Italy outbreak closely follow early Wuhan outbreak dynamics: Case doubling 2.7 days.
Italy now: 2036 confirmed cases, 52 deaths.
Almost exactly where Wuhan was on january 26: 2000 cases, 56 deaths.
In Wuhan this was also the peak of the Epi curve due to shutdown 3 d earlier.
Italy now: 2036 confirmed cases, 52 deaths.
Almost exactly where Wuhan was on january 26: 2000 cases, 56 deaths.
In Wuhan this was also the peak of the Epi curve due to shutdown 3 d earlier.
Although new infections were declining, Wuhan health system was badly overwhelmed during the coming 2 weeks because of the 10 day lag from infection to severe illness.
Wuhan pulled the breaks late, but they pulled it.
Hopefully, Italy measures also sufficient to greatly slow epi
Wuhan pulled the breaks late, but they pulled it.
Hopefully, Italy measures also sufficient to greatly slow epi
It's eerie to see how constant #COVID19 epidemiologic parameters (case doubling less than 3 days, twice the speed of 1918 Flu BTW) play out seemingly REGARDLESS of population density: compare densely populated Wuhan with partly rural Northern Italy !
