Profile picture
, 4 tweets, 1 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
Curious to have knowledgeable clinicians or public health people provide some context to these numbers. These are from NYC health department syndromic surveillance data through yesterday. They appear to show ER visits for ILI and respiratory complaints peaking on the 25th.
2/ Now maybe they’ve peaked and will race up again for a new peak. I also wonder whether the situation in NYC ER’s is currently so chaotic and overwhelmed that the reporting system has broken down in some sense. Telling all but severely ill not to show up at hospitals cld also...
3/ be depressing numbers for obvious reasons. Anyway, curious whether anyone with relevant experience/knowledge can chime in on this.
4/ correction. Using “peak” prematurely here. Should say seems to be a down tick from 3/25.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Josh Marshall

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @joshtpm see all

Profile picture
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm
A critical issue now is the small business loan program in the rescue bill. It’s actually a lot better than I think people realize. Smallish businesses can get big loans and if they use it to pay salaries and critical expenses (rent etc) the loans will be forgiven.
2/ Functionally it’s pretty similar to what they’re doing in the UK and Canada where the govt takes over the payroll for affected businesses. But I get the sense that it has not been effectively publicized. A lot of small businesses owners don’t know ...
3/ about it and they’re shutting down now. Either laying everyone off or going out if business. It also gets administered by banks. They don’t charge interest and they can’t charge fees. So if it works it’s not as bad as it sounds and ...
Read 8 tweets
Profile picture
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm
Demoted from the @COVID19Tracking media logo hall of fame! Sad. But cool game upping with the new redesign.
More seriously, it is both amazing and also a disgrace that the project has become the canonical source of info for most of the country. The @CDCgov, the fucking CDC, is still not publishing any systematic data. That is a stunning failure.
Very proud we were one of the first, perhaps the first news org to write about and promote the @COVID19Tracking.
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm
This is purely curiosity. But I’m a bit fascinated by it. The idea is that the USNS Comfort won’t take COVID cases but take non-COVID cases off hospitals hands. Got it. They’re apparently also going to focus on trauma since that’s what military medicine is most geared to.
2/ So let’s say I get some bad compound fracture and need surgery and get taken to the Comfort. They fix me up and I’m out in a day or so. Do I have to pay for that? Does my insurance cover it? I don’t think they have any framework for charging people. The Comfort is designed ...
3/ for wars and humanitarian disasters abroad. It’s not a fee for service operation. I think the answer is that they’ll fix you up and go on your way and that’s great. But will I not have to pay (or share the fee with my insurance company) at the Comfort but I will have to ...
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Michael Donnelly
@donnellymjd
(1/11) The #NYC Region is in trouble. Our #COVID19 case load is growing so quickly that we risk running out of hospital beds in UNDER TWO WEEKS. To avoid a crisis at our hospitals, we need to act now. 1,200 hospital beds are not enough. @BilldeBlasio @NYCSpeakerCoJo @NYGovCuomo
(2/11) @BilldeBlasio says we have ONLY 1,200 beds for #COVID19. (1010wins.radio.com/articles/de-bl…) At this rate, we could see over half a million severely sick people at once. There’s no way the NYC hospitals can handle that influx. The ill who can’t get care will die at higher rates.
(3/11) In more than 97% of model runs, NYC runs out of hospital capacity under current policies. To see how this model works, take a look at my note for a full explanation of what’s going on with #COVID19 and how I calculate these forecasts. medium.com/@donnellymjd/n…
Read 11 tweets
Profile picture
Daniel Sinclair
@_DanielSinclair
“Mr. Xi’s visit comes as China re­ports a steep de­cline in the num­ber of new cases. On Tues­day, Wuhan shut down the last of the 14 tem­po­rary hos­pi­tals that it had built to ac­com­mo­date the sud­den surge of new pa­tients.”
A signal that China can get back to work:
But, despite this victory lap for the Xi presidency, China is very much not back to normal. Those who can leave Hubei will still need to quarantine. Their Alipay health codes will still be red. They’ll still be shunned from society.
Read 3017 tweets
Profile picture
Farzad Mostashari
@Farzad_MD
1/ I'm very worried that we don't have a clear strategy for #COVID19 response

We need to clearly define when the public health goal is containment-trying to keep the virus from circulating- and when the goal shifts to mitigation-working to reduce the peak impact of the outbreak
2/ Let me first voice my tremendous respect for the public health experts at the @CDCgov & state/local governments

I'm proud to have worked as a CDC Epidemic Intelligence Service Officer, and I never had smarter, harder working colleagues than during my 12 yrs at @nycHealthy
3/ Let me next acknowledge that it has been over 10 years since I was involved in an epidemiological/outbreak investigation or surveillance

What I'm going to describe is informed by my past experience and conversations w experts, but I am not an expert in #COVID19
Read 26 tweets
Profile picture
Daniel Sinclair
@_DanielSinclair
If containment fails, and this projection comes true, the hardships that the world would experience during the onset of the first coronavirus pandemic would be hard to comprehended through our current eyes. A first for the modern world.
That’s further out, but if COVID-19 does break through to influenza scale, the benefit would be in a substantial population of immunity & antibodies. Those prospects are now where China is focusing. Antibody donation could improve outcomes; that’s moving from secondary priority.
The best outcome of a worst case scenario would be herd immunity. But, millions would die, medical infrastructure would be overwhelmed at even a fraction of the early generational spread, & the world would be on pause. Transfusion is not the golden ticket; you need a lot of infra
Read 2852 tweets
Profile picture
Daniel Sinclair
@_DanielSinclair
Unsurprisingly, more information was withheld by the Chinese government. COVID-19 had reached Guangdong by January 4th. Wuhan's lockdown only began on the 23rd. This is a probelm far bigger than Hubei and China.
Alternate reality: Theranos Ends Pandemic
It's so sad to read these stories of China's state of unrest. Trust is degraded. This is not a society that will return to normal with a snap of fingers and bans lifted. China is damaged, could be for years, & we're not even near the end of this epidemic.
Read 2850 tweets
Profile picture
Emily Ricotta, PhD
@Iplaywithgerms
#Event201 begins. Check it out online to participate virtually! centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/ #pandemic #biosecurity
Global leaders in business and government have convened to address the pandemic situation. @T_Inglesby from @JHSPH_CHS Moderates. See the #Event201 website for details on the participants.
Global distribution of cases and deaths from #Event201
Read 45 tweets

Trending hashtags

#walkability #monitor #trails #CA #WeThePeople #FL #restrictions #Lebanon #Ayurved #infected #Nigeria #SilverSpring #Togo #Bergen #TRUMP #TrumpAdmin #Hoarder #architecture #data #micromobility #climate #COVID19 #philanthropic #PsuedoScience #Atlanta

Embed code for your website

×
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!