Thread by @wolfejosh

1/Here is what happens next few days:

-Pelosi + Schumer do not want Bernie because they do not want Trump

-They will convene & pressure 3rd/4th/5th place candidates (who have survived on internet money) to rally their base to moderates

-That is Pete + Warren + (Amy or Joe)...

2/
-It will then go 1-on-1 between Bernie vs. Amy or Bernie vs Joe or MOST likely Bernie vs. Bloomberg (possibly with Amy or Biden going to VP, more likely Amy as Bernie is weak or worse with women).

-Pete will get Bloomberg future support + have a bright future...

3/
-It will be brokered convention

-Bernie will lose that as the Democratic Party—will not accept what it means vs Trump + the future

-Pelosi has ONLY democratic quadrant of power in the House (the other 3 Senate, White House + Supreme Court = Republican)

-She’s the power...

4/
-Bernie bros burn things down like Occupy Wall St x Seattle WTO protests

-Trump will fan flames mocking corrupt Democrats stealing it from Bernie to win over a few of them

-Amidst chaos...

5/
-Amidst chaos...

(less likely): some shock event like coronavirus quells chaos and unifies behind the calm moderate professional

(more likely): Michelle Obama quells chaos and unifies behind the calm moderate professional..

6/
-Bernie won’t concede but Democratic Party will see those who are anti-Trump + those anti-Bernie caught in impossible choice of Bad + Worse (which depends on your perspective)—w/many threatening to not vote

-Instead they will choose to lose the Bernie bros who also wont vote

7/
-Trump is MOST likely re-elected.

Only 4 modern Presidents lost re-election
Hoover, Ford, Carter, Bush Sr
depression, recession, recession, recession

Our economy at least *appears* booming
(even if fingers of instability are raging)

Would take
Market-led crash/recession

8/
-Unconstrained Trump goes ‘full cuckoo’ with impunity

-Putin undeterred finds cause under coronavirus or other to send “humanitarian” aid to Russian speakers and further pushes back NATO west. Crimea 2.0

-Germany goes populist and Putin meddles further shakes EU stability

9/
We have
a NARCISSIST who demands your ATTENTION
a SOCIALIST who demands your CAPITAL
a PRAGMATIST who demands REASON

A pragmatist who sought to stabilize + unify with calm
would return your most valuable asset: your time + attention...

10/
—freeing you from both POPULISTS

The stress of the self-obsessed daily carnival barker huckster
or
The stress of the unhinged frantic finger waving “Network” I’m-mad-as-hell-and-not-going-to-take-it

And letting people regain 0.25% point of productivity;)

11/ UPDATE:
On plan: Steyer + Pete out