Thread by @magsapie

1/n I try to keep twitter for professional interest. Now, I need to help my country. Data has been showing Doubling Day factor of 3-4 from the beginning. Infections double every 4 days. 20% need respiratory help and half of those need ICU. Please #FlattenTheCurve #COVID19ireland

2/n Most of my professional network here in the #Agile #Kanban community understand data. Model the number of ICU facilities in Ireland against the infection rate of #COVID19 and look at the data. The worldwide Doubling Day factor is currently 5. We all have a part to play in it

3/n This is exponential growth, not linear growth we are dealing with. Death rate increases when you run out of ventilators and respiratory care. Please take this seriously and help our health service. Take social distance and hand hygiene seriously. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:…

4/n Data also indicates lethalness of being infectious in the community with no symptoms. Help our vulnerable loved ones. What if you are infectious? Act as if you are. Hand hygiene, social distance & family action plans for your elderly & at risk loved ones. #COVID19ireland

5/n I will say it again. Death rate rockets when you run out of ventilators and respiratory care. In about 5 iterations, if the Doubling Day remains unchanged, it is a tsunami in Ireland. That's 25 days. Incubation can be up to 14 days so we have 11 days to act. #COVID19ireland

6/n And they could be conservative figures. Act as if you are infectious NOW and protect our at risk loved ones. Keep our Doubling Day factor up. Stop the infection rate. 11 days or less to act. Help get the message out. Hand hygiene, social distance. #COVID19 #COVID19ireland

7/n the data is in plain sight here en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:….

worldometers.info/coronavirus/co…

#COVID19ireland #COVID19ireland

Help your country to stop the spread. 255 +/- ICU beds in Ireland

@Tweetinggoddess please help me spread understanding of what the data is showing and how little time we have to act/start locking down. This is exponential growth. We only have a few days left. The Doubling Day rate is a key indicator. Please help me protect my at risk loved ones