THREAD (1/9) detailing further analyses of publicly available #COVID19 data from #Singapore. Please interpret cautiously as the data are limited & there is no adjustment for confounding, etc.
First, an epidemic curve. Still no peak in cases yet, despite meticulous case finding.
First, an epidemic curve. Still no peak in cases yet, despite meticulous case finding.
(2/9) Next, sex distribution of cases. Males are still primarily affected. It looks like men are at greater risk of both infection & experiencing worse disease. No adjustment for factors such as smoking though. Male cases are younger than females (mean 43 vs. 50 years; p=0.006).
(3/9) The age of cases has an approximately normal distribution. The mean age of cases is 46 years (standard deviation 15 years).
(4/9) 187 cases have been reported to date, all of which I believe have been hospitalised (note this does not indicate the severity of infection). For 166 of these, I could determine the admission date. The median time between onset of symptoms and hospitalisation was 4 days.
(5/9) 96 cases (51%) have been discharged from hospital, of which I could determine the admission date for 89. For these, the median duration of hospitalisation was 13 days (range 3-29 days).
(6/9) Of 96 recovered cases, 58 are male and 38 are female (note that more males were infected). Of 107 total male cases, 58 have recovered (54%), and of 80 total female cases 38 have recovered (48%); p=0.364. Recovered cases are younger (mean 42 vs. 51 years; p<0.001).
(7/9) The data were sourced from the Ministry of Health, Singapore, and analysed by me with Stata. Once again, I caution that these results should be interpreted carefully. These are small numbers, there’s no adjustment, and I might possibly have made mistakes in the analysis.
(8/9) Final disclaimer: These analyses are provided "as is" without warranty of any kind, and should not be used to guide health care decision making or policy. The MIT License applies.
. @2019nCoVwatcher @SEACoronavirus @CoronaVirusHebr @V2019N @COVID2019_ The analyses in this thread may be of interest to you. Please consider sharing.
