

BP: BERNIE

NBP: Warren!!

BP: NO SHE SUCKS, IT'S BERNIE

NBP: ...oh she wants to PAY for health care...

BP: SANDERSSSSSS
Part 2:

Non-Bernie people: Well if Warren actually wants to pay for health care...Buttigieg, I guess?

Bernie people: SCREW HIM IT'S BERNIE

NBP: Possibly Klobuchar?

BP: BERNARD Q. SANDERSON

NBP: How about Bloo--

BP: OH HELL NO IT'S BERNIE
Btw I would just like to say that I predicted pretty much exactly this sequence of events in a conversation with @MarcBodnick at the very start of primary season, but his word will be the only proof
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Noah Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/Anyway, I've been reading @rickperlstein books, and I've naturally been thinking about the parallels between 1965-1976 and 2014-present...
2/It seems like the outpouring of leftist energy has proceeded roughly analogously to that time, with Obama as JFK/LBJ. The GOP backlash, with Trump as Nixon, also seems somewhat analogous...
3/But one big piece of the analogy is missing: the conservative movement.

By 1972 the conservative movement was already gathering strength. It had already captured the GOP nomination once, with Goldwater. Eventually it would triumph in 1980...
Read 9 tweets
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Noah Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/Today's @bopinion post is about one of the most amazing countries in the world: SOUTH KOREA!

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
2/Parasite's big Oscar victory drove home the undeniable reality that South Korea is a global cultural superpower.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
3/But this was true long before Parasite, and the movie is only one small part of the Korean Wave. K-pop is a huge global phenomenon!

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 21 tweets
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Noah Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
The weirdest defense of Bernie's OK-but-not-great showing is "yeah, but it's a 5-person race".

OK but if Bernie were getting more support, it *wouldn't* be a 5-person race.

"Lots of people are supporting candidates other than mine" is just a weird flex.
I mean, these other candidates didn't just drop out of the sky and get 24%! There's no reason "former mayor of South Bend, Indiana" should have been a contender.

And if Bernie had lit a real prairie fire, he wouldn't be.
I predict Bernie will win the nomination (and I predicted this from the start), but I thought he'd be getting 35% in New Hampshire and Iowa and he's getting like 26% or 28%.
Read 6 tweets

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Victoria Brownworth 🏳️‍🌈
@VABVOX
As I first wrote several weeks ago would happen, the Democratic debates have restructured the polling, putting, as I predicted, @KamalaHarris and @ewarren within striking distance of @JoeBiden.

Biden 22%
Harris 17%
Warren 15%
Sanders 14%
Buttigieg 4%

cnn.com/2019/07/01/pol… …
Months of assertions that #Biden was "inevitable" have been eviscerated. Unable to stand up to #Harris at the debates, Biden appeared tired, confused and unprepared, despite having been kept away from major events for weeks by his handlers. Harris has been campaigning daily.
#Warren won the first debate handily, with only @JulianCastro and @CoryBooker offering any other strong moments in the two hour debate.
The new rankings put #Harris and Warren in the lead for most electable and many are already talking about Harris/Warren as the 2020 ticket.
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Greg Olear
@gregolear
The popularity of Joe Biden as a candidate for president in 20-effing-20 perplexes me, especially after last night’s showing. Do people actually PREFER him to #Kamala, or have they bought into the fear-based narrative that only Joe can beat Trump in battleground states?

[THREAD]
1/ Biden’s long tenure in the Senate leaves him wide open to all sorts of attacks on his record—as Kamala showed last night in respectfully pushing back on him about leaving the school busing oversight to the municipalities. Even Sanders hit him on Iraq.
2/ The 3 sitting Senators who jumped directly to the White House—Harding, JFK, Obama—were all relatively young. They didn’t have long records to attack, like Joe does.

Anita Hill wasn’t mentioned last night, but Biden helped give us Clarence Thomas & our right-leaning SCOTUS.
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Victoria Brownworth #PrideMonth
@VABVOX
#Biden slumps, #Buttigieg soars, tied with #Sanders and #Warren, #Harris next in benchmark #Iowa poll thehill.com/homenews/campa…
Critical point here is that the MSM is claiming that #Sanders "came within a handful of votes" of #HillaryClinton, when he lost in a landslide of 4M votes, 1k pledged delegates (not SDs) and a dozen states.
2/
This false narrative harms #Sanders--it's meant to highlight how badly he's doing in 2020 and prop up #Biden. But Sanders is actually doing better than in 2016. There are just more players. And Biden is being replaced by a younger centrist, #Buttigieg.
3/
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Victoria Brownworth #PrideMonth
@VABVOX
THREAD
Response to #Biden skipping the California Dems is scathing.

Biden's "refusal to show up only reinforces the idea that he’s an elitist and he is more interested in collecting big checks in CA than being in genuine touch with grassroots activists."
usatoday.com/story/news/pol…
#Buttigieg and #Warren took Biden on.
Buttigieg said that "the riskiest thing we could do is try to play it safe.... In these times, Democrats can no more promise to take us back to the 2000s or 1990s than conservatives can take us back to the 1950s.”

usatoday.com/story/news/pol… …
#Warren: “Some Democrats in Washington believe the only changes we can get are tweaks & nudges.If they dream at all, they dream small.Some say if we’d all just calm down, Republicans will come to their senses. Our country is in a time of crisis. The time for small ideas is over.”
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Filomena Rocha
@Filomen03258997
🗣️‼️Americans think well before voting, the world is tired of US wars‼️

Special edition- US 2020 Presidential Candidates

#2020PresidentialElection #USA
Joe Biden is the Hillary Clinton of 2020 vox.com/2019/1/10/1817…
From Crime Bill to Iraq War Vote, Biden’s Legislative History Under Scrutiny as He Enters Race
democracynow.org/2019/4/25/from…
Read 120 tweets
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Victoria Brownworth
@VABVOX
#BREAKING
And then there were a bazillion.
#JoeBiden is running. As he does every few decades. He's announcing next week AFTER everyone does the @CNN debate/town hall event, because how better to diminish everyone else's hard-earned press with your own?
theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
As @IsaacDovere notes: "[Biden’s] decided he isn’t too old, isn’t too out of sync with the current energy in the Democratic Party, and certainly wasn’t going to be chased out by the women who accused him of making them feel uncomfortable or demeaned because of he’d touched them."
Now that Biden is in, he'll have to actually present a platform. Joking about sexual harassment isn't one, nor is complaining #AnitaHill should just get over herself, nor is "I was Obama's VP!"
The question is, who's Biden's base? Not millennials, not Gen Xers.
Read 14 tweets

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