⚠️#Wuhan #coronavirus likely to become a #pandemic, per many top infectious disease experts.
Dr. Anthony Fauci: “It’s very, very transmissible, and it almost certainly is going to be a pandemic."
Experts can't yet predict how many will die.
#2019nCoV
nytimes.com/2020/02/02/hea…
Dr. Anthony Fauci: “It’s very, very transmissible, and it almost certainly is going to be a pandemic."
Experts can't yet predict how many will die.
#2019nCoV
nytimes.com/2020/02/02/hea…
In the last 3 weeks, the number of confirmed #2019nCoV cases has soared from ~50 in #China to 14,000 in 23 countries + 300 deaths.
The real number is much higher. Epidemiological models estimate that the real number of cases of #Wuhan #coronavirus is *100,000 or even more*.😳
The real number is much higher. Epidemiological models estimate that the real number of cases of #Wuhan #coronavirus is *100,000 or even more*.😳
The spread of #2019nCoV (≥14,000 new cases in ~3 weeks) is much faster than when SARS and MERS emerged.
SARS was vanquished in 2003 after spreading for 9 months with only 8,098 confirmed cases. MERS has been circulating since 2012, with only ~2,500 known cases.
#coronavirus
SARS was vanquished in 2003 after spreading for 9 months with only 8,098 confirmed cases. MERS has been circulating since 2012, with only ~2,500 known cases.
#coronavirus
People keep asking: how deadly is this new #coronavirus?
Answer: it's too early to know. Need: blood tests to see how many were exposed, household studies to learn how often it infects close contacts, and genetics to determine whether some strains are more dangerous than others.
Answer: it's too early to know. Need: blood tests to see how many were exposed, household studies to learn how often it infects close contacts, and genetics to determine whether some strains are more dangerous than others.
What does seem certain: #Wuhan #coronavirus likely will be a #pandemic (epidemic on ≥2 continents). Not good, especially for countries with fragile healthcare systems.
The best we can do: BUY TIME (containment) to get a treatment/#vaccine.
@thespybrief
The best we can do: BUY TIME (containment) to get a treatment/#vaccine.
@thespybrief
@thespybrief More on mortality: current data suggest ~2% mortality for #2019nCoV, but it's very likely that MANY cases, especially in people with no/few symptoms, were not tested/reported.
Experts think the real mortality likely will be LOWER, once ALL are counted.
Experts think the real mortality likely will be LOWER, once ALL are counted.
