Some notes on the state of the race...
The Vegas debate shook this election up. The @ewarren vote share appears to have gone up more than 50% between early vote & those who caucused today. We’ve raised $9m in 3 days & more than $21m this month.
The Vegas debate shook this election up. The @ewarren vote share appears to have gone up more than 50% between early vote & those who caucused today. We’ve raised $9m in 3 days & more than $21m this month.
By the way, chip in here, but continuing about the race ... secure.actblue.com/donate/soc-7mi…
We believe the Nevada debate will have more impact on the structure of the race than the Nevada result. Since a huge percentage of the votes were cast before the debate -- likely well more than half -- tonight’s results are a lagging indicator of the current state of the race.
The Warren campaign is adding media across the Super Tuesday states and beyond and we expect to be one of at most three candidates with a delegate path to the nomination after Super Tuesday. Here’s one of the ads:
Here’s our sense of where the others stand: Biden was heavily favored to win NV until only two weeks ago, so this is further evidence of his steep decline. As we’ve said previously, further Biden collapse makes the race even more fluid.
It appears that Buttigieg’s fundraising is drying up and he may struggle to continue even to Super Tuesday. Klobuchar has no apparent path, but has the cash windfall from NH to hang around.
Both Bloomberg and Sanders have effectively unlimited resources to compete (for very different reasons), but each also has a significant ceiling on their eventual support both in the primary and in the general.
Sanders had a good result in Nevada. It doesn’t change the state of play for Super Tuesday.
