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WHY ITS SO HARD TO CONTROL: “becoming clearer that this virus is exquisitely suited to spreading. Old SARS mainly transmissible when people sick or hospitalized, #Covid19 transmits very early in infection, even before people start to become unwell.” 🧵 statnews.com/2020/03/26/wha…
2) “When people have a disease that is only contagious once they start to get sick, it’s much easier to order them to isolate themselves the moment they feel unwell. But that doesn’t work with this virus (#SARSCoV2).” #COVID19
3) A number of studies have reported that a significant portion of people are even spreading the virus while presymptomatic — in the day or two before they start to feel ill. Presymptomatic spreaders are, well, gonna spread. It’s not their fault. #COVID19
4) “How much this type of transmission is driving the pandemic is unclear but it could be significant. Gabriel Leung has estimated about 40% of cases transmit before symptoms develop. (Another) study pooled data from seven countries and estimated a very similar 43%.” #COVID19
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