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Today's follower question is from @KentuckyBrandon:

Biden will win the "rust belt" states of WI, PA, & MI that HRC lost (& if COVID19 is bad enough, perhaps IA & OH too)

It'll be bc:

carries pure Indies +

Turnout of D & left-leaner Is⬆️, esp college educated suburbanites
The plan for the GOP was to try to "scandalize" Biden like HRC but that will be less effective. He'll likely have better fav/unfavs than HRC but unless COVID is a politically resetting event (polarization wise, not dramatically better).

MB something like Obama vs Romney 2012?
Now, as to the specific question- will he win BC he's more popular than HRC?

Being less hated than HRC will help him but the win(s) will be driven by a change in mass voting behavior from '16:negative partisanship/Trump backlash effect increasing turnout niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post…
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