A thread on epidemiology/distribution of COVID-19 cases in India. I extracted data from API of @covid19indiaorg and ran some analysis on it
What is male/female distribution of cases?
According to literature Male:Female ratio is 60:40.
In known patients (with gender details)
Males higher in India as well around 65*
According to literature Male:Female ratio is 60:40.
In known patients (with gender details)
Males higher in India as well around 65*
what is age distribution of Deceased vs Recovered so far.
we see the people dying are 60+(in line with world data mortality ~10-16%)
as compared to those recovering.
there is significant difference in age
we see the people dying are 60+(in line with world data mortality ~10-16%)
as compared to those recovering.
there is significant difference in age
What about case fatality rate by age?
In India overall it is around 2%. Though there will be an overestimate/underestimate bound as not all hospitalisations accounted for.
note uptick around 55 in the loess plot.
In India overall it is around 2%. Though there will be an overestimate/underestimate bound as not all hospitalisations accounted for.
note uptick around 55 in the loess plot.
26 out of 722 health care workers(3.6%).
These can be potential bioweapons as high transmission needs.
Kindly provide adequate PPE.
These can be potential bioweapons as high transmission needs.
Kindly provide adequate PPE.
Coming to spreaders.
What is the average spread by people who do local transmission?
a median of 2 and mean of 2.7
What is the average spread by people who do local transmission?
a median of 2 and mean of 2.7
Let's look at these super-spreaders with n>3 transmission. Some people transmitted to 16+ patients.
You can look more deeply by going on @covid19indiaorg website from id(patientnumber indexed here)
You can look more deeply by going on @covid19indiaorg website from id(patientnumber indexed here)
Where have these guys travelled from?
almost 100+ patient from dubai. we should have qurantined more aggressively in early march
almost 100+ patient from dubai. we should have qurantined more aggressively in early march
stay duration. Deceased vs recovered.
mean 5 days to recovery(PCR negative) while half days to die.
I guess this is artefact of news collections,
Recovered data is more useful signifying time to get viral load to decrease post start of therapy
mean 5 days to recovery(PCR negative) while half days to die.
I guess this is artefact of news collections,
Recovered data is more useful signifying time to get viral load to decrease post start of therapy
A shout out to @covid19indiaorg folks to have provided API so that I could run secondary analysis on it.
Cc @learning_pt @oommen
Cc @learning_pt @oommen
